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鱼跃医疗(002223):首次覆盖报告:家用医疗器械龙头:新品迭出,出海加速
Orient Securities· 2025-08-07 01:36
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 48.24 CNY based on a 24x PE for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the home medical device sector, with a diverse product line and a strong focus on both domestic and international markets. The business is expected to return to a sustainable growth trajectory post-pandemic, with significant long-term potential [2][9]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The projected EPS for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 2.01, 2.36, and 2.78 CNY respectively. The revenue for 2025 is estimated at 8.669 billion CNY, reflecting a 14.6% year-on-year growth. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 2.011 billion CNY in 2025, with an 11.3% growth [2][4]. Company Overview - The company has a comprehensive product portfolio exceeding 600 types, focusing on four main areas: respiratory oxygen therapy, blood glucose and POCT, home health monitoring, and clinical devices and rehabilitation. It is also developing emergency response products [14][9]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The respiratory therapy segment is expected to generate 2.6 billion CNY in revenue for 2024, despite a 22.9% decline due to fluctuations in public demand. The blood glucose and POCT segment is projected to grow significantly, with a 40.2% increase in revenue to 1.03 billion CNY in 2024 [9][48]. Product Development and Innovation - The company is actively investing in R&D, focusing on global, digital, and wearable technologies. Key product innovations include continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems, which are expected to see substantial market growth, with the market size projected to reach 2.6 billion USD by 2030 [9][20]. Sales Channels and International Expansion - The company has established a comprehensive sales network that includes both online and offline channels, with online sales accounting for 38% of total sales in Q1 2025. The international business is also expanding rapidly, with overseas revenue expected to reach 0.95 billion CNY in 2024, a 30.4% increase [9][20].