Investment Rating - The investment rating for Empyrean Technology Co Ltd is Equal-weight [4] Core Viewpoints - The recent lifting of US export restrictions allows Synopsys and Cadence to restore access to their software and technology for customers in China, which is significant for the EDA market [1] - Empyrean Technology, the largest local vendor in China, held a 10% market share in 2024, but its stock has declined by 10% over the past month, contrasting with the CSI 300 index's 3% increase [2] - The report suggests that achieving full flow in digital EDA by Empyrean Technology by the end of 2025 is unlikely, with potential delays extending to 2027 due to M&A processes [2] - The current valuation of Empyrean Technology at 37x NTM P/S is significantly higher than its global peers, indicating that future market share gains are already priced in [2] Financial Summary - Price target for Empyrean Technology is set at Rmb115.00, representing a downside of 4% from the current price of Rmb119.30 [4] - Market capitalization is Rmb64,773 million with 543 million shares outstanding [4] - Revenue projections show growth from Rmb1,222 million in 2024 to Rmb2,666 million by 2027 [4] - EPS is expected to increase from Rmb0.20 in 2024 to Rmb1.65 in 2027 [4] - EBITDA is projected to improve from a loss of Rmb14 million in 2024 to a profit of Rmb914 million by 2027 [4]

Investment Ratings - Maintain Buy on Empyrean, Kingdee, and Kingsoft Office; Neutral on Yonyou and Glodon; Sell on ZWSOFT, Thundersoft, Primarius, and Sangfor [1] Core Insights - The average revenue growth for the software sector in 1Q25 was 6% YoY, while the average net margin was -3% due to weak seasonality [4][10] - Companies are focusing on high-quality products with better margins, new product upgrades, and AI features to drive growth in 2H25 [1] - Profitability improvement is a key focus, with companies implementing headcount optimization and cost control measures [1] Company Summaries Glodon - 1Q25 revenues decreased by 5% YoY to Rmb1.2 billion, attributed to muted demand from the property market and headcount optimization [6] - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities and focusing on cost management and product mix improvement [7] - Earnings estimates for 2025-27E have been revised down by 18%/16%/14% mainly due to lower revenue from construction management software [11] Thundersoft - 1Q25 revenue grew by 25% YoY, supported by IoT software and smartphone software recovery [16] - Gross margin improved to 36.3%, but Opex ratio increased to 32.6% due to higher spending on AI edge solution development [16] - Earnings estimates for 2025-27E have been revised down by 2% across the board, reflecting higher Opex spending [20] Empyrean - 1Q25 revenues increased by 10% YoY to Rmb234 million, with expectations for sequential growth due to new product ramp-up [25] - The company plans to expand its digital EDA tools and has announced an acquisition plan for Xpeedic [25][26] - Earnings estimates for 2025-27E have been revised down by 42%/27%/20% mainly due to lower revenues from panel EDA tools [29] Yonyou - 1Q25 revenue decreased by 21% YoY to Rmb1.4 billion, missing estimates due to a slowdown in new project wins and migration to a subscription model [33] - The company reported a net loss of Rmb736 million, attributed to lower gross margin and higher Opex spending [33]