Joining us now is Melius Researchers head of energy and power research James West. James, thank you very much for joining us. >> Thanks for having me, Ryan.>> Well, do you think we first off, can we make that kind of power. >> So, I think we're going to be seeing fencing starts here on power generation. I mean, we didn't have power growth in this country for 20 years, and now we're having this dramatic surge in growth.And power is the table stakes, as I mentioned in the note, uh to AI. If you don't have ele ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company and Industry Involved - **Company**: Google (Alphabet Inc.) - **Industry**: Cloud Computing, Hardware & Networking Core Insights and Arguments - **Capex Growth**: Google reported a significant increase in capital expenditures (capex) for Q2 2025, with a rise of **+70% year-over-year** to **$22.4 billion**, exceeding the consensus estimate of approximately **$18 billion** [1] - **Full-Year Outlook**: The company raised its full-year capex outlook for 2025 to **$85 billion**, up from a previous estimate of **$75 billion**, indicating a year-over-year growth of **60%+** [1] - **Investment Focus**: The majority of the capex is directed towards technical infrastructure, with **two-thirds** allocated to servers and the remaining to datacenters and networking equipment [1] - **Future Projections**: Management hinted at further increases in capex for 2026, driven by strong customer demand and growth opportunities [1] Additional Important Information - **Implications for Other Hyperscalers**: Google's capex results are expected to set a precedent for other U.S. hyperscalers, suggesting a similar trend in spending appetite when they report their earnings [1] - **Supplier Impact**: Companies with exposure to AI infrastructure spending, such as Celestica, Flex, Arista, and others, are anticipated to benefit from this increased capex [1] - **Historical Capex Trends**: The report includes a historical overview of Google's quarterly capex, showing fluctuations and significant increases in recent quarters, particularly in Q2 2025 [2] This summary encapsulates the critical financial insights and future expectations regarding Google's capital expenditures and their implications for the broader cloud computing and hardware industry.

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia has been a significant beneficiary of the generative AI boom, with its stock price increasing dramatically since the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, peaking at $149.43 per share by January 2025 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Historical Context - Nvidia's stock has experienced a 35% decline recently due to trade tensions and concerns over AI infrastructure spending sustainability [2] - Historically, Nvidia shares have rebounded after similar declines, averaging a 305% return in the two years following drawdowns exceeding 35% [4] - Over the past decade, Nvidia's stock price increased by 17,400%, despite facing three significant drawdowns of over 35% [3][4] Group 2: Market Position and Demand - Nvidia holds a dominant market position with approximately 98% market share in data center GPUs and over 85% in AI accelerators [6] - Concerns have arisen regarding competition from DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, which may impact demand for Nvidia's GPUs [7] - Despite potential competition, analysts expect overall demand for Nvidia GPUs to increase as AI becomes more accessible and costs decrease [9] Group 3: Future Growth Opportunities - Nvidia is well-positioned to benefit from various applications beyond generative AI, including autonomous vehicles and robotics, which will drive demand for its products [9][10] - The AI accelerator market is projected to grow at an annual rate of 29%, suggesting durable revenue growth for Nvidia [13] - Wall Street anticipates Nvidia's earnings to grow at 38% annually through fiscal 2027, indicating that the current valuation of 32 times earnings is attractive [14] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - While Nvidia may face increased competition from ASICs developed by Broadcom and Marvell, the threat is not as significant as perceived [11] - Nvidia's GPUs are supported by a comprehensive suite of software development tools, which provides a competitive edge over ASICs that require companies to develop applications from scratch [12] - Despite potential market share loss, Nvidia's GPUs are expected to account for over 80% of AI accelerator sales by 2030 [13] Group 5: Investment Outlook - Nvidia shares are currently down 35% from their peak, but the company has a history of rebounding from larger losses [15] - The long-term growth potential and current valuation suggest that Nvidia stock is a worthwhile investment for patient investors [15]