Group 1 - Visa is set to announce its Q3 FY'25 earnings on July 29, with revenues expected to rise by approximately 10% year-over-year to $9.82 billion and adjusted earnings predicted to be around $2.83 per share, reflecting a 17% increase compared to last year [2] - The anticipated growth is driven by increasing payment volumes and greater cross-border transactions, which are typically more profitable, along with strong performance in the value-added services segment [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $680 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months at $38 billion, operating profits of $25 billion, and a net income of $20 billion [2] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that Visa has recorded 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 11 positive and 9 negative one-day post-earnings returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 55% of the time [3] - The median of the 11 positive returns is 2.2%, while the median of the 9 negative returns is -1.6% [3] Group 3 - A correlation analysis between 1D, 5D, and 21D historical returns post-earnings suggests that understanding these correlations can help in making informed trading decisions [4] - If the 1D post-earnings return is positive, traders may consider going long for the subsequent 5 days if there is a strong correlation between 1D and 5D returns [4]

Core Insights - Visa Inc. is experiencing significant growth driven by a resurgence in international travel and consumer spending, with cross-border transaction volumes showing a notable increase [1][8] Financial Performance - In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Visa reported a 13% year-over-year increase in cross-border volume, reflecting strong global travel demand [8] - International transaction revenues rose by 18.6% in 2023, 8.8% in 2024, and 12.1% in the first half of fiscal 2025, with expectations for nearly 12% growth in fiscal 2025 [2] - International transactions now represent 50.5% of Visa's total payment volume, highlighting their importance as a high-margin component of the business [3][8] Regional Performance - Growth in payment volumes was observed in various regions: CEMEA (14.2%), Europe (9.6%), and Latin America (6.1%) during the first half of fiscal 2025 [3] - However, the Asia Pacific region experienced a decline of 1.2% in the same period, following previous declines in fiscal 2024 and 2023 [3] Competitive Landscape - Other companies like Mastercard and American Express are also benefiting from similar trends, with Mastercard reporting a 15% year-over-year increase in cross-border volumes and American Express showing 13% growth in international card services [5][6] - Mastercard's broader acceptance in Asia and value-added services provide it with a competitive edge, while American Express's focus on affluent U.S. consumers limits its global exposure [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Visa's shares have increased by 16.4% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 6.6% [7] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 29.87X, above its five-year median of 26.92X and the industry average of 23.38X [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Visa's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a 12.9% increase from the previous year, with 11 upward revisions in the past 60 days [10]

Core Viewpoint - Mastercard reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.73, exceeding estimates by 4.5% and showing a 13% year-over-year improvement [1][2]. Financial Performance - Net revenues increased by 14% year over year to $7.3 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate by 1.8% [1][2]. - Adjusted operating income grew 15% year over year to $4.3 billion, beating estimates of $4.1 billion, with an adjusted operating margin improvement of 50 basis points to 59.3% [7]. Operational Metrics - Gross dollar volume rose 9% on a local-currency basis to $2.4 trillion, although it missed the consensus estimate by 2.6% [3]. - Cross-border volumes increased by 15% on a local currency basis, while switched transactions improved 9% year over year to 40.1 billion, missing the consensus mark of 40.3 billion [4]. Value-Added Services - Net revenues from value-added services and solutions reached $2.8 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, but fell short of estimates by 1.4% [5]. Expenses and Incentives - Adjusted operating expenses rose 13% year over year to $3 billion, driven by higher general, administrative, and marketing costs [6]. - Payment network rebates and incentives increased by 12% year over year due to new and renewed deals [6]. Cash Flow and Capital Deployment - Cash flows from operations were $2.4 billion in Q1 2025, up from $1.7 billion in the prior year [9]. - The company repurchased 4.7 million shares for $2.5 billion in the first quarter and paid out $694 million in dividends [10]. Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $7.6 billion, down from $8.4 billion at the end of 2024, while total assets increased to $48.5 billion [8]. Future Guidance - Management projects mid-teens growth in adjusted net revenues for Q2 2025 and low-teens growth for the full year [11][12].