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资本追捧下的AI产业竞争需慎思|法经兵言
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 12:41
2025年上半年,美国整体GDP增长1.6%,但细观其结构,增长动力近乎完全倾斜于数据中心和信息处 理技术领域的巨额投资,其他经济领域的贡献微乎其微,增长率仅为0.1%。据预测,2025年美国人工 智能数据中心支出规模将高达5200亿美元。然而,这种增长主要由微软、谷歌、亚马逊、Meta等科技 巨头驱动,而非由AI技术广泛应用带来的消费侧扩张或生产效率的实质性提升。这些企业动辄投入数 百亿乃至近千亿美元用于"军备竞赛"式的算力堆砌,却普遍面临投资回报率难以预期的风险。美国AI产 业在受到资本追捧的同时,未来是否可持续,更值得关注。 高资本刺激的AI增长模式是否具有可持续性,以及跟随性需要慎思。 另一方面,随着模型规模扩大,训练成本呈指数级增长,但模型性能的提升曲线可能逐渐平缓,单纯堆 砌算力无法实现真正的通用智能,然而,为了在技术上保持领先,企业只能持续投入,这是一种被迫 的"军备竞赛",可能导致算力成为当前AI产业发展中最大的泡沫。 多个维度实现均衡发展 风险值得高度关注 当前,美国AI经济发展高度依赖资本投入,而非依靠全要素生产率提升或消费市场繁荣。AI产业的突 破性进展,首先需要数据中心、电网和硬件的建 ...
AI时代未成年人需要“调控型保护”
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-09-13 23:13
Core Insights - The forum titled "Regulating AI Content, Building a Clear Ecology Together" was held on September 12, focusing on the risks and challenges associated with AI-generated content and its dissemination [6][8][14] - The report "AI New Governance Direction: Observations on the Governance of Risks in AI-Generated Content and Dissemination" was released, highlighting the rapid development of generative AI and the emergence of new risks such as misinformation and privacy concerns [8][14][15] Group 1: AI Governance and Risk Management - The report emphasizes the need for a multi-faceted governance approach to address the risks associated with generative AI, including misinformation, deepfake scams, and privacy violations [15][19] - Key recommendations include strengthening standards and technical governance, promoting collaborative governance among government, enterprises, and associations, and prioritizing social responsibility and ethical considerations in AI development [7][22][23] Group 2: Findings from the Report - The report indicates that 76.5% of respondents have encountered AI-generated fake news, highlighting the widespread impact of misinformation [8][14][20] - It identifies various risks associated with generative AI, including misleading information, deepfake scams, privacy breaches, copyright infringements, and the potential harm to minors [15][18][19] Group 3: Expert Insights and Recommendations - Experts at the forum discussed the challenges of AI content governance, emphasizing the need for a dynamic approach to address the complexities of misinformation and the evolving nature of AI technology [9][10][19] - Recommendations include implementing mandatory identification for AI-generated content, enhancing data compliance mechanisms, and developing educational programs to improve AI literacy among minors [23][24]