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China signals leverage as markets downplay Treasury and dollar risks
Youtube· 2026-02-10 15:46
Group 1: US-China Relations - The upcoming meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi is expected to be the first of four meetings this year, indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement [1] - Recent reports suggest that Chinese banks have been advised to limit their exposure to US assets, reflecting China's gradual effort at financial derisking to mitigate dollar volatility [3][4] - The market's reaction to these developments has been muted, particularly in the Treasury market, where the 10-year yield closed below 4.2% [6] Group 2: Currency Market Dynamics - The dollar has weakened across the board, with notable strength in the yen despite Japan's recent election results, indicating a shift in market sentiment [7] - There is a growing perception that the US has lost some trust among allies and investors, leading to a modest move away from the dollar as a hedge while maintaining US assets [8][9] - The administration's stance on a weaker dollar aligns with market trends, as the dollar is considered overvalued against most measures [12][14] Group 3: Supply Chain and Strategic Leverage - China is signaling its leverage in critical minerals and pharmaceutical precursors, emphasizing that financial dependence is mutual [11][10] - The US is taking aggressive steps to counter supply chain risks, particularly in critical sectors, although these efforts may take years to materialize [10] - Concerns are rising that the US is losing control over supply chains essential for defense and technology, which could impact its position in the evolving global order [17]
Ray Dalio issues warning over looming capital war: ‘We are on the brink.’ Here’s the ‘safest’ asset he loves
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-07 11:13
This time around, when asked whether he still believes gold is the safest given the recent price action, Dalio was affirmative: “It doesn't change by the day.”Last year, he told CNBC that “people don't have, typically, an adequate amount of gold in their portfolio.”Against that chilling backdrop, how should investors protect their wealth?Last year, he warned that if a politically weakened Federal Reserve allows inflation to run hot, it would lead to bonds and the U.S. dollar becoming “an ineffective storeho ...
Ray Dalio warns the world is ‘on the brink’ of a capital war of weaponizing money—and gold is the best way for people to protect themselves
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-04 19:43
The world is facing threats not of a cold war or just a trade war, but a capital war where money is being weaponized, according to billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio. He suggested one asset would be the safest to invest in during volatile times. The Bridgewater Associates founder said in an interview at the World Governments Summit in Dubai on Tuesday the world is on the cusp of widespread conflict where—instead of ammunition—countries attack each other through the means of controlling the flow of m ...
Ray Dalio Sees Ongoing Diversification Away From US Assets
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-22 10:11
Group 1 - The trend of diversification away from US assets is increasing, particularly among global central banks, as highlighted by Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates [1][2] - Gold prices have risen by 67%, indicating a shift in investment strategies, with central banks purchasing gold to diversify away from fiat currencies, not just the US dollar [1] - The ongoing tensions, including the trade war and what Dalio refers to as a "capital war," are influencing market dynamics and investment decisions [1] Group 2 - Danish pension fund AkademikerPension plans to exit US Treasuries by the end of the month due to significant credit risks [2] - UBS Group AG's CEO Sergio Ermotti cautioned against the risks of weaponizing US government debt, labeling it a "dangerous bet" [2] - Ray Dalio, who founded Bridgewater in 1975, has exited the firm completely, marking a significant leadership change as Nir Bar Dea takes over as CEO in 2023 [2]
Jim Cramer says OpenAI's real ‘code red' is a funding problem, not Google's Gemini
CNBC· 2025-12-02 23:49
If OpenAI's internal drama were a Netflix series, CNBC's Jim Cramer says, it would be a binge-worthy mix of tension, comedy and cliffhangers — and Wall Street would be glued to every episode.On Tuesday, Cramer seized on reporting that CEO Sam Altman recently declared a "code red" inside the company that suggests OpenAI fears Google's Gemini 3 may be catching up fast in user traction. Cramer said the comparison isn't about which model answers questions better, as both can be wrong, but about distribution and ...