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Bitcoin Drops Below $85,000, Could it go below $80,000?
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-02 00:01
ETF Market Dynamics - Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs are small relative to the massive inflows over the past 18 months, representing only a couple percentage points [1] - Ethereum ETFs have experienced approximately $25 billion outflows, warranting close attention [2] - A significant portion of the outflows is attributed to the basis trade, a strategy favored by hedge funds [3] - The basis trade, involving selling front-month futures contracts and buying spot at the same time, offered an annualized yield that has fluctuated, reaching 20% at times but now below 5% [4][5] - Decreased interest in the basis trade is driving money out of these ETFs, while retail investors and long-term investment advisors continue to buy [5] - The ETF space is experiencing aggressive growth, with inflows exceeding $1 trillion this year [15] Crypto Regulation and Taxation - Uncertainty surrounding regulatory clarity from the SEC and CFTC has been a concern for institutional investors in crypto ETFs and crypto investing [7] - Tax changes, including guidance from the IRS on "good income" versus "bad income," are expected to reshape the crypto landscape [6][8] - The tax treatment of staking yield, where assets are locked up to contribute to the network in return for in-kind Ethereum, is currently unclear [9][10] - Crypto ETFs are starting to allow for staking yield, but some institutional investors are hesitant due to potential tax implications [10] ETF Product Innovation - Hundreds of new crypto ETFs with different variations, leverage, and yield plays are expected to launch [12] - "Manufactured yield" products, using derivatives to generate high yields (sometimes over 80%), are gaining popularity [12][13] - Active ETFs, including "boomer candy" products offering downside protection, are growing rapidly, with legacy asset managers entering the market [13][14] - Goldman Sachs is acquiring a company specializing in buffer products, indicating a significant move into the active ETF space [14][15]
Bitcoin Funds Head for Worst Month as $3.5 Billion Pulled
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 11:13
A cryptocurrency exchange in Barcelona. Exchange-traded funds investing in Bitcoin are heading for their worst month of outflows since launching nearly two years ago, piling yet more pressure on a jaded crypto market. Most Read from Bloomberg Investors have pulled $3.5 billion from the US-listed Bitcoin ETFs so far in November, almost equaling the previous monthly record for outflows of $3.6 billion set in February, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. BlackRock Inc.’s Bitcoin fund IBIT, which accoun ...
How Solana and XRP Futures Became CME’s Fastest Growing Crypto Products
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 18:06
Core Insights - The introduction of futures contracts for Solana and XRP by CME Group has led to significant growth in these smaller cryptocurrencies, benefiting from improved infrastructure and liquidity [1][2] - Solana and XRP have experienced record open interest in futures contracts, reaching approximately $3 billion in outstanding contracts, indicating strong market participation [2][4] - Individual investors are increasingly participating in the futures market, broadening the base of market participants beyond financial institutions [3] Market Performance - Solana and XRP futures achieved $1 billion in notional open interest in August, with Solana futures doubling their open interest in just 18 days [4] - In October, Solana futures averaged nearly $700 million in daily trading volume on a notional basis, showcasing robust trading activity [4] Regulatory Environment - The regulatory clarity in the U.S. has attracted more market participants, enabling strategies like basis trading that capitalize on price differences between spot and future prices [6] - The launch of exchange-traded products (ETFs) tied to Solana and XRP has further facilitated these trading strategies, allowing for greater market engagement [6]
💥The Great Financial Divorce: Why Your Money is Leaving the Slow Lane.
Medium· 2025-10-20 01:16
Group 1 - The global financial system operates on a T+2 settlement rule, which delays the transfer of funds for two business days, creating inefficiencies and risks [2][4] - The Repo Market experienced a significant crisis in October 2025, leading to a $15 billion cash shortfall as banks lost trust in each other's collateral [5][7] - The underlying issue was the presence of $1.14 trillion in toxic loans from Non-Depository Financial Institutions, which compromised the quality of collateral in the Repo transactions [9][10] Group 2 - The T+2 system was revealed to be fundamentally unstable, unable to cope with modern financial demands, prompting a shift towards T+0 (instantaneous) settlement [12] - The financial crisis was exacerbated by the discovery that highly leveraged hedge funds in the Cayman Islands held an additional $1.4 trillion in U.S. Treasuries, using extreme leverage [16][18] - The Private Credit market, which grew to $5 trillion, became a source of illiquidity and risk, leading to defaults that affected major banks like UBS [21][23] Group 3 - A significant capital exodus occurred, with $304.5 billion moving into USD-pegged digital assets as institutions sought to mitigate risk and ensure liquidity [25][26] - The Central Banks responded to the crisis with unlimited Quantitative Easing, which undermined the value of the currency and led to a loss of trust in the financial system [37][40] - The introduction of the T+0 Settlement Rail by Digital Asset Treasury Firms marked a shift in how transactions are processed, moving away from traditional banking systems [44][47] Group 4 - The Algorithmic Credit Utility Protocol was launched to restore credit functions and facilitate instant verification of collateral, indicating a move towards a more transparent financial system [48][52] - BlackRock's deployment of a Tokenization Operating System signifies a trend towards using tokenized assets as collateral, moving away from opaque debt structures [49][52] - The transition to a T+0 system represents a fundamental change in the financial landscape, emphasizing the need for speed and transparency in transactions [50][53]