AIDC及算力租赁
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开源证券晨会纪要-20260127
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-27 14:40
Macro Economic Overview - The transaction volume and price of second-hand houses have both increased, indicating a recovery in the real estate market [6][29] - Construction activity has shown seasonal improvement, with cement dispatch rates and grinding machine operation rates higher than the same period in 2025 [3][4] - Industrial production has shown mixed results, with strong performance in chemicals and automotive steel tires, while coking has lagged [3][4] Food and Beverage Industry - The allocation ratio for food and beverage stocks has decreased to a new low of 6.1% in Q4 2025, down from 6.4% in Q3 2025, indicating a continued reduction in holdings by active equity funds [10][12] - The white liquor sector has seen a decrease in fund allocation, with the proportion of white liquor holdings falling from 3.2% in Q3 2025 to 2.9% in Q4 2025 [11] - The food and beverage sector is expected to see a recovery in Q1 2026 due to the upcoming Spring Festival, which will drive demand for inventory replenishment [13][15] Communication Industry - The announcement by Amazon AWS to raise prices for machine learning capacity blocks by approximately 15% highlights the increasing scarcity of AI cloud infrastructure [19][22] - The investment of $2 billion by NVIDIA in CoreWeave underscores the strong demand for AI computing resources [20][22] - The release of Alibaba's Qwen3-Max-Thinking model indicates the growing capabilities of domestic AI models, which may significantly boost demand for AI cloud infrastructure [21][22] Coal Mining Industry - Coal prices have improved in Q4 2025, with thermal coal prices averaging 824.9 RMB/ton, up 8% quarter-on-quarter, and coking coal prices averaging 1725.7 RMB/ton, up 10% [23][24] - The coal industry is expected to benefit from a cyclical rebound as supply-side policies restrict production and demand increases during the heating season [25][26] Real Estate and Construction Industry - Public funds have reduced their allocation to the real estate sector to 0.43% in Q4 2025, the lowest since 2021, reflecting a cautious outlook on the sector [27][28] - Recent policy changes, including tax reductions on second-hand housing and relaxed purchase restrictions, indicate a supportive stance towards stabilizing the real estate market [30][29] Company-Specific Insights - IFBH has initiated systematic adjustments in product, management, and channel areas, leading to improved fundamentals and a maintained "buy" rating [30][31] - Ximai Foods is expected to see profit elasticity due to strong market demand during the Spring Festival and declining raw material costs, with a projected net profit increase of 31.5% in 2025 [35][38] - Jinchuang Group is positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the rail transit sector, with expected net profits of 6.02 billion RMB in 2025 [40][42]
通信行业点评报告:重视AI云IAAS稀缺性:AIdc及算力租赁
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-27 11:09
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing scarcity of AI cloud infrastructure, as evidenced by Amazon AWS's first price increase in 20 years for its EC2 machine learning capacity blocks, which rose by approximately 15% [4] - NVIDIA's investment of $2 billion in CoreWeave aims to enhance AI computing capacity, further validating the high demand for AI cloud infrastructure [5] - Alibaba's launch of the Qwen3-Max-Thinking model, with over 1 trillion parameters and 36 trillion tokens of pre-training data, positions it as one of the strongest domestic AI models, likely driving demand for AI cloud infrastructure [6] Summary by Sections AI Public Cloud - Beneficiaries include Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu [7] AIDC Data Centers - Recommended stocks: Dawi Technology, New Idea Network Group, Aofei Data, Guanghuan New Network, Runze Technology - Beneficiaries include Century Interconnect, Global Data, Wangsu Science and Technology, Dongyangguang, Dataport, and Kehua Data [7] Computing Power Leasing - Beneficiaries include Hongjing Technology, Xiechuang Data, Capital Online, Runjian Shares, Yunsai Zhili, Zhiwei Intelligent, and Hangjin Technology [7] AIDC Liquid Cooling & Power Supply - Recommended stock: Yingweike - Beneficiaries include Shenling Environment, Yinlun Shares, Tongfei Shares, Gaolan Shares, Zhongheng Electric, Kehua Data, Kete Power, and Weichai Heavy Industry [7]