[Table_Page] 投资策略|专题报告 2026 年 3 月 1 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 如何看待港股持续疲软？ ——港股市场策略展望 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： （1）三月即将迎来解禁小高峰： 11 年年中、15 年下半年、19 年 3 月、 21 年二季度、22 年年中，解禁潮与港股下跌出现在相似时间段。26 年 3 月主要是有色金属、茶饮、汽车、医药等行业的解禁潮，中大型规模 公司将解禁 872 亿港元，高于去年年末的解禁高峰。由于港股通账户并 不能够参与打新，享受稀缺性公司的上市红利，却需要承受限售股解禁 带来的风险，这可能确实是南向资金对于 2026 年港股的主要担忧之一。 （2）港股年报业绩披露期限临近，存在业绩利空压力：财年与自然年一 致的港股公司需要在 3 月 31 日前披露年报业绩初步公告。 （3）次要因素—地缘政治摩擦升级：尽管美伊军事冲突升级，但对港股 冲击或有限，因假期全球风险偏好并未恶化，非美资产普遍走强；全球 资金更多通过增配油气对冲风险而非抛售股票。 ⚫ 何时能够利空出尽？ 观察窗口期：3 月中下旬，上述压制因素高峰过去，可能会利空出尽 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 马年A股"开门红"如期而至，点燃了市场对春季攻势的期待。 事实上，节前就有多家机构提出"春季行情提前启动"的预判。值得注意的是，为了接住这波"春潮"，不少券商研究所春节前后开启了"连轴 转"模式。 春节期间，有券商直接打出"春节不打烊"的口号，路演日程从除夕排到了大年初七。进门APP数据显示，2月16日至23日，券商研究所合计安 排了292场电话会议，日均超32场。 假期刚过，券商春季策略会又提上日程。节后第二天，天风证券（维权）、西部证券同日拉开春季策略会序幕。近两周内，还有开源证券、东 吴证券等多家券商将陆续召开策略会。 从已披露的会议安排来看，各家策略会呈现出鲜明的差异化定位，有的聚焦科技成长与资源周期，主打"小而美"；有的除了传统的宏观经济分 析，还覆盖商业航天、脑机接口等前沿赛道，尽显"全而新"。 展望后市，在市场活跃度进一步提高的共识下，化工、TMT等多个板块的投资线索正成为券商重点挖掘的方向。 图片来源：本报记者 梁远浩 摄 "春节不打烊" "春节八天不打烊，研究相伴不停歇！"春节前夕，一则券商电话会参会邀请截图在社交媒体 ...

企查查APP显示，近日，上海阶跃星辰智能科技有限公司发生工商变更，新增中贝通信（603220）等为 股东，同时注册资本增至2394.36万元。企查查信息显示，该公司成立于2023年，法定代表人为印奇， 经营范围包含：人工智能基础软件开发；人工智能双创服务平台；软件开发；人工智能通用应用系统 等。公开信息显示，阶跃星辰（StepFun）是一家AI大模型公司。 （原标题：中贝通信等入股AI大模型公司阶跃星辰） ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Household Appliances and Consumer Electronics Expo (AWE) will be held from March 12 to 15 in Shanghai, marking the first exhibition at the Oriental Hub International Business Cooperation Zone, creating an innovative layout of "one exhibition, two zones" [1]. Group 1: Exhibition Details - The expo will feature 1,200 participating companies, with a total exhibition area of 170,000 square meters [1]. - The New International Expo Center will cover 140,000 square meters, focusing on "AI+" and showcasing new smart living scenarios [1]. - The Oriental Hub International Business Cooperation Zone will have an area of 30,000 square meters, primarily displaying the latest achievements in cutting-edge technology [1]. Group 2: Participant and Audience Engagement - Major exhibitors include leading companies in the household appliances and consumer electronics sector, such as Haier, Huawei, Zhiyuan Robotics, and XREAL, covering the entire industry chain from smart terminal sensors to AI large models [1]. - The expo will provide free shuttle buses between the two exhibition zones, with the New International Expo Center being open to the public on March 14 and 15, designated as consumer days [2]. Group 3: International Access and Policies - Foreign visitors can enter the zone with an invitation letter without needing a Chinese visa, and imported goods can enjoy tax benefits such as bonded, duty-free, and tax refund policies [2]. - The Oriental Hub International Business Cooperation Zone is described as a "model for opening up to the outside world," equipped with facilities for meetings, exhibitions, and hotels, enhancing global cooperation [2].

"十五五"规划将脑机接口列为未来产业六大方向之一，政策支持上升至国家战略层面;同时临床技术不 断突破，阶梯医疗于2025年6月成功开展了我国首例侵入式临床试验，标志着我国在侵入式脑机接口技 术上成为全球第二个进入临床试验阶段的国家，并于2025年11月正式进入"创新医疗器械特别审查程 序"，正式打通了从"实验室"走向"市场"的注册审批快车道，产业发展将进入加速期。 智通财经APP获悉，中邮证券发布研报称，2025年，中国AI大模型产品形态进入成熟期，成为市场爆发 的直接推动力，模型的可用性与商业化潜力亦持续上升。AI应用在toB端与toC端均在持续增长。此外， 多种新科技持续发展推进，商业航天市场空间广阔，脑机接口产业发展将进入加速期，量子计算国家战 略引领下已形成千帆竞发的产业布局热潮，市场空间广阔。 中邮证券主要观点如下： AI大模型 2025年，中国AI大模型产品形态进入成熟期，成为市场爆发的直接推动力，低成本、高性能的技术基 础形成了从底层支撑市场高速增长的关键条件，为MaaS和企业大模型的广泛应用创造了可持续的商业 化环境;多模态模型的快速迭代将AI应用从单一文本生成扩展至图像、视频、语音等复合场景 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong "New Spring First Meeting" emphasizes the theme of "coordinated development of manufacturing and service industries," marking the start of high-quality economic development for the year [1] Group 1: Manufacturing and Service Industry Coordination - The coordinated development of manufacturing and service industries is essential for achieving industrial upgrading and embracing technological advancements [1] - The Guangdong government aims to enhance the production service industry by promoting specialization and high-end value chain extension [2] - The core challenge in developing the production service industry lies in enhancing capabilities in areas directly impacting production processes, such as R&D and technology transfer [2] Group 2: Key Areas for Improvement - The most urgent need for Guangdong's manufacturing sector is to strengthen technological R&D and technology transfer capabilities [3] - Emphasis should be placed on developing information technology as a common "adhesive" to integrate advanced manufacturing with modern services [3] - Strengthening supply chain and logistics services is crucial for cost reduction and efficiency in manufacturing [3] Group 3: Timing for Industry Coordination - The current period is critical for promoting the coordination of manufacturing and service industries, as many industrial sectors remain at the low end of the global division of labor [4] - Ignoring the role of the production service industry could hinder opportunities for manufacturing upgrades [4] - A broader perspective is needed to integrate production services with various industries, not just advanced manufacturing [5] Group 4: Role of AI in Manufacturing - AI large models are becoming a core engine for upgrading manufacturing processes, impacting everything from R&D to supply chain management [9] - These models represent a new "soft production factor" that can enhance both production services and life services, driving high-quality and diversified development [9] - The transformation driven by AI is not just technological but also involves a systemic reshaping of production modes, management styles, and industrial ecosystems [9]

A股马年首个交易日迎来普涨，多数核心指数的涨幅都在1%～2%。从2010年以来的统计数据来看，春节假期过后，A股短期实现"开门红"的概率较高。 不过，今年春节假期期间，在港股市场大热的AI大模型、机器人，以及假期数据不错的消费板块今天在A股"意外"遇冷，真正领跑的却是石化、建材、基础 化工、有色金属、煤炭、钢铁等一众"老登"资产。 券商：春季行情仍将延续 今日，A股市场呈现普涨格局，多数核心指数的涨幅都落在1%-2%的区间，其中上证指数上涨 0.87%，收于 4117.41 点，重回 4100 点上方。相比之下，科技 板块走势相对偏弱，科创50、科创100指数分别下跌0.34%、1.55%。 | 指数 | T-20 | T-10 | T-5 | T+5 | T+10 | T+20 | T+ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 万得全A | -1.10% | 0.41% | 1.43% | 1.77% | 2.71% | 4.06% | 4.83 | | 上证指数 | -0.86% | 0.44% | 1.01% | 1.04% | 1.6 ...

RWA 监管更加明晰，金融信息服务监管趋严 [Table_Industry] 综合金融 ——金融科技行业双周报第二十三期 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘欣琦(分析师) | 021-38676647 | liuxinqi@gtht.com | S0880515050001 | | 孙坤(分析师) | 021-38038260 | sunkun@gtht.com | S0880523030001 | 本报告导读： 国内大模型产品与营销均有亮点，带动金融科技相关标的受益，境外 RWA 监管明 细，金融信息监管趋严。合规金融机构更加受益。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 综合金融《权益市场火热，居民边际配置权益资 产》2026.02.09 综合金融《境内虚拟货币违法，境外 RWA 监管 明晰》2026.02.08 综合金融《支付牌照缩减，多家投资咨询公司暂 停新增》2026.02.01 综合金融《消金监管趋严，行业加速出清》 2026.01.25 综合金融《业绩基准新规落地，助推行业长期发 展 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the financial technology sector [4]. Core Insights - The domestic large model products and marketing have shown highlights, benefiting related financial technology stocks. The overseas RWA regulation has become clearer, and financial information regulation is tightening. Compliant financial institutions are expected to benefit more [2]. Summary by Sections 1. AI - From February 2 to February 20, 2026, the financial technology index decreased from 3116.08 to 3093.77, with a return of -0.72%. The Hong Kong financial technology index fell by 3.48% during the same period. Financial IT and third-party payment sectors performed well due to increased marketing efforts of major AI models and new regulations on virtual currencies [7][8]. 2. Overseas RWA Regulation - **2.1 Financial IT**: On February 6, the People's Bank of China and eight departments issued a notice to prevent risks related to virtual currencies and clarified the RWA regulatory framework for overseas issuance [12][13]. - **2.2 Financial Information Services**: On February 9, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges announced optimized refinancing measures, benefiting high-quality R&D enterprises [14]. - **2.3 Third-party Payment**: New scenarios for digital currency have emerged, and the concentration of licenses in the third-party payment sector is accelerating [16]. - **2.4 Consumer Finance**: The head effect is evident, with a focus on promoting domestic demand through consumer finance [18]. 3. Individual Company News and Announcements - **3.1** Lakala is accelerating the development of intelligent payment through MOSS, while Tonghuashun's vertical model has gained high usage rates among brokers [19]. - **3.2** ST Rendo's net assets are expected to turn positive, and Jiufang Zhitu has initiated a stock buyback [21]. 4. Investment Recommendations - Digital RMB is expanding its application scenarios, indicating significant growth potential. AI is driving the upgrade of financial services, presenting new investment opportunities. Recommended core companies include: 1. Financial IT firms benefiting from digital currency upgrades: Changliang Technology, Yuxin Technology, Zhongke Software, and New Zhiyuan Software [24][28]. 2. Financial information service companies focusing on intelligent investment research: Jiufang Zhitu, Tonghuashun, and Dongfang Caifu [24][28]. 3. Payment institutions adapting to digital currency functionalities: Lakala, Yika, and Lianlian Digital [24][28]. 4. Consumer finance companies leveraging intelligent customer service and marketing: Yixin Group and Qifu Technology [24][28].

【导读】回顾假期大事，汇总十大券商研判 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，马上就要开盘了！今晚一起"盘一盘"春节期间的大事，以及看看券商分析师们的最新研判！ 春节期间大事 1．史诗级利好，美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府大规模关税政策违法 美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府大规模关税政策违法。随后特朗普宣布，即刻起对所有进入美国的进口商 品征收15%的新全球关税。 为了征收这项新关税，特朗普诉诸1974年《贸易法》（Trade Act of 1974）里第122条这一法律工具。总 体而言，这项此前从未用于关税的条款允许美国总统征收最高15%的关税，关税只能维持150天，除非 国会批准延长，而贸易专家称延期可能很难获批。 贸易专家表示，鉴于时间限制，美国政府或许能在短期内利用该条款增加收入。目前，该法条为特朗普 团队争取了时间，让他们可以利用其他法律手段制定更具针对性的关税策略。 2．商务部：中方敦促美方取消对贸易伙伴加征的有关单边关税措施 商务部新闻发言人表示，我们注意到美国最高法院公布关税诉讼案裁决结果，正在对相关内容和影响进 行全面评估。我们也注意到，美方正在准备采取贸易调查等替代措施，以期维持对贸易伙伴加征的关 税，中方 ...