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TrendForce:主流笔记本电脑售价或将上调40%
WitsView睿智显示· 2026-03-10 07:25
Core Insights - The global laptop market is expected to face dual pressures of weak demand and rising costs by 2026, with significant increases in both memory and CPU prices [4][5] - To maintain existing profit margins, the retail price of a mainstream laptop, originally priced at $900, may need to increase by nearly 40% due to rising component costs [4][5] Component Price Impact - The estimated original bill of materials (BOM) cost for a laptop priced at $900 includes DRAM and SSD, which currently account for nearly 15% of the total cost. This proportion is expected to rise to over 30% by Q1 2026 due to rapid price increases in memory [5] - If both memory and CPU prices rise, their combined share of the BOM could increase from 45% to approximately 58%, necessitating a price increase of over 30% to maintain profit margins [5] CPU Market Dynamics - The CPU market is experiencing not only price fluctuations but also changes in supply stability, particularly for entry-level and low-end CPUs, which are facing supply constraints due to increased demand for AI-related computing [6] - Major brands with strong procurement capabilities are likely to secure more stable supply and pricing conditions, while smaller brands may face heightened cost pressures and shipment risks [6] - AMD has seen an increase in market share due to improved competitiveness, but recent reports indicate potential shortages in some low-end platforms, suggesting that supply tightness is spreading across the market [6]