Debt death spiral
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Ray Dalio warns America is ‘very much’ like early 1970s — and that this major US asset could fail as a store of wealth
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-10 11:33
Core Insights - Ray Dalio warns that if investors believe the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates artificially low, it could lead to a significant decline in the value of money [1][2] - Dalio highlights the potential for a "debt death spiral" in the U.S. due to the national debt, which is currently around $37.86 trillion [3] - The U.S. Dollar Index has dropped 10.8% in the first half of 2025, marking its worst performance since 1973, indicating a decline in the dollar's value [5] Economic Context - Dalio compares the current economic situation to the early 1970s, a period characterized by high inflation and economic instability, prompting investors to reconsider the value of fiat currencies [4] - Inflation has significantly eroded purchasing power, with $100 in 2025 equivalent to only $12.05 in 1970 [5] Investment Strategies - Dalio recommends gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, suggesting a 15% allocation in investment portfolios [7] - Gold prices have increased by over 45% in the past year, reinforcing its status as a safe haven asset [8] Real Estate Insights - Real estate is also viewed as a strong hedge against inflation, with the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index rising by 49% over the past five years [12] - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived allow investors to gain exposure to real estate with minimal investment and without the burdens of property management [13] Alternative Investments - Art investments are gaining traction as a means to preserve wealth during inflationary periods, with notable sales like Paul Allen's collection fetching $1.5 billion [19] - Platforms like Masterworks make investing in high-value art accessible to a broader audience, allowing fractional ownership of blue-chip artworks [20][21]
Elon Musk warns US will be ‘toast’ if 1 problem isn’t solved — says the government is ‘basically unfixable.’ Prepare now
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 11:30
Core Insights - The U.S. national debt has reached $37.45 trillion, leading to concerns about the sustainability of government borrowing and interest payments [2][3] - The price of gold has surged over 40% in the past year, highlighting its role as a safe haven during economic uncertainty [6][5] - Real estate is increasingly viewed as a hedge against inflation, with the S&P Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index climbing over 50% in the last five years [10][9] Economic Concerns - Billionaires like Ray Dalio and Elon Musk have raised alarms about the U.S. potentially entering a "debt death spiral," where borrowing is necessary just to cover interest payments [2][4] - The U.S. government paid $933 billion in net interest in the fiscal year-to-date 2025, surpassing defense spending of $841 billion [2][3] Investment Strategies - Investing in gold is recommended as a diversification strategy, especially during economic downturns, due to its stability compared to fiat currencies [5][6] - Real estate investment can be accessed through crowdfunding platforms, allowing individuals to invest with as little as $100 [11][12] - The S&P 500 index fund is suggested as a straightforward investment option for broad market exposure without the need for active management [15][16] Real Estate Investment - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived enable investors to buy shares in rental properties, providing a low-cost entry into real estate [11][12] - First National Realty Partners offers accredited investors opportunities in grocery-anchored commercial properties, minimizing landlord responsibilities [13][14] Gold Investment - Gold IRAs allow for the inclusion of physical gold in retirement accounts, combining tax advantages with the protective benefits of gold [7][6] - Priority Gold offers promotional incentives for qualifying purchases, enhancing the appeal of gold investments [8]