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从“更快”到“更省”:AI下半场,TPU重构算力版图
半导体行业观察· 2026-02-09 01:18
当谷歌的大模型 Gemini 3 在2025年末以惊人的多模态处理速度和极低的延迟震撼业界 时,外界往往将目光聚焦于算法的精进。然而,真正的功臣正沉默地跳动在谷歌数据中心 的机架上——那就是他们潜研10年的 TPU (Tensor Processing Unit)。 长期以来,英伟达凭借其"通用而强大"的 GPU 统治了模型训练的黄金时代。但随着大模 型 走 进 规 模 化 应 用 爆 发 期 , 算 力 逻 辑 正 发 生 本 质 改 变 : " 训 练 为 王 " 的 旧 秩 序 正 在 瓦 解,"推理为王"的新时代已经降临。 当专用架构的极致效率突破了通用架构的冗余局限,以 TPU 为代表的 ASIC 芯片正以不 可阻挡之势,从英伟达手中接过主角的剧本,重塑全球AI算力的权力版图。 成本为王,芯片变了 这些年,在海内外厂商的共同推动下,大模型和人工智能成为了几乎人尽皆知的热词。所谓大模 型,其诞生有点像一个人的成长:先通过预训练"博览群书",在海量文本中学习语言结构和世界知 识;再通过指令微调,学会如何按人类要求组织和表达回答;接着借助基于人类反馈的强化学习, 对齐输出风格与边界,使回答更符合人类偏好; ...
Prediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Will Be Worth $5 Trillion by End of 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-06 21:20
On Oct. 29, 2025, Nvidia's (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock closed at an all-time high of $207.03 per share, boosting its market capitalization to $5.03 trillion. That made it the first company in the world to ever cross the $5 trillion mark. Since then, Nvidia's stock has declined 11%, reducing its market cap to about $4.5 trillion. The bears claim it will head even lower as the "AI bubble" bursts, but I believe it will return to $5 trillion -- and beyond -- by the end of the year as it overcomes its near-term chall ...
国产AI下一站 生态高墙下,芯片与模型“双向奔赴”
Core Insights - The Chinese AI industry is entering a new phase of commercial validation and large-scale application, with companies like Zhiyuan Huazhang, MiniMax, and others recently listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1] - Despite advancements, domestic chip manufacturers face significant challenges due to reliance on NVIDIA's ecosystem, which limits their competitiveness in the market [1][3] - The focus is shifting from achieving absolute computing power to enhancing system efficiency and application relevance, with an emphasis on "domestic adaptation" to improve computational efficiency [1][6] Industry Challenges - The AI application landscape in China has shown remarkable vitality, with models like Qianwen and Zhiyuan GLM performing competitively on benchmarks, yet 99% of AI applications still rely on NVIDIA's infrastructure [3][4] - The entrenched NVIDIA ecosystem, developed over nearly two decades, presents high migration costs for AI companies, complicating the transition to domestic solutions [4] - Domestic chips often struggle with performance and integration issues, leading to a cycle of low adoption and slow ecosystem improvement, which in turn keeps production costs high [4][5] Opportunities for Collaboration - The shift in AI development towards continuous and decentralized inference presents an opportunity for domestic chip manufacturers to differentiate themselves [6] - Collaboration between model and chip developers is essential to address ecological challenges, moving beyond simple hardware deployment to full-stack optimization [6][7] - Initiatives like the "Model-Chip Ecological Innovation Alliance" aim to bridge the technical barriers between chips, models, and platforms, focusing on cost reduction and scalable AI applications [7]
国产芯片的下半场,从撕掉「中国英伟达」的标签开始
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-04 23:36
2026 年初的资本市场,显得有些拥挤。 如果你最近盯着科创板和港股的公告看,会发现一个很有趣的现象,中国的芯片公司正在排队敲钟。摩 尔线程正式挂牌,燧原科技紧随其后,甚至连大厂内部孵化多年的阿里平头哥、 百度昆仑芯 ,也纷纷 传出了分拆独立上市的消息。 这种场面,像极了当年互联网最狂热的时候。 但是,如果你仔细观察这些公司的故事,会发现一个尤其荒诞的现象。在面对投资人时,每一家都恨不 得把"中国英伟达"的字样写到PPT上,但在实际的业务闭门会上,他们却在拼命撕掉这个标签,走上一 条和英伟达完全相反的路。 这就是 2026 年中国芯片界最大的公开秘密,没人想做"中国英伟达",但在上市之前,人人都得穿上这 件衣服。 这是一场关于IPO估值的精巧表演,也是一场关于生存的战略撤退。 这波芯片上市潮背后的真实算盘,到底是什么? 1、人人都想穿上英伟达的马甲 为什么这些明明走着不同路径的公司,在宣传时非要挂着英伟达这三个字。 原因非常简单:为了拉高估值。 在资本市场的估值逻辑里,英伟达是神。它的毛利、市场占有率和 CUDA 生态带来的高护城河,让它 拥有了接近 40 倍甚至更高的市盈率。 对于一个中国芯片创业公司来说, ...
英伟达难独占鳌头 博通与台积电将成定制芯片大赢家!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 03:45
智通财经2月4日讯(编辑 马兰)随着人工智能热潮的继续推进,英伟达很可能失去如今的主导地位, 因为越来越多的大型数据中心运营商为降低成本,正在采购定制芯片(ASIC),这将让英伟达的通用 型芯片"跌落云端"。 ASIC与GPU 英伟达GPU的核心优势是大规模并行计算能力,适合处理矩阵乘法、卷积运算等人工智能任务。但随着 数据中心投入和能耗问题的不断加剧,各大数据中心所有公司正在思考更加高效简约,且符合自身需求 的解决方案。 如博通为谷歌设计的TPU,其核心是脉动阵列架构,专注于矩阵乘法等张量运算,其能效比是英伟达 H100的2到3倍,而推理成本则低30%至40%。高盛分析师James Schneider指出,TPU技术从v6发展到v7 还将帮助每个token的成本下降70%。 研究公司Counterpoint在一份报告中指出,博通预计将在2027年继续保持其作为顶级AI服务器计算ASIC 设计合作伙伴的领先地位,市场份额进一步扩大至60%。 与此同时,与博通合作紧密的台积电也将快速扩张。作为定制芯片的主要代工选择,该公司几乎完全吃 下全球前十大数据中心及ASIC客户的晶圆制造订单,市场份额接近99%。 Cou ...
黄仁勋对谈达索CEO 英伟达开辟第三战场
2026新年伊始,英伟达创始人兼CEO黄仁勋马不停蹄,几乎比任何一个CEO都要勤奋。刚结束中国之 行,他又参加工业软件巨头达索系统主导的3DEXPERIENCE World大会。 简单来说,英伟达将为达索系统的软件平台注入更多AI智能。包括双方将共建经科学验证的世界模 型,并在达索3DEXPERIENCE平台中引入"专业级虚拟助手"(skilled virtual companions),为生物学、 材料科学、工程与制造等领域的专业人士赋能。 工业级平台、行业模型、数字孪生、智能体......这些都是物理AI的重要基础,从去年开始,黄仁勋就把 物理AI定义为AI的未来图景。 英伟达的核心,就是要支持物理世界中全部类型的算力需求和数据类型,其中就包括并不被大众关注, 但十分关键的3D软件,这是物理世界和虚拟世界之间最重要的数字桥梁。 (黄仁勋和达索系统CEO Pascal Daloz在大会现场) 一架飞机,是先在达索系统的软件里飞起来,然后才把乘客送到硅谷。这一次,英伟达直接在设计源头 强化了AI合作。 而黄仁勋的野心,显然不只是想占据全球市值第一这一时的风头。资本市场的成功,或已不再是他的最 高目标,他想要成 ...
Nvidia CEO Supports All Developers Amid DeepSeek Claims
Youtube· 2026-02-02 21:13
Our software is used by developers everywhere. And. And on that basis, then, of course, of course every developer uses NVIDIA software.They use the video software from CUDA to CUDA and then to, you know, tensor or TLM. And so whenever whenever developers want to use our software, we openly support everyone. That's our job supporting developers every development and we support developers all over the world. We have five, 6 million developers around the world.Every developer in the world works with a video, a ...
Why AMD Is Set to Outperform NVIDIA - A Top Buy AI Stock
ZACKS· 2026-02-02 21:00
Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) has experienced a significant stock surge of 107.1% over the past year, outperforming NVIDIA Corporation's (NVDA) growth of 63.8% [2][8] - AMD is positioned as a strong competitor in the AI chip market, with expectations to continue its growth trajectory and potentially outpace NVIDIA [4][10] Company Performance - AMD's entry into the AI market, although later than competitors, has been marked by rapid advancements and competitive pricing, attracting major clients like OpenAI and IBM [5][6] - The company anticipates Q4 2025 revenues to reach approximately $9.6 billion, indicating a 25% year-over-year growth driven by its expanding AI business [8][10] Market Position - AMD's chips are increasingly recognized as viable alternatives to NVIDIA's offerings, with significant adoption by industry leaders for AI applications [6][7] - The company's diversified revenue streams, particularly from gaming, provide a buffer against potential downturns in the AI sector, reducing overall risk [9][10] Analyst Outlook - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on AMD, with an average short-term price target of $286.49, representing a potential increase of 13.6% from the last closing price [11] - The highest price target set by analysts is $380, suggesting a possible upside of 50.7% [11]
老黄大出血,OpenAI背刺英伟达,微软自研芯连夜拆掉CUDA护城河?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-02 10:43
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft has officially launched its second-generation AI chip, Maia 200, which aims to disrupt NVIDIA's dominance in the AI hardware market by reducing reliance on its CUDA software and offering a more cost-effective solution for AI computations [1][21][24]. Group 1: Product Launch and Features - Maia 200 is built on TSMC's 3nm process and is accompanied by the software Triton, which significantly reduces the code required for developers, making it easier to transition from CUDA [2][6]. - The chip features 272MB of on-chip SRAM, enhancing performance and reducing costs for token generation by 30% compared to existing hardware [10][12]. - The performance of Maia 200 is reported to be comparable to or even surpassing CUDA by 5-37% in certain scenarios, with a 75-90% reduction in code volume for developers [6][22]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The launch of Maia 200 signifies a shift in the AI computing landscape, where cost efficiency will become a key competitive factor, moving away from the previous focus on model size [21][24]. - Other companies like Google and Meta are also developing alternatives to CUDA, indicating a broader industry trend towards diversifying AI computing solutions [7][23]. - The relationship between Microsoft and OpenAI has become strained, as OpenAI has placed a significant order with Cerebras instead of Microsoft, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the AI space [15][16]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The success of Maia 200 is crucial for Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, as it directly impacts his potential earnings from a $96.5 million performance-based compensation agreement [17]. - Microsoft is projected to spend over $80 billion on AI infrastructure by 2025, making cost reduction through Maia 200 essential for maintaining profit margins [19]. - The shift towards Maia 200 represents a strategic move for Microsoft to reclaim control over its AI infrastructure and reduce dependency on NVIDIA, which could lead to significant valuation increases for the company [20][24].
Nvidia vs. AMD vs. Broadcom: What's the Best AI Chip Stock to Own for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-31 17:14
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the strong investment potential in chip stocks, particularly Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, due to their fabless business model which leads to high margins [1][2]. Company Analysis - Nvidia is identified as the market leader in AI computing hardware, with its GPUs being the preferred choice for training and running AI models. The company has seen significant growth, becoming the world's largest by market cap, and is set to launch its next chip architecture, Rubin, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge [3]. - AMD is noted for its competitive positioning, particularly in CPUs, but is still seen as a second-tier player in many chip categories. Despite this, AMD's GPUs are more affordable alternatives to Nvidia's, and the company has experienced a tenfold increase in downloads of its ROCm software, indicating growing interest in its products. Nvidia maintains over 90% market share in the discrete GPU market, with AMD holding a smaller portion [4]. - Broadcom is taking a different approach by designing chips that may be specialized for specific workloads, contrasting with Nvidia and AMD's flexible, general-purpose processors. This specialization may cater to the needs of AI hyperscalers [5].