Core Viewpoint - The gold market remains in a bullish trend as long as it stays above the 20-day average, currently at $4,154, with a key resistance level at last week's high of $4,264 indicating potential for further upside [1][5] Group 1: Bullish Indicators - Sustained trading above the 20-day average suggests continuation of the bullish trend, with strong demand indicated by the 50-day average not being reached during recent pullbacks [1] - The recent correction in gold prices has been contained near the top of two rising trend channels, indicating market strength despite a failed breakout [3] Group 2: Support Levels - If gold prices drop below the 20-day average, the next key support level is the 50-day average at $4,097, which has not been tested since the August breakout [2] - A breach below the 50-day average would signal a bearish trend and risk a deeper correction in the near term [2] Group 3: Price Targets - A breakout above the swing high of $4,264 targets an initial measured move to $4,356, with further upside potential reaching $4,381 and a 127.2% measured move projection at $4,454 [4] - The overall outlook remains bullish as long as the 20-day average holds, with initial defense at the 50-day line and further support from the channel top and centerline [5]

Group 1: Stock Performance - Nike Inc. has experienced a significant decline, down 30.16% over the past year and 17.85% in the last month, currently trading at $64.95, which is at the bottom of its 52-week range [1] - The stock is below all key moving averages, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) at -2.34 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 26.93, indicating oversold conditions [1] Group 2: Business Fundamentals - Nike has warned of a double-digit sales decline in its fourth fiscal quarter, attributed to tariffs, weak consumer confidence, and a sluggish turnaround strategy [2] - Sales during the critical holiday quarter fell by 9%, primarily due to weak demand in China [2] Group 3: Inventory and Margins - The company is dealing with excess inventory and outdated styles, leading to markdowns that negatively impact margins [3] - Nike anticipates a gross margin shrinkage of up to five percentage points in the current quarter as it works to clear the backlog [3] Group 4: Market Outlook - The stock is in a bearish trend, influenced by weak fundamentals and deteriorating technical indicators [4] - While the oversold conditions indicated by the RSI may lead to a short-term bounce, the overall downtrend persists until sales and margins improve [4]