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快手-W(01024):盈利能力稳步提升,AI业务商业化提供增量空间
Western Securities· 2025-11-25 05:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) [5][3][10] Core Insights - Kuaishou-W's Q3 2025 performance shows steady improvement in profitability, with revenue reaching 35.554 billion yuan (YoY +14%), operating profit at 4.676 billion yuan (YoY +76%), and net profit at 4.488 billion yuan (YoY +37%) [1][5] - The average daily active users (DAU) for Kuaishou in Q3 2025 was 416 million (YoY +2.1%), and the average monthly active users (MAU) reached 731 million (YoY +2.4%) [1] - The company has launched the Keling 2.5 Turbo model, which ranked first in global generative video models, contributing over 300 million yuan in revenue in Q3 2025 [2] - Kuaishou's core business revenue, primarily from online marketing services and e-commerce, grew by 19.2% YoY, with online marketing service revenue at 20.1 billion yuan (YoY +14%) [2] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Kuaishou from 2025 to 2027 are 143.103 billion yuan, 157.436 billion yuan, and 171.330 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 12.8%, 10.0%, and 8.8% respectively [3][4] - Adjusted net profit estimates for the same period are 17.720 billion yuan, 20.869 billion yuan, and 23.616 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.6%, 17.8%, and 13.2% respectively [4][3] - The report indicates an expected EPS of 4.10 yuan in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 15.2 [4][3]