If you like to see more ideas, please subscribe to the premium service "Value in Corporate Events" here and try the free trial. In this service we cover major earnings events, M&A, IPOs and other significant corporate events with actionable ideas. Furthermore, we provide coverage of situations and names on request!When Klarna Group plc ( KLAR ) went public in September of last year, I concluded that investors should pay later. While I had real reservations about the prospects for the business, I did not exp ...

NVIDIA and Salesforce anchor a high-density next Wednesday after close, following retail reports from Home Depot, Lowe's, and TJX Companies. Next Tuesday through next Thursday each see 40 reports, featuring major financials like Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto Dominion Bank. Next Monday highlights the energy sector, while Intuit, Bank of Montreal, and MercadoLibre add to the week's significant volatility. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. ...

Economic Indicators - The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a month-over-month increase of +0.2%, down from +0.3% previously reported, marking the lowest increase since July [2] - Year-over-year headline CPI, or inflation rate, decreased by 30 basis points to +2.4%, the lowest since May of the previous year, and down 60 basis points from September [3] - Core CPI year-over-year is reported at +2.5%, down 10 basis points month-over-month, the lowest since March 2021 [3] Energy and Price Trends - Cheaper energy prices, particularly a -7.5% drop in gasoline prices, contributed significantly to the CPI metrics [4] - Used cars and trucks also saw a price decline of -2% [4] Company Earnings Reports - Wendy's (WEN) reported earnings of 16 cents per share, exceeding consensus estimates by 2 cents, but revenues of $542.97 million were down year-over-year, leading to a 4% drop in shares [6] - Advance Auto Parts (AAP) had a significant earnings surprise with 86 cents per share against estimates of 41 cents, and revenues of $1.97 billion, leading to a rise in shares [7] - Moderna (MRNA) reported a loss of -$2.11 per share, better than the expected -$2.60, with revenues of $678 million, which is down from $966 million year-over-year, but shares are up by +1.7% [8]

Group 1 - Walmart stock is set to report earnings, with expectations of strong performance amid a busy earnings calendar [1] - The Nasdaq composite index remains below its 50-day moving average, indicating a challenging market environment despite strong earnings from companies like Lattice Semiconductor and Advanced Energy [1] - The stock market is experiencing a rotation into consumer staples as technology stocks face a sell-off, impacting companies like Walmart [1] Group 2 - Upcoming earnings reports from Walmart, Guardant Health, and Quanta Services are being closely monitored by investors [1] - The market is seeing a shift away from tech stocks, with notable movements in stocks like AMD and Eli Lilly as earnings reports are released [1] - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with an elevated distribution day count indicating potential volatility [1]

Group 1 - The article promotes a premium service called "Value in Corporate Events" that focuses on major corporate events such as earnings reports, M&A, and IPOs, providing actionable investment ideas [1] - The service aims to cover 10 major events each month, helping investors identify the best opportunities in the market [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the expertise of the leader of the investing group, who has a Master of Science in financial markets and a decade of experience in tracking companies through catalytic events [1]

Core Insights - The acquisition of ZT Systems has significantly benefited Sanmina, resulting in a doubling of its shares within a specific timeframe [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - Sanmina's shares have doubled since the acquisition of ZT Systems, indicating a successful integration and positive market response [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The service "Value in Corporate Events" provides insights into major corporate events such as earnings reports, M&A, and IPOs, aiming to identify actionable investment opportunities [1].

Core Viewpoint - ExxonMobil's full-year profit decreased in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to lower crude oil prices and reduced margins in its chemicals business, despite a strong Q4 performance driven by refining and high output from growth assets [1] Q4 Performance and Key Financials - Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) were $1.71, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.68 - Revenue for Q4 reached $82.31 billion, exceeding the forecast of $81.04 billion, although it declined from the previous year - GAAP earnings for Q4 totaled $6.5 billion, translating to $1.53 per share - Operating activities generated $12.7 billion in cash flow, resulting in free cash flow of $5.6 billion [1][1][1] Operational Highlights and Growth Drivers - Annual earnings fell to $28.8 billion in 2025 from $33.7 billion in 2024, indicating challenges in profitability - The company achieved its highest full-year net production in over 40 years, reaching 4.7 million oil-equivalent barrels per day - Key production drivers included 1.6 million barrels per day from the Permian Basin and over 700,000 barrels per day from Guyana [1][1][1] Capital Allocation and Forward Guidance - The Energy Products segment's full-year earnings increased to $7.4 billion from $4.0 billion in 2024, driven by high refining margins and global throughput - ExxonMobil returned $37.2 billion to shareholders in 2025, including $17.2 billion in dividends and $20.0 billion in share repurchases - The company raised its quarterly dividend by 4%, marking 43 consecutive years of annual dividend-per-share growth - Capital expenditure guidance for 2026 is set between $27 billion and $29 billion, consistent with 2025 spending [1][1][1]

Market Overview - US futures for the three major indexes are trending higher, with the Nasdaq leading the way, indicating a nearly 1% rise at the open, primarily driven by the tech sector as many major tech firms report earnings this week [1][2] - S&P 500 futures are up 0.4%, while Dow Jones futures show a slight increase of less than 0.1% [2] European Market Performance - In Europe, stock markets are experiencing a slight decline, with the UK's FTSE 100 down 0.5% and Germany's DAX falling 0.2% [3] Commodity Market Trends - Gold continues its record rally, gaining an additional 3% to trade just under $5,300 per ounce [3] - Silver prices are also rising, with a 5.4% increase, trading at $111 per ounce [3]

Market Performance - The Nasdaq and S&P 500 opened positively, with the S&P 500 reaching a new all-time closing high of 6978, up by +0.41% [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by -408.99 points, or -0.83%, primarily due to a -19% loss in UnitedHealth (UNH) following mixed Q4 results [1] Economic Reports - The Case-Shiller Home Prices for November showed a slight improvement, with a +1.4% increase, and house prices rose +0.6% month over month and +1.9% year over year, although these figures lag behind the +2.7% inflation rate [2] - Consumer Confidence for January dropped significantly to 84.5, down nearly 10 points from a revised December figure of 94.2, indicating levels typically associated with an impending recession [4][5] Company Earnings - Texas Instruments (TXN) reported Q4 earnings of $1.27 per share, missing estimates by 3 cents, with revenues of $4.42 billion also falling short of expectations [6] - F5 (FFIV) exceeded earnings expectations with $4.45 per share on revenues of $822 million, leading to a +13% increase in after-hours trading [7] - Seagate Technologies (STX) reported fiscal Q2 earnings of $3.19 per share on revenues of $2.83 billion, surpassing estimates, although shares fell -1.3% after a significant year-to-date increase of nearly +35% [9]

Group 1: Earnings Reports Overview - Earnings season is likened to traveling, with excitement leading to overwhelming moments when results are released [1] - The focus is on monitoring a wide range of earnings reports, not just the high-profile companies [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - **Celestica Inc (CLS)**: The stock is off its record high of $363.40 but has shown a positive trend with a 100-day moving average increase. It has posted four consecutive post-earnings gains, with an implied earnings deviation of 14.7% [4][6] - **Nucor Corp (NUE)**: The company benefits from tariff dynamics and increased demand in the infrastructure sector. Its implied earnings deviation is 3.5%, which is below its two-year historical average [6] - **NextEra Energy (NEE)**: As the largest electric utility by market capitalization, it has seen muted post-earnings moves, indicating a focus on dividends rather than volatility. The implied earnings deviation is 5.0% [7] - **UnitedHealth Group (UNH)**: The first major health insurer to report, with recent price action being flat. Historical volatility has been influenced by an earnings miss in April 2025, with an implied earnings deviation of 5.3% [8][13]