Core Viewpoint - The report from Guojin Securities highlights the promising pipeline of Connoa-B (02162), with its core product, Supacibab, already approved for market. The company is expanding its clinical trials for CM512 (TSLP/IL-13 bispecific antibody) and expects to submit an NDA for CMG901 in the U.S. by 2026. The company has a robust pipeline and is well-positioned for growth, receiving a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 83.29 [1]. Group 1: Product Pipeline and Market Potential - Supacibab is the first domestically produced IL-4R monoclonal antibody, providing a significant first-mover advantage. It targets various type II inflammatory diseases, with expectations for rapid market uptake post-2026 when it enters the national medical insurance directory [1]. - The global sales of Dupilumab, a competing IL-4R monoclonal antibody, exceeded USD 14 billion in 2024, indicating a strong market potential for Supacibab, which has already been approved for three indications [1]. - Sales projections for Supacibab are estimated at CNY 0.36 billion in 2024, CNY 1.69 billion in the first half of 2025, and expected to reach CNY 3.31 billion, CNY 9.05 billion, and CNY 16.27 billion from 2025 to 2027 [1]. Group 2: Clinical Development and Competitive Landscape - CM512 is currently in Phase II clinical trials and is positioned as the second globally in development, with significant differentiation advantages in the respiratory market. It targets asthma and COPD, with potential approval by 2029 [2]. - CMG901, a Claudin 18.2 ADC, has been licensed to AstraZeneca and is the fastest progressing globally. It is expected to complete Phase III trials for second-line gastric cancer by 2026 and submit for market approval, with potential milestone payments and royalties for the company [2]. Group 3: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of CNY 6.61 billion, CNY 12.55 billion, and CNY 20.64 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 54%, 90%, and 65% respectively [3]. - The net profit forecast shows a loss of CNY 5.13 billion in 2025, narrowing to a loss of CNY 2.97 billion in 2026, before turning to a profit of CNY 2.01 billion in 2027, with corresponding EPS of -1.72, -0.99, and 0.67 [3]. - A DCF valuation method has been applied, resulting in a target price of HKD 83.29, with an initial "Buy" rating assigned [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guojin Securities highlights the promising pipeline of Connoa-B (02162), with its core product, Supqi Baidankang, already approved for market release. The company is advancing multiple Phase II clinical trials for CM512 (TSLP/IL-13 bispecific antibody) and expects to submit an NDA for CMG901 to the FDA by 2026, indicating a strong growth potential and robust pipeline [1]. Group 1: Product Pipeline and Market Potential - Supqi Baidankang is the first domestically produced IL-4R monoclonal antibody, which is expected to gain rapid market traction after being included in the national medical insurance directory by December 2025, with anticipated sales of 0.36 million, 1.69 million, 3.31 million, 9.05 million, and 16.27 million yuan from 2024 to 2027 [1][3]. - CM512 (TSLP/IL-13 bispecific antibody) is currently in Phase II clinical trials and is positioned as the second globally in development, targeting a broad respiratory market with significant potential, expected to be approved by 2029 [2]. - CMG901 (Claudin 18.2 ADC) has been licensed to AstraZeneca and is the fastest progressing globally, with expectations to complete Phase III clinical trials for second-line gastric cancer by 2026 and potentially launch in 2027, which could yield milestone revenues and royalties for the company [2]. Group 2: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 661 million, 1.255 billion, and 2.064 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 54%, 90%, and 65% respectively, with a turnaround to profitability expected in 2027 [3]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -1.72, -0.99, and 0.67 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a path towards profitability [3]. - Based on a DCF valuation method, the target price is set at 83.29 HKD, with an initial "buy" rating assigned [3].