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受关税战影响,广告行业做好“过冬”准备
财富FORTUNE· 2025-05-09 13:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the tariff war on U.S. companies, leading to significant reductions in advertising spending as businesses prepare for a challenging economic outlook in 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Advertising Industry Response - Major advertising firms like Publicis Groupe and Omnicom Group report that while their clients have not yet cut marketing budgets due to the tariff war, future difficulties are anticipated [1]. - Publicis CEO Arthur Sadoun indicated that many clients face challenging situations due to tariff uncertainties, inflation, and geopolitical instability, suggesting potential budget cuts in the remaining months of the year [1][2]. - Omnicom has lowered its growth forecast for the year from 3.5% to 2.5%, reflecting a cautious outlook amid the current economic climate [2]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The automotive sector, represented by Forvia SE, is particularly vulnerable to trade war impacts, leading to significant cuts in marketing and travel expenses [1]. - Analysts suggest that reducing advertising budgets is a logical response for companies in uncertain environments, as it is easier than layoffs or store closures [2]. Group 3: Historical Context and Strategic Shifts - Historical lessons indicate that drastic cuts in advertising during economic downturns can harm long-term business prospects, as seen in previous crises [3]. - Analysts emphasize that during economic slowdowns, companies should focus on strategic spending in areas with clear conversion metrics, potentially reducing expenditures on less effective channels like television advertising [3][4]. Group 4: Current Market Performance - Alphabet's search advertising revenue reached $50.7 billion in Q1, exceeding analyst expectations, driven by sectors like insurance, retail, healthcare, and travel [4]. - The upcoming earnings reports from Meta and Amazon are anticipated with caution, as investors seek signs of a slowdown in the advertising market [4].