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Disney's 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' Smashes $1 Billion In 18 Days — But Can It Lift The Stock?
Benzinga· 2026-01-05 22:16
Core Viewpoint - The Walt Disney Company is expected to report strong first-quarter financial results driven by the box office success of "Zootopia 2" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash" [1][5][6] Box Office Performance - Disney's "Zootopia 2" grossed $1.59 billion worldwide in 2025, making it the second highest-grossing film of the year, behind the Chinese film "Ne Zha 2" [2] - "Avatar: Fire and Ash" has grossed $1.083 billion worldwide in its first 18 days, with $306 million domestically and $777.1 million internationally [3] - The film is tracking to potentially reach the $2 billion milestone, although it is currently pacing behind previous installments in the franchise [3][4] Financial Expectations - Analysts expect Disney to report first-quarter revenue of $25.65 billion, an increase from $24.69 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - Earnings per share are anticipated to be $1.57, down from $1.76 in the previous year [7] - Disney has beaten analyst estimates for earnings per share for 10 consecutive quarters, but revenue has been more challenging, with only four out of the last 10 quarters exceeding estimates [7] Stock Performance - Disney shares have seen a 2.7% gain over the last 52 weeks, currently trading at $114.07, within a range of $80.10 to $124.69 [9]
'Avatar: Fire And Ash' Could Ignite Box Office — Disney, AMC, IMAX Stocks Ready To Pop?
Benzinga· 2025-12-19 18:12
Core Viewpoint - Walt Disney Company is poised for a strong fiscal year with the release of highly anticipated films "Zootopia 2" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash" in late 2025, which could significantly impact Disney's stock performance and benefit associated companies like AMC Entertainment and Imax [1]. Box Office Performance - "Avatar: Fire and Ash" is projected to gross between $90 million and $105 million domestically and around $250 million to $275 million internationally during its opening weekend, leading to a total worldwide opening of approximately $340 million to $365 million [2]. - The previous films in the Avatar franchise have demonstrated strong box office staying power, with "Avatar" (2009) grossing $785.2 million domestically and $2.92 billion worldwide, and "Avatar: The Way of Water" (2022) grossing $688.5 million domestically and $2.34 billion worldwide [3][7]. Success of "Zootopia 2" - "Zootopia 2," released on November 26, has already grossed $266.2 million domestically and $1.15 billion worldwide, making it the second-highest-grossing film of 2025 in less than a month [4]. - The first "Zootopia" film grossed $341.3 million domestically and $1.03 billion worldwide, indicating a strong franchise performance [4]. Fiscal Quarter Impact - Disney's first fiscal quarter will capture the success of "Zootopia 2" and the initial results from "Avatar: Fire and Ash," potentially leading to significant revenue contributions [5]. Industry Outlook - The anticipated success of "Avatar: Fire and Ash" is expected to boost movie theater stocks, particularly for AMC and Imax, as both previous Avatar films were major successes in Imax formats [6][8]. - AMC CEO Adam Aron predicts that the fourth quarter of 2025 will be the highest-grossing fourth quarter in six years, with expectations for the 2026 box office to surpass that of 2025 [10]. Future Releases - Disney's 2026 lineup includes major titles such as "Mandalorian and Grogu," "Toy Story 5," and a live-action "Moana," with "Avengers: Doomsday" set for December 2026, which is expected to be a significant box office draw [10][11].
F1 Is Apple's Biggest Box-Office Win—So Why Is The Stock Stalling?
Benzinga· 2025-07-07 16:39
Core Viewpoint - The year 2025 will be significant for Apple Inc. due to the success of its film "F1," which has become the highest-grossing theatrical film for the company, yet this success has not significantly impacted Apple’s stock price [1][2][3]. Group 1: Film Performance - "F1" has grossed $109.5 million domestically and $293.6 million worldwide within 10 days of release, ranking second at the domestic box office during the Fourth of July weekend [1]. - The film has surpassed the previous record held by "Napoleon," which grossed $221 million, and is on track to exceed totals from other Apple films like "Killers of the Flower Moon" ($158 million) and "Argylle" ($96 million) [2]. - Despite its box office success, "F1" has a production budget of $250 million and a marketing budget of $100 million, indicating it is far from breaking even [4]. Group 2: Impact on Apple’s Business - The success of "F1" has not led to a significant increase in Apple’s stock price, which is down 0.5% to $212.47, and has decreased 12.8% year-to-date in 2025 [10]. - Apple’s entertainment division, including AppleTV+, is crucial for the company, and while films have not yet been profitable, they help offset production costs and can lead to award nominations [5]. - The film's potential award nominations could enhance Apple's reputation in the film industry, with a 22% chance for Best Picture and a 12% chance for Best Actor for Brad Pitt [6]. Group 3: Streaming Strategy - The addition of "F1" to Apple TV+ could boost the platform's visibility, especially if timed with the launch of a rumored ad-supported streaming plan [7][8]. - Apple currently has approximately 45 million paid streaming subscribers, generating around $450 million per month, but the streaming platform is estimated to lose $1 billion annually [9]. - The debut of "F1" on Apple TV+ may be pivotal in moving the platform closer to profitability [10].
Dinosaurs Dominate Box Office: What 'Jurassic World Rebirth' Success Means For Comcast
Benzinga· 2025-07-07 15:09
Core Insights - The latest film in the Jurassic Park/Jurassic World franchise, "Jurassic World Rebirth," has become the top-grossing film at the box office for the weekend, surpassing the previous leader, "F1" [1] - Comcast's Universal division ranked second in domestic box office in 2024, trailing only Disney, and is expected to improve its position in 2025 with the success of "Jurassic World Rebirth" [1][5] Box Office Performance - "Jurassic World Rebirth" grossed $147.3 million domestically during its opening weekend, which is lower than the 2015 "Jurassic World" but comparable to the 2018 and 2022 installments [2][3] - The film achieved a five-day worldwide total of $318 million, with $171 million coming from international markets, and China being the top non-US market with $41 million [4][5] Financial Implications - The production and marketing costs for "Jurassic World Rebirth" are lower than previous films in the franchise, meaning it does not need to reach the $1 billion mark to be considered a box office hit, potentially translating to higher profits for Comcast [6][8] - Comcast is expected to have multiple top ten grossing films in 2025, including "How To Train Your Dragon," "Wicked: For Good," and "Five Nights at Freddy's 2," which could enhance its competitive position in the market [7][8] Streaming Platform Impact - Each successful film contributes to marketing for Comcast's Peacock streaming platform, which had 41 million paid subscribers in Q1, up 20% year-over-year, and saw a 16% increase in revenue [9][11] - The success of films like "Jurassic World Rebirth" is likely to drive further growth in both the movie and streaming segments for Comcast [12] Stock Performance - Comcast's stock price is currently down 0.4% to $35.84, with a year-to-date decline of 4.2%, contrasting with Disney's stock performance, which is up over 11% year-to-date [12]