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Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Department of Commerce has initiated a preliminary investigation into Algerian steel products, specifically rebar for concrete, identifying government subsidies that may warrant countervailing duties, increasing uncertainty for these products entering the U.S. market [1] Group 1: Investigation Findings - The investigation period covers January 1 to December 31, 2024, focusing on rebar products exported to the U.S. without distinction of metallurgical composition, length, diameter, or quality grade [1] - The preliminary assessment indicates that the subsidy rate for Algerian rebar products could be as high as 72.94%, applicable to Tosyali Algérie and other Algerian producers [1] - Following the investigation results, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) will be required to suspend the clearance of these products and importers must pay cash deposits equivalent to the estimated countervailing duty rate [1] Group 2: Impact on Exports - In addition to the countervailing duty investigation, the U.S. previously recognized dumping practices for Algerian rebar products in December 2025, estimating a dumping margin of 127.32% [2] - Due to multiple trade reviews, Algeria's steel exports to the U.S. have significantly declined, with 2024 export volumes dropping to 91,000 tons and export value around $5 million, a stark decrease from 440,000 tons in 2023 and 263,000 tons in 2022 [2]

Market Trends - Ethereum whales（以太坊巨鲸） and sharks（以太坊鲨鱼） accumulated approximately 934,240 ETH, equivalent to $3.15 billion, in the last 3 weeks [1] - Retail investors dumped 1,041 ETH during the same period [1] Price Impact - Ethereum price increased by 8.5%, reaching $3,400 [1]

Trade Policy & Tariffs - The Trump administration removed 40% tariffs on some Brazilian products, including beef, coffee, cocoa, and fruit [1] - President Trump is threatening to impose 107% tariffs on imported pasta from Italy, accusing Italian pasta producers of dumping [6] - The Commerce Department initially launched its review in 2024 after complaints from American companies that own pasta brands Ronzone, Muellers, and Prince [7] - The US is Italy's second biggest export market for pasta [7] - Italian pasta producers deny the dumping allegations, stating their pasta is consistently priced higher in the US market [8] - Some argue the tariffs could be a way to get Italian companies to move their production to the US, but Italian producers say it's impossible in a reasonable time [8] Economic Impact & Market Concerns - The tariffs could cause the price of Italian pasta to surge, potentially leading to panic buying [7] - The move to impose tariffs on pasta is seen by some as more political than economic, signaling that no sector or country is safe [9] - There are concerns about the potential for the Supreme Court to overturn the president's authority to assign these tariffs, which could lead to refunds and a hit to US coffers [12] - The fundamental contradiction around the tariff policy is whether it's designed to help American industry or to raise revenue [18] - The administration is considering giving people a tariff refund, which raises questions about the efficiency and purpose of the whole process [19][20] Potential Future Actions - Italian pasta producers are hoping to negotiate with President Trump, similar to how tariffs on European wines were reduced [10] - A future Democratic administration might also consider keeping some of the tariffs in place as a source of revenue [16][17]

Bitcoin Movement - A BitcoinOG(1011short) deposited 665.9 BTC, equivalent to $55.18 million, into Binance [1] - The same BitcoinOG(1011short) deposited another 500 BTC, equivalent to $54.98 million, into Kraken [1] Market Sentiment - The report suggests a potential "dumping" of BTC by BitcoinOG(1011short), indicating possible selling pressure [1]

Trade Policy - Canada can do more to counter foreign steel dumping [1]