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Ulta Beauty Sees Steady Comps: Is Broad-Based Growth Enough?
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 16:51
Core Insights - Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) reported a 2.9% increase in comparable sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by higher average ticket values and slight growth in transactions [1][7] - The growth was primarily supported by strong performance in fragrance and wellness categories, with double-digit growth in fragrance and high-single-digit gains in body care and sun care [1][7] - However, the haircare segment remained flat overall, with declines in mass hair and tools, while the makeup category experienced slightly negative comparable sales due to weakness in mass makeup [1][7] Sales Performance - Both digital and store channels contributed to the comparable sales growth, with e-commerce sales rising approximately 10% and comparable store sales increasing in the low single digits [2] - The average ticket value grew by 2.3%, mainly due to higher average selling prices, although this was partially offset by a decline in units per transaction [2] - Promotional activities were more disciplined, with the elimination of overlapping offers and targeted member data usage enhancing operational execution [2] Future Outlook - Ulta Beauty anticipates comparable sales growth for fiscal 2025 to range from flat to up 1.5%, with the second half projected to vary from down low-single digits to modest growth [3] - Leadership emphasized a cautious approach to guidance, highlighting the need for strength in select categories and channels to broaden for steady comparable sales performance [3] Stock Performance - Ulta Beauty's shares have risen 39.3% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 28.7% and the broader Retail and Wholesale sector and S&P 500 index growth of 18% and 23.3%, respectively [4] - The stock closed at $477.79, trading 2.9% below its 52-week high of $491.98, with technical indicators showing strong performance above its 50 and 200-day simple moving averages [8][12] Valuation Metrics - Ulta Beauty currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 19.57, which is above the industry average of 17.94, indicating a premium valuation relative to peers [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS has seen downward revisions, with current quarter estimates declining by 4 cents to $4.87 and fiscal year estimates down by 16 cents to $23.39 per share [11]
Five Below: Strong Q1 Comparable Sales
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-05 21:55
Core Viewpoint - Five Below reported strong first-quarter results for fiscal 2025, with significant revenue and earnings growth despite macroeconomic challenges [3][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue increased from $811.9 million in Q1 FY24 to $970.5 million in Q1 FY25, representing a growth of 19.5% and beating expectations [2]. - Adjusted earnings per share rose from $0.60 to $0.86, marking a 43% increase and also surpassing analyst estimates [2]. - Comparable sales growth improved from a decline of 2.3% to an increase of 7.1%, a positive change of 9.4 percentage points [2]. Store Operations - Five Below opened 55 new stores in the first quarter, which is a 10% decrease compared to the previous year [2]. - The new stores are reportedly performing well, contributing to the overall positive sales growth [3]. Future Outlook - For Q2 FY25, Five Below anticipates opening around 30 net new stores and expects comparable sales growth between 7% and 9% [5]. - Total revenue for Q2 is projected to be between $975 million and $995 million, with adjusted EPS expected to range from $0.50 to $0.62 [5]. - For the full fiscal year, the company forecasts comparable sales growth of 3% to 5%, 150 net new stores, total revenue between $4.33 billion and $4.42 billion, and adjusted EPS between $4.25 and $4.72 [5]. Market Reaction - Following the release of the first-quarter report, Five Below's share prices rose approximately 2% in after-hours trading, reflecting positive investor sentiment due to the earnings beat and solid Q2 outlook [8]. Economic Context - The company is currently managing tariffs and global economic uncertainty, which have not significantly impacted its business thus far [4]. - Five Below sources about 60% of its purchases from domestic vendors, although the exposure of these vendors to tariffs remains uncertain [9].