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布鲁可(00325):出海顺利,成人化加速,快速推新致盈利阶段性承压
Xinda Securities· 2026-03-16 07:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.913 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.0%, with an adjusted net profit of 675 million yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year [1][2] - The company's revenue growth is attributed to the successful launch of new products, expansion of customer demographics, and accelerated international market entry, although short-term profitability has slightly declined due to a focus on long-term development and changes in product structure [2] - The company has expanded its product offerings significantly, launching 913 new SKUs and increasing the total number of SKUs available to 1,447 by the end of 2025 [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In the second half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.575 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.9%, with an adjusted net profit of 355 million yuan, up 21.3% year-on-year [1][2] - The company's gross margin for 2025 was 46.82%, down 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit margin was 23.2%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [4] Product Categories - Revenue from building block and assembly vehicle toys in the second half of 2025 reached 570 million yuan, a significant increase of 248.7%, driven by the rapid sales of newly launched products [2] - The company has increased its focus on adult consumers, with the revenue share from products aimed at consumers aged 16 and above rising from 11.4% to 16.7% [3] Regional and Sales Model Performance - Revenue from different regions in the second half of 2025 was 1.368 billion yuan from China, 75 million yuan from Asia (excluding China), and 107 million yuan from North America, with North America showing a remarkable year-on-year growth of 629.9% [3] - The company’s online and offline revenue in the second half of 2025 was 1.430 billion yuan and 145 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 28.4% and 78.7% [3] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to achieve adjusted net profits of 770 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.27 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17.5X, 13.8X, and 10.6X [6][8]