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Bitcoin: We are Living in a Simulation
Benjamin Cowen· 2026-02-07 15:01
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and we're going to be discussing the fear and greed index. To some degree it feels like we're living in a simulation.Like I I've I've seen this story before and and so we're going to talk about that. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel. Give the video a thumbs up and also check out Into the Cryptoverse Premium at intothecryptoverse.com. Again, you can use the code ITC50 to ...
Bitcoin: Bear Market Resistance Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2026-01-26 20:29
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and we're going to be talking about what we're going to call now the bare market resistance band. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out Into the Cryptoverse Premium at into the cryptoverse.com. You can also check out the new website at benjamancow. com as well.Let's go ahead and jump in. So, as we've talked about before, in a bu ...
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2026-01-19 04:36
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and we're going to provide an update to the bull market support band. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, Bitcoin this past week essentially rallied up to the 21week EMA.I don't know if it technically got it. Maybe it did on some exchange ...
Ethereum Drops 30% - Now What?
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-10-12 03:09
Market Analysis and Predictions - Ethereum experienced a 30% correction, aligning with previous expectations, leading to a shift in market bias towards a potential rally to new all-time highs [2][5] - The analysis suggests that Ethereum's valuation against Bitcoin bottomed out in April, coinciding with Ethereum reaching its logarithmic regression trend line, which historically signals a bottom [12] - Altcoins, in general, have shown weakness against Bitcoin, with many altcoin/Bitcoin pairs reaching new cycle lows, indicating a challenging environment for altcoins compared to Ethereum [14][15][16] - Bitcoin dominance is expected to remain resilient in the short term, potentially spiking up to 64%, similar to patterns observed in October 2017 and 2020 [18][19] - Historically, Bitcoin dominance tends to increase as Bitcoin rallies to new cycle highs, followed by a correction in Bitcoin dominance once Bitcoin breaks through to new all-time highs [25][26] Risk Management and Contingency Planning - The analysis will be re-evaluated if Bitcoin experiences two weekly closes below its 50-week moving average, which historically indicates the end of a market cycle [7][8] - Despite the bullish outlook on Ethereum, the possibility of further downward wicks and potential lower lows for ETH/Bitcoin should be considered, especially if Bitcoin's bull market is not yet over [24][29] Key Levels and Metrics - Total 3 minus USDT divided by Bitcoin reached 029%, and subtracting USDC as well, it went to 025%, aligning with a long-term target of 25% of Bitcoin's market cap for the collective altcoin market [14] - Others divided by Bitcoin reached a new cycle low of 008%, matching levels seen in December 2020 [15]
Ethereum: Dubious Speculation
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-10-07 19:54
Market Analysis and Ethereum's Performance - Ethereum has been trading around $4,500 since early August [2] - Ethereum is expected to experience continued chop in the short term until the bull market support band catches up, potentially forcing a decision within the next two months [7][8] - The market suggests that Ethereum's breakout may not immediately follow Bitcoin's, with a possible lagged effect, similar to the 2017 cycle [9][10][21] - Ethereum is struggling to break through long-term resistance but finds support around $4,000, indicating a potential consolidation phase [6][22] Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Market - Bitcoin dominance formed a low in early September and has been increasing, rising from 57% to approximately 59% in about a month [27][28] - The market suggests that rising Bitcoin dominance is generally a positive sign for Bitcoin's bull run, despite short-term pullbacks and altcoin shilling [32][33] - Bitcoin dominance needs to continue to rise for Bitcoin to continue the bull run [30] Potential Catalysts and Future Outlook - The market anticipates Ethereum to break through to all-time highs after a period of consolidation, potentially leading to a market cycle top before a 2026 bear market [41] - Potential catalysts for Ethereum's movement include the end of a government shutdown or a rate hike by the Bank of Japan in late October, which could create a final low before a rally [36][38][39] - The market draws parallels between the current cycle and the 2016-2017 cycle, noting similarities in Bitcoin's performance and potential delays in Ethereum's breakout [11][12][14][17]
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-10-06 03:10
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin as it has hit a new all-time high after bouncing off the bull market support band. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on Into the Cryptoverse Premium at into the cryptoverse.com. We went through this uh process pretty closely and and even talked about how this might play out exactly like 2020 did at least after the l ...
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-09-29 01:44
Market Analysis and Comparison - The analysis draws parallels between the current market behavior and that of 2020, particularly noting similarities in capitulation patterns [2][3] - The report also compares the current market to 2019, highlighting the gold breakout and subsequent consolidation phases as analogous to Bitcoin's movements [3][4] - A key observation is the resemblance between the market's reaction to gold breakouts in both 2019 and the present, with both instances leading to brief market corrections for Bitcoin [8][9] - The analysis suggests that while comparisons to past cycles are useful, it's crucial to consider that the cycle top may occur in Q4, aligning with historical patterns from 2013, 2017, and 2021 [12] Technical Indicators and Support Levels - Bitcoin has historically found support at the bull market support band, as seen in 2017 and 2021 [15] - The 20-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) has served as a key level, with Bitcoin testing it in late August and early September [17] - The analysis suggests monitoring a trend line and the 50-week moving average; weekly closes below these levels could signal the end of the current cycle [26] Short-Term Market Outlook - The report notes a two-week rally followed by a two-week decline, and suggests that Bitcoin might need another week to consolidate before potentially moving upwards [18][20][27] - Ethereum is expected to potentially reach new all-time highs, but its movement is contingent on Bitcoin's performance; Ethereum could either tag its 21-week moving average or move sideways until the EMA catches up [22][23] Risk Management - The analysis advises against complacency as the market approaches Q4, urging investors to recognize historical patterns [24]
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-09-22 17:14
Market Trend Analysis - Bitcoin historically sets a high in August or early September, followed by a low in September, setting up a rally into a market cycle top in Q4 [1] - The pattern observed in 2020, involving a low in Q1, sideways movement, a rally, and a pullback to the bull market support band, mirrors the current market behavior [7][8] - Altcoin liquidity is expected to flow back to Bitcoin in late September and early October [31] Technical Indicators and Key Levels - Bitcoin's cycle is considered intact as long as it maintains weekly closes above the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently near 99,000, potentially reaching 100,000 soon [13][23] - A weekly close below the 50-week SMA would signal a potential end to the cycle [13][14] - The 20-week SMA serves as a bull market support band, and holding it through October would be the best-case scenario [26] Historical Patterns and Predictions - The number 124 (or multiples thereof, like 1244, 12400, 124K) has historically acted as a local top for Bitcoin [15][16] - The current cycle is showing similarities to the 2016-2017 cycle, based on the number of days since Bitcoin had a 50% drop [22] - Ethereum is expected to pull back to the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) after sweeping the prior all-time high [27][28] Macroeconomic Factors - A 50 basis point rate cut last year resulted in a 26% rally for Bitcoin, while this time, a 25 basis point rate cut only led to a 10% rally [3] - If the Federal Reserve cuts rates and the economy is not imploding, the 10-year yield is likely to increase [5]
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-09-15 03:58
Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Bitcoin typically experiences a high in August followed by a low in September, a pattern observed in 2017 and 2021 [2][3] - The report anticipates that the August high could be surpassed in October, potentially mirroring trends from 2017, 2021, or even 2020 [6] - The analysis is monitoring Bitcoin dominance, suggesting a potential rally after rate cuts in late September and into October [15] Key Technical Levels - The 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is currently around 98,000 [8] - The bull market support band ranges from 109,000 to 111,000, and Bitcoin is currently holding above this level [8] - Maintaining the bull market support band is crucial for a potential Q4 rally to new highs; failure to do so could lead to a muted rally [9] Risk Assessment - Multiple weekly closes below the 50-week moving average would signal a potential end to the current cycle [12] - A breakdown in September doesn't necessarily mean the cycle is over, as the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) could provide support [11][12]
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-08-26 00:32
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and we're going to provide an update to the bull market support band. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Link is in the description below. Let's go ahead and jump in.So, I'm going to just stand by what I told you guys the last couple of weeks when we did th ...