As bitcoin (BTC) struggles to hold above $90,000, market sentiment has once again slipped into extreme fear. Over the past year, fear or extreme fear has accounted for more than 30% of all readings on the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. The index currently stands at 17, firmly within the extreme fear section. Fear has dominated sentiment since the October liquidation crash more than two months ago, as bitcoin dropped 36% from its October all-time high. While the cryptocurrency market has yet to stage a mea ...

Core Viewpoint - Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC) shows potential as a stock pick due to a recent "golden cross" event, indicating a bullish trend may be forthcoming [1][2]. Technical Analysis - A "golden cross" occurs when a stock's short-term moving average (50-day) crosses above its long-term moving average (200-day), suggesting a bullish breakout [2]. - The formation of a golden cross typically follows a downtrend, a bottoming out, and then a trend reversal leading to higher prices [3]. Performance Metrics - SMBC has experienced a price rally of 12.2% over the past four weeks, indicating strong momentum [4]. - The company currently holds a 2 (Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, suggesting favorable market sentiment [4]. Earnings Outlook - There has been one upward revision in earnings estimates for SMBC over the past 60 days, with no downward revisions, reflecting a positive earnings outlook for the current quarter [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMBC has also increased, further supporting the bullish case for the stock [4][5]. Investment Consideration - The combination of positive earnings estimate revisions and the technical breakout signals suggests that investors should monitor SMBC for potential gains in the near future [5].

Group 1 - Tilray's stock price has significantly declined from a high of $23.15 on October 9 to $7.20 currently [1] - The stock price drop may continue to accelerate in the upcoming weeks [1] - A death cross pattern is approaching, indicating potential further declines in stock price [1]

Core Insights - XRP is at a critical technical junction, with analysts warning that its tight consolidation range may soon break, potentially leading to a sharp downside move [1][2] - The current trading range for XRP is between $1.90 and $2.08, which is seen as a make-or-break area for the token [1][2] - A failure to maintain this range could expose XRP to a deeper correction, with a significant risk of a "death cross" forming on the daily chart [2][3] Technical Analysis - The last occurrence of a death cross setup for XRP resulted in a decline of approximately 15%, potentially bringing the price down to the $1.50s [3] - A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average, typically interpreted as a bearish signal [3] - The key level to watch is $1.82, which is described as a decisive threshold for XRP's price structure [4] Market Sentiment - If XRP briefly dips below $1.82 but recovers, it may indicate a bottom; however, a close below this level could lead to a significant price drop [5] - This potential "freefall" scenario aligns with a broader bearish sentiment observed across multiple altcoins, as Bitcoin and Ether show signs of cooling momentum [5] Recent Developments - XRP experienced a price increase of up to 5%, reaching $2.2551 on November 25, following the launch of two exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on NYSE Arca [6]

Market Trend & Analysis - Bitcoin is in a strong bear market, indicated by bearish divergence from Summer [1] - Death cross confirmed, marking the first occurrence in this cycle [1] - Loss of EMA50W confirmed, also a first in the cycle [1] - Bitcoin respects 4 years cycle, indicating a BEAR market now [1] - Repeat of same 2021-2022 bearish fractal [1] Liquidity & Financial Health - Repo markets are empty, suggesting liquidity is at ZERO [1] - Banks liquidity is at Credit Suisse crash levels [1] - Japan (BOJ) is facing serious trouble with Repo failure [1] Investor Behavior - Retail investors are still holding, with no capitulation seen yet [1] - Retail investors are still believing in a bull market, buying the dips [1] - Stock insiders have been STRONG selling since August [1] Institutional Activity - Tons of liquidated trading firms from Oct 10 [1] - Tons of liquidated institutions from Oct 10 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nike's stock has entered a "death cross" technical formation, indicating challenging times for the sneaker manufacturer [1] Group 1 - The "death cross" is a pessimistic technical indicator that suggests a potential decline in stock performance [1]

Core Insights - Bitcoin experienced a significant drop, falling below $90,000 for the first time since April, indicating a potential prolonged downside trend due to a death cross formation [1][2] - The decline has erased all gains made in 2025, with a 28% decrease from the October peak of $126,000 [2] - The crypto market faced substantial liquidation, exceeding $1 billion, with Bitcoin alone contributing approximately $569.37 million [3] Market Sentiment - The fear and greed index is at 11, reflecting extreme fear among investors [3] - Traders are alarmed by the recent drop, speculating that further declines may occur [3] Economic Context - Anticipation of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve is contributing to Bitcoin's volatility, as there are mixed views on easing monetary policy amidst inflation concerns [4] - Some analysts view the current drop as a "routine" bear market for cryptocurrencies, suggesting a potential for recovery [4][5] Historical Perspective - Historically, every significant decline in Bitcoin's price has been followed by new record highs, indicating a potential for future growth despite current disruptions [5]

Core Insights - Bitcoin has entered "extreme fear territory" after failing to maintain above the $100,000 level, with a significant decline from its all-time high of $126,272.76 on October 6 [1][2] - The price of Bitcoin fell over 9% in the week ending November 14, trading below $92,000, influenced by large crypto "whales" selling the asset [2][3] - Bitcoin has officially entered "bear market" territory, marking a decline of 20% or more from its recent peak, and has experienced a "death cross" technical pattern [3][4] Market Sentiment - Despite the negative indicators, some experts believe that the current situation does not signify a "crypto winter," but rather a maturation of Bitcoin as an asset class [3][4] - The current decline is described as a market-structure transition rather than a cyclical bear market, indicating a change in ownership and trading dynamics [4] Institutional Adoption - The current period of declining prices is noted to be "distinguishably different" due to Bitcoin's maturation and increasing institutional adoption, highlighted by J.P. Morgan's acceptance of Bitcoin as collateral [6] - Data indicates that investors selling Bitcoin are doing so at net profit, suggesting that capitulation or margin calls have not yet occurred, while retail investors are not buying the dip [7]

Core Viewpoint - Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) shows potential as a stock pick due to a recent "golden cross" event, indicating a bullish trend reversal [1][4]. Technical Analysis - A "golden cross" occurs when a stock's short-term moving average (50-day) crosses above its long-term moving average (200-day), signaling a bullish breakout [2]. - The successful formation of a golden cross involves three stages: a price decline bottoming out, the shorter moving average crossing above the longer one, and the stock maintaining upward momentum [3]. Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, VTS has gained 13.1%, indicating strong performance [4]. - VTS currently holds a 1 (Strong Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, suggesting further breakout potential [4]. Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook for VTS is positive, with no downward revisions in earnings estimates over the past two months and one upward revision, leading to an increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate [4][6]. - The combination of favorable earnings estimate revisions and technical indicators positions VTS for potential gains in the near future [6].

Core Viewpoint - Maximus, Inc. (MMS) shows potential as a stock pick due to a recent "golden cross" event, indicating a bullish trend reversal [1][4]. Technical Analysis - A "golden cross" occurs when a short-term moving average (50-day) crosses above a long-term moving average (200-day), suggesting a potential bullish breakout [2]. - The successful formation of a golden cross involves three stages: a price bottom, the crossover of moving averages, and the maintenance of upward momentum [3]. Stock Performance - MMS shares have increased by 20.4% over the past four weeks, indicating strong upward movement [4]. - The company currently holds a 1 (Strong Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, suggesting further breakout potential [4]. Earnings Outlook - There have been no cuts to earnings estimates for the current quarter, with one revision higher in the past 60 days, indicating a positive earnings outlook [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MMS has also increased, reinforcing the bullish sentiment [4][6]. Investment Consideration - The combination of positive earnings estimate revisions and the recent technical breakout positions MMS as a stock to watch for potential gains in the near future [6].