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Micron Tumbles on Tariff Threat: Risk/Reward Outlook Improves
MarketBeat· 2025-04-11 11:52
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology is significantly impacted by tariffs, particularly on its memory modules and SSD equipment, but the demand for memory, especially for AI applications, is expected to drive growth despite these challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Business Overview - Micron's microchips are exempt from Trump's tariffs, but its memory modules and SSD equipment are not, leading the company to pass costs onto clients, which may reduce demand [1]. - The demand for memory is anticipated to improve, driven by the increasing need for computing and memory to support AI training and inference, positioning Micron as a leader in AI memory [2]. Group 2: Technology and Innovation - Micron is a leader in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) technology, with its HBM3E standard offering 50% more capacity than competitors while consuming less power [3]. - NVIDIA utilizes Micron technology for its advanced AI GPUs, highlighting the importance of power efficiency for cloud hyperscalers [4]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Analysts have lowered revenue and earnings expectations for Micron in 2025 but still forecast robust growth, with revenue expected to grow at a high-double-digit pace and earnings at a nearly 60% pace in 2026 [7][8]. - The company is projected to achieve triple-digit earnings growth in fiscal 2025, with the potential for even higher results as AI demand continues to rise [8]. Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - Micron's stock is currently priced at $70.05, with a 12-month price target of $129.76, indicating an 85.24% upside potential [9][10]. - The stock is trading at a low valuation of 11x price multiple in 2025, which is about half of what industry leaders are trading for, suggesting limited downside risk [10][11]. Group 5: Strategic Developments - The Biden Administration has awarded Micron $6.165 billion, which is a small fraction of the $125 billion the company plans to invest over the next two decades to expand manufacturing facilities [5][6]. - Micron is already manufacturing many of its chips domestically and is on track to expand capacity, which may be accelerated by the tariffs [6].