Discretionary spending

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Retailers to face cost struggle if tariffs on China increase: Oppenheimer's Nagel
Youtube· 2025-10-10 21:04
Retail, one of the sectors worst slam today on tough talk from President Trump on China tariffs. The XRT ETF posting its worst day since May, worst week of the year. Some of the hardest hit names, Five Below, Estee Lauder, Best Buy, and Capri.Let's bring in Oenheimer senior analyst Brian Nagel. And Brian, you you had been saying tariff driven price hikes were moderating. How much of a concern is this uh latest dust up.>> Well, good afternoon. Now, that's interesting. So, you're referring to uh just this mor ...
Here's how to manage your finances during a government shutdown
CNBC Television· 2025-10-03 12:00
It's estimated about 750,000 federal workers are furoughed during this government shutdown. And that means they're likely going to miss one paycheck, maybe several, until Congress passes legislation to end the shutdown. With many employees working paycheck to paycheck, how do you manage your finances.Well, the first thing is you have to calculate your cash flow. You got to focus on that cash flow. figure out your fixed expenses and what money you have and how long it might last to cover those expenses.Discr ...
Sluggish Sales and a Change in CEO: Is Target's Stock Destined to Go Lower?
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-03 08:05
Core Viewpoint - Target's stock is trading at multi-year lows, reflecting significant challenges in the retail sector due to macroeconomic factors and internal management decisions [1][2][9]. Group 1: Company Performance - Target's sales have been stagnant, with a 37% decline in valuation over the past 12 months, and the stock is at levels similar to the 2020 market crash [2][3]. - In the most recent quarter ending August 2, Target reported net sales of $25.2 billion, down 0.9% year-over-year, and operating income fell by over 19% to $1.3 billion [11]. - The company anticipates a low-single digit drop in sales for the full fiscal year ending in January [11]. Group 2: Leadership Changes - Target announced Michael Fiddelke as the new CEO, effective February 1, 2026, succeeding Brian Cornell, who will remain on the board [5]. - Investors expressed skepticism regarding the internal hire, fearing it may perpetuate the status quo rather than implement necessary changes [6][7]. - The need for significant changes is emphasized, as the current strategy has not yielded positive results [8]. Group 3: Market Conditions - The retail sector is facing challenges due to rising interest rates and consumers reducing discretionary spending, impacting sales growth across the industry [9][12]. - Despite the current struggles, the business is not fundamentally broken, and long-term investors may find value in Target's stock, which has a low price-to-earnings multiple of 11 compared to the S&P 500 average of 25 [14]. - Target offers a 4.7% dividend yield, which may provide compensation for patient investors during this downturn [14].
Why Southwest Airlines Lost Altitude Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-22 19:08
Core Viewpoint - Southwest Airlines has not experienced a rebound in travel demand, disappointing investors who anticipated a quick recovery [1][4] Group 1: Company Performance - Southwest shares fell as much as 4.5% following comments from the CFO, eventually trading down 1% [1] - CFO Tom Doxey indicated that unit revenue in Q1 was about three points worse than expected, and Q2 unit revenue is trending six points worse than anticipated [4] - The company is undergoing a business model revamp, including the removal of popular features like free checked bags, which may lead to consumer booking elsewhere [6][7] Group 2: Industry Context - Airline stocks are cyclical, with demand typically falling during economic downturns as consumers cut discretionary spending [3] - Several airlines have scaled back full-year guidance due to a surprising drop in demand late in Q1, although there was initial hope for a quick recovery [3] - In contrast, United Airlines reported a "stable" revenue and booking environment, highlighting a potential Southwest-specific issue [5][6]
Is Target Stock a Buy in March 2025?
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-12 22:14
Core Viewpoint - Target's stock has experienced a significant decline of 55% over the past few years, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's 20% increase during the same period, raising questions about its investment potential [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Despite the stock's poor performance, Target is a blue-chip company with a strong brand and a history of success, including 58 consecutive annual dividend increases [2]. - Target's business fundamentals remain solid, but its stock price has suffered due to its cyclical nature compared to competitors like Walmart, which has a higher proportion of staple goods sales [2][4]. - Target's merchandise sales include only about 40% from groceries and household staples, making it more vulnerable during economic downturns when discretionary spending decreases [4][6]. Group 2: Financial Health - Target maintains a strong financial foundation, with a current dividend yield of 3.9%, a payout ratio of only 45% of cash flow, and a manageable leverage ratio of 1.8 times EBITDA [8]. - The company has $4.7 billion in cash and holds an "A" credit rating, indicating stability despite current challenges [8]. - Analysts project earnings growth of just over 6% annually over the next three to five years, resulting in a reasonable PEG ratio of 2.1, suggesting the stock is now more appropriately valued [11]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - While the stock is not considered a generational bargain, it could provide solid total returns of 10% to 11% annually through dividends and earnings growth, making it a potential buying opportunity [12]. - The stock may continue to struggle until discretionary spending recovers, but the current financial stability allows for a degree of investor confidence [9][12].