Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to benefit from a complete domestic AI industry chain and the influx of quality A-share companies listing in Hong Kong, with a long-term bullish trend anticipated to continue into 2024 despite short-term geopolitical uncertainties [1] Group 1: Market Performance - During the National Day holiday from October 2-6, the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.4% and 1.3% respectively, continuing the upward trend since September 5 [2] - Historically, the Hang Seng Index has averaged a 2.2% increase during the National Day holidays from 2015 to 2024, with the AH premium index averaging a contraction of 2.6% [2] - The average decline of the Hang Seng Index on the first trading day after the holiday is 1.5%, while the CSI 300 has an average increase of 0.9%, indicating a potential for A-shares to catch up post-holiday [2] Group 2: Liquidity and Investment Trends - Despite a 19% month-on-month decline in net inflows for Hong Kong ETFs in September, the total net inflow reached 172.7 billion yuan, the second highest since January 2021 [4] - The expectation of continued inflows into Hong Kong stocks is supported by low yields on financial products and money market funds, alongside a persistent "profit-making effect" in the market [4] - The correlation between the Hang Seng Tech Index and the USD/JPY exchange rate has turned positive, indicating potential benefits for Hong Kong stocks from Japanese investors' arbitrage activities [4] Group 3: AI Innovation and Investment - Major Chinese companies like Alibaba and Baidu are increasingly using self-designed chips for AI model training, reducing reliance on Nvidia chips [5] - Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba are significantly increasing their capital expenditures in AI, with Alibaba planning to invest 380 billion yuan over three years [5] - The ongoing capital investments by U.S. tech giants in AI may lead to negative free cash flow for some companies, reflecting a global demand for AI investments [5] Group 4: Earnings Expectations - The net profit growth forecast for the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index for 2026 is 8.4% and 28.1% respectively, indicating strong global attractiveness [7] - Recent weeks have shown signs of stabilization in profit expectations for various sectors, including gaming, biotech, and software, suggesting potential benefits from valuation adjustments in the fourth quarter [7] - The dynamic PE ratios for the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index are currently at 12.1x and 22.3x, indicating that while valuations may not appear cheap, there is still room for expansion due to liquidity and AI catalysts [8]

Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - KWEB (KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF) has achieved a remarkable return of 50% this year, indicating a resurgence of interest in Chinese internet stocks on Wall Street [2] - The KWEB index fell from $104 at the beginning of 2021 to $21 by the end of 2024, reflecting a nearly 80% cumulative decline due to regulatory policies, macroeconomic challenges, and strained US-China relations [2] - The Hang Seng Index surged past 27,000 points on October 2, driven primarily by overseas capital, despite the absence of southbound funds during the holiday [3] Group 2: Investment Sentiment and Institutional Interest - International investors' interest in Chinese stocks has reached its highest level in years, as indicated by multiple roadshows conducted in the US and Asia [3][4] - A hedge fund manager noted that their portfolio gains were primarily driven by investments in Chinese technology and innovative pharmaceutical sectors, as they found US stocks too expensive [7] - The capital expenditure of major Chinese cloud service providers (BAT) has significantly increased, with Alibaba and Baidu showing growth rates of 57% and 30% respectively in their capital expenditures [14] Group 3: AI and Technology Sector Developments - The AI wave in the US has finally linked to the Chinese stock market, boosting sectors such as semiconductors, hardware, and the internet, with Alibaba and Tencent seeing stock price increases of approximately 120% and 60% respectively this year [3][10] - The semiconductor leader, Cambrian, reported a staggering 43-fold increase in revenue, marking its first half-year profit, with ByteDance as its largest client [7] - Chinese data center companies, such as CenturyLink and GDS, are major beneficiaries of the increased capital expenditure in AI, with their stock prices reflecting this trend [8][16] Group 4: Future Outlook and Market Dynamics - The capital expenditure of Chinese cloud service providers is rapidly catching up to that of their US counterparts, with a reported $45 billion in the past 12 months compared to $291 billion for US firms [15] - The growth prospects for Chinese data center companies are optimistic, with CenturyLink's management expressing confidence in exceeding previous order volumes in the upcoming quarters [9] - Despite the current interest from international investors, long-term investment may still require more time to materialize, as some investors remain cautious due to recent economic performance concerns [18][19]

Core Insights - The report analyzes the enterprise-level AI Agent market in China, projecting a market size of approximately 23.2 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 120% from 2023 to 2027 [1][4] - The AI large model application market is expected to reach 32.8 billion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of 131% during the same period [1][4] - The current application landscape shows a "leading head and hesitant middle and small enterprises" characteristic, with 70% of leading enterprises willing to pay for customized solutions, focusing on intelligent customer service and supply chain optimization [1][4] - The penetration rates for intelligent customer service exceed 70%, while data analysis stands at 60%, with vertical fields like government and finance accelerating their expansion [1][4] Definition and Background - AI large models are defined as deep learning models with over 100 million parameters, categorized into general and vertical models, single-modal and multi-modal models, and open-source and closed-source models [6][8] - AI Agents are systems with environmental perception, autonomous decision-making, and action execution capabilities, characterized by four key dimensions: perception, planning, action, and memory [8][12] Application Status of AI Agents - The enterprise-level AI Agent market is projected to reach approximately 23.2 billion yuan by 2025, with a significant divide in procurement between leading enterprises and small to medium-sized enterprises [4][39] - The application of AI Agents is transitioning from "popular" to "integrated" levels, with leading enterprises exploring advanced applications while many others remain at the initial stages [39] Trends and Outlook - The report highlights a shift towards AI as a new productivity tool, moving from "AI assisting humans" to "AI autonomously serving" [5] - Over 60% of central enterprises are building a "large model + Agent" dual-engine system, indicating a strong trend towards integration [5] - The emergence of new product trends in AI Agents includes coding intelligent agents, CUA, and multi-modal interactive agents [5] Investment Landscape - In 2024, AI investment in the U.S. is expected to reach 109 billion USD, focusing on foundational technology breakthroughs, while China's AI investment is projected at 14.6 billion USD, with a 14% year-on-year decline [22][23] - Despite the overall decline, investment is increasingly concentrated on leading companies in the sector, with Beijing maintaining its position as a core hub for AI innovation in China [22][23] Policy Support - The Chinese government has announced plans to deepen the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, aiming for widespread integration of AI across six key sectors by 2027, with a target application penetration rate exceeding 70% [25][26]

央广网北京9月26日消息（总台记者任梦岩）据中央广播电视总台中国之声《新闻纵横》报道，"十一"假期将至，您的旅行攻略准备好了吗？订机票、 选酒店、挑景点、找美食……还没出发，已经费了不少功夫。最近，多家在线旅游平台接连上线AI大模型，只要告诉AI你的需求，几秒钟就能拿到一份定 制攻略。未来，我们能靠AI给出的攻略，来一场说走就走的旅行吗？ 刘先生从事AI开发，他告诉记者，最近他在外地出差、旅游时，基本离不开AI程序了，只需要告诉软件自己的目的地，路线指引、终点美食指引，都 能实现。 刘先生表示："比如我去成都，可能待上两三天，住的地方周围也不太熟，我可能会用AI导游助手整体去规划一下离我住的酒店比较近的景点有哪些、 怎么走是最顺的。如果它捕捉到你是一个爱吃西餐的人，它就会推荐你逛完景点之后，晚饭时间在景点周围正好有一家当地很有名的西餐店。" 一家商旅平台近期刚刚上线了AI旅行助手，工作人员刘婷介绍，相较于此前辗转多个平台查攻略、比价订票，借助商旅平台资源，AI助手可以快速生 成指定目的地的旅行方案。 刘婷说："以上海至三亚5日的家庭游为例，输入出行的日期和人员的构成，系统会结合实时的数据推荐上午的直飞航班来， ...

加快培育建设生物制造领域国家级平台、构建AI大模型产业投入增长新机制……9月24日，北京市政协 举行"探索未来产业投入增长机制、抢占发展先机，增强首都高质量发展内生动力"专题议政性常委会会 议，与会委员就合成生物制造、AI大模型、商业航天等产业发展建言献策。 建议1 打造北京生物制造特色产业园区 北京正积极布局和大力发展合成生物制造产业，培育下一个千亿级的生物经济增长点，加速经济社会发 展。 北京市政协常委、北京化工大学校长、中国工程院院士谭天伟表示，生物制造是一种跨学科领域的产品 生产方式，在医药、化工、材料和农业等行业中发挥至关重要的作用，是绿色、低碳、可持续的经济发 展模式。预计本世纪末，整个制造业70%的产品可以用生物法生产，产值将超30万亿美元，占到总制造 业产值的1/3以上。 他建议，北京应加快布局和培育建设生物制造领域国家级平台，推动北京及周边生物制造产业高质量发 展。建议北京设置专项资金用于生物制造公共服务平台建设，加速合成生物制造工程化关键技术研发、 概念验证、成果转化等工作。同时发挥北京策源功能，协同天津、河北推进生物制造产业发展。 充分利用中关村科技园政策优势，有效集聚在京高校、科研院所 ...

Market Overview - The current bull market in A-shares, initiated by a shift in China's tech narrative, is still ongoing and has not yet ended, with short-term pullbacks presenting buying opportunities[2] - The bull market is supported by three main factors: improved market expectations due to macroeconomic policy changes, ongoing capital market reforms, and sustained inflows from long-term funds like social security and insurance[2] Historical Analysis - Historical data shows that there have been 15 instances of major pullbacks (over 10%) in the Shanghai Composite Index during previous bull markets (2005-2007, 2014-2015, and 2019-2021)[3][14] - Major pullbacks are primarily caused by three factors: micro liquidity tightening (9 instances), macro liquidity tightening (4 instances), and "black swan" events (2 instances)[3][16] Pullback Characteristics - Major pullbacks typically exhibit a pattern of "sharp declines followed by slow recoveries," with an average decline duration of 12 trading days and an average recovery time of 26 trading days[4][21] - The average maximum decline during these pullbacks is approximately 12.9%, with micro liquidity tightening leading to the fastest recoveries[25][28] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to adopt a strategy of "waiting for pullbacks" rather than attempting to predict market tops or bottoms, focusing on gradual accumulation after signs of recovery[6][49] - The recommended focus for investments should be on hard technology sectors, particularly AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to continue their upward trajectory despite market fluctuations[8][51] Sector Rotation - Historical pullbacks often coincide with sector rotations, where funds shift from high-performing sectors to those with lower valuations, although maintaining a focus on core sectors is crucial[5][50] - The bull market's main narrative has historically been driven by a few key sectors, such as finance and technology, which tend to outperform during the overall market rally[29][46]

记者丨庞华玮 "9·24行情"满一周年，这一年，A股市场一扫阴霾，赚钱效应显著。 "三驾马车" 去年"9·24行情"至今刚好满一年的时间，过去一年，A股市场走出了两波大幅上涨的行情：第一波 是"9·24新政"出台之后，市场出现快速上攻，大盘在短短的几个交易日上涨逾千点，随后出现了一定的 调整。 第二波行情是从今年六月底至今，这一波上攻超过了去年10月8日创出来的上证指数高点，A股形成了 牛市的走势。 编辑丨张星 值得一提的是，这是一场以科技创新和高质量发展为核心的"结构牛"，它正深刻地改变着A股结构和投 资版图。 近一年，作为科技和新经济代表的创业板指、科创50、北证50等三大指数的涨幅均超过100%，人形机 器人、半导体、算力、创新药赛道等轮动行情引爆结构性牛市。 创业板指近一年走势。 截至9月23日收盘，近一年上证指数累计上涨39%，沪深300上涨41%，北证50指数更是暴涨158%。个股 方面，全市场近3000只个股涨幅逾50%，其中1400余只股价翻倍。 A股经过这两波大涨，指数全面开花，其中科技股含量重的指数表现尤为突出。 创业板指、科创50、北证50，这"三驾马车"作为新经济的代表，近一年（202 ...

记者丨 庞华玮 编辑丨张星 "9·24行情"满一周年，这一年，A股市场一扫阴霾，赚钱效应显著。 值得一提的是， 这是一场以科技创新和高质量发展为核心的"结构牛"，它正深刻地改变着A股结构和投资版图。 近一年，作为科技和新经济代表的创业板指、科创50、北证50等三大指数的涨幅均超过100%，人形机器人、半导体、算力、创新药赛道等轮 动行情引爆结构性牛市。 创业板指近一年走势。 截至9月23日收盘，近一年上证指数累计上涨39%，沪深300上涨41%，北证50指数更是暴涨158%。 个股方面，全市场近3000只个股涨幅逾 50%，其中1400余只股价翻倍。 "三驾马车" 去年"9·24行情"至今刚好满一年的时间，过去一年，A股市场走出了两波大幅上涨的行情：第一波是"9·24新政"出台之后，市场出现快速上攻， 大盘在短短的几个交易日上涨逾千点，随后出现了一定的调整。 第二波行情是从今年六月底至今，这一波上攻超过了去年10月8日创出来的上证指数高点，A股形成了牛市的走势。 A股经过这两波大涨，指数全面开花，其中科技股含量重的指数表现尤为突出。 创业板指、科创50、北证50，这"三驾马车"作为新经济的代表，近一年（202 ...

1 2025年9月26日 ♀ 北京世纪金源大饭店 2025中国安防"人工智能+"行动大会 2025低空安全大会&2025智能机器人论坛 关于大会 人工智能是新一轮科技革命和产业变革的重要驱动力量, 是推动安防行业转型升级的核心引擎。为积极响应国务院常务 会议提出的《关于深入实施"人工智能 +"行动的意见》,贯彻 落实"人工智能 + 安防"行动,以技术革新为引擎,推动安防 新质生产力跃升,兹定于 2025年 9 月 26 日,在北京召开 2025 中国安防"人工智能 +"行动大会。本次大会以"数智世 界 全域安全"为主题,聚焦"人工智能 + 安防"的创新发展, 围绕政策方向、产业变革、技术创新、发展瓶颈等议题展开深 度研讨,旨在凝聚资源、深化交流,探索新赛道新动能,推动 人工智能与安防科技发展深度融合,形成以创新带应用、以应 用促创新的良性循环,支撑和保障国家安全体系与能力现代化, 构建动态敏捷、多元协同的人工智能治理格局。 9 2025年9月26日 2 北京 ·世纪金源大饭店 大会议程 ▼ 金源厅 09:00-12:00 2025 中国安防"人工智能 +"行动大会 09:00-09:05 ● 主持人开场 王 ...

近一年，作为科技和新经济代表的创业板指、科创50、北证50等三大指数的涨幅均超过100%，人形机器人、半导体、算力、创新药赛道等轮动行 情引爆结构性牛市。 截至9月23日收盘，近一年上证指数累计上涨39%，沪深300上涨41%，北证50指数更是暴涨158%。个股方面，全市场近3000只个股涨幅逾50%， 其中1400余只股价翻倍。 （原标题："9·24行情"一周年：A股迎历史性蜕变，科技引领结构性牛市） 21世纪经济报道特约记者庞华玮 "9·24行情"满一周年，这一年，A股市场一扫阴霾，赚钱效应显著。 值得一提的是，这是一场以科技创新和高质量发展为核心的"结构牛"，它正深刻地改变着A股结构和投资版图。 去年"9·24行情"至今刚好满一年的时间，过去一年，A股市场走出了两波大幅上涨的行情：第一波是"9·24新政"出台之后，市场出现快速上攻，大 盘在短短的几个交易日上涨逾千点，随后出现了一定的调整。 第二波行情是从今年六月底至今，这一波上攻超过了去年10月8日创出来的上证指数高点，A股形成了牛市的走势。 A股经过这两波大涨，指数全面开花，其中科技股含量重的指数表现尤为突出。 创业板指、科创50、北证50，这"三驾 ...