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AppLovin Stock: May Be Facing Diminishing Marginal Returns (NASDAQ:APP)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-05 06:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on a generalist approach across various sectors with potential for outperforming the S&P 500 [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy involves managing a family portfolio primarily through a Self Managed Super Fund, with a typical holding period ranging from a few quarters to multiple years [1] - Comprehensive spreadsheets are maintained to track historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and performance indicators [1] Research Methodology - The research methodology includes monitoring industry news, company filings, and peer valuations, with a focus on understanding the five key drivers of DCF valuation: revenues, costs and margins, cash flow conversion, capex and investments, and interest rates [1] - In cases of significant leadership changes, a deep dive into the new CEO's background and past performance is conducted to assess potential impacts on the company [1] Valuation Approach - The article notes a preference for assessing historical performance and broad outlooks over long-term DCF projections, with reverse DCF analysis used for companies trading at high multiples [1]
Intel Q2 Preview: Why I Expect More Pain, Offsetting All Gains
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-23 04:26
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on a generalist approach across various sectors with potential alpha compared to the S&P 500 [1] - The typical holding period for investments is between a few quarters to multiple years, indicating a long-term investment strategy [1] - The research methodology includes maintaining comprehensive spreadsheets with historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and performance indicators, rather than relying heavily on DCF models [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the significance of assessing a company's performance based on five key drivers of DCF valuation: revenues, costs and margins, cash flow conversion, capex and investments, and interest rates [1] - There is a focus on monitoring industry news and reports, as well as the performance of key leaders during significant changes, such as CEO transitions [1]
ASML Bulls Beware: The Data Points To Prolonged Weakness Ahead
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-17 14:04
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on sectors with perceived alpha potential compared to the S&P 500 [1] - The investment approach includes maintaining comprehensive spreadsheets that track historical financial data, key metrics, and industry news to inform investment decisions [1] - The author prefers assessing company performance based on key drivers of valuation rather than projecting long-term financials, highlighting the significance of revenues, costs, margins, cash flow, capital expenditures, and interest rates [1] Company Research Approach - The research methodology involves a generalist approach, allowing for exploration and investment across various sectors [1] - Historical data and performance metrics are meticulously tracked to identify trends and potential investment opportunities [1] - The analysis includes monitoring industry news and reports, as well as evaluating leadership changes and their impact on company performance [1]