Earnings ESP(Expected Surprise Prediction)

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 Why Southern Co. (SO) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
 ZACKS· 2025-10-14 17:11
 Core Insights - Southern Co. has a strong history of beating earnings estimates and is well-positioned for future earnings growth [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $0.91 per share for the most recent quarter, exceeding the expected $0.87, resulting in a surprise of 4.60% [2] - The average surprise for the last two quarters was 3.55%, indicating consistent performance above estimates [1][2]   Earnings Performance - In the previous quarter, Southern Co. reported earnings of $1.23 per share against an expectation of $1.20, achieving a surprise of 2.50% [2] - The company's Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) is currently +2.16%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8]   Analyst Sentiment - Estimates for Southern Co. have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with a success rate of nearly 70% for stocks with this profile [6][8]   Upcoming Earnings - Southern Co.'s next earnings report is anticipated to be released on October 30, 2025 [8]
 Why Vital Farms (VITL) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
 ZACKS· 2025-07-24 17:10
 Core Viewpoint - Vital Farms (VITL) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations and positive analyst sentiment [1][5].   Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Vital Farms achieved earnings of $0.37 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.26 per share, resulting in a surprise of 42.31% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $0.15 per share but delivered $0.23 per share, leading to a surprise of 53.33% [2].   Analyst Sentiment - Recent earnings estimates for Vital Farms have been revised upward, indicating growing analyst confidence in the company's near-term earnings potential [5]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for Vital Farms is currently +2.35%, suggesting a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [8].   Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, indicating a strong likelihood of exceeding consensus estimates [6]. - Vital Farms holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), further enhancing the probability of another earnings beat [8].
 Will AutoNation (AN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
 ZACKS· 2025-07-21 17:10
 Core Viewpoint - AutoNation (AN) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, continuing a trend of positive earnings surprises [1][5].   Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, AutoNation reported earnings of $4.35 per share, missing the expected $4.68 per share by 7.59%. In the previous quarter, it exceeded expectations by reporting $4.97 per share against a consensus estimate of $4.26 per share, resulting in a surprise of 16.67% [2].   Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for AutoNation have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +0.83%, indicating analysts' growing bullish sentiment on the company's near-term earnings potential [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8].   Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may provide a more accurate prediction of earnings [7].



