随着基本面改善以及全球资产配置逻辑的转变，巴西股市在2026年初成为全球资金竞相追逐的热点。在美元走软、大宗商品价格上涨以及降息预期的共同推 动下，巴西市场不仅迎来了久违的强劲反弹，更吸引了包括顶级对冲基金在内的巨额海外资金流入。 据彭博援引近期监管文件，亿万富翁投资者德鲁肯米勒旗下的Duquesne Family Office在去年第四季度大举建仓巴西。该家族办公室在截至12月31日的三个月 内，买入了约350万股iShares MSCI Brazil ETF（EWZ），并同时买入了该基金的看涨期权，精准押注了随后的市场爆发。 这一布局迅速获得了回报。iShares MSCI Brazil ETF在今年1月飙升了17%，创下自2020年以来的最佳单月表现。这一涨势主要得益于美元走软和商品价格走 高，推动了包括矿业巨头Vale SA和国有石油生产商Petroleo Brasileiro SA在内的权重股实现两位数的大幅上涨。 市场情绪的逆转引发了外资的抢筹潮。数据显示，今年以来外国投资者已向巴西股市投入了超过340亿雷亚尔（BRL）。策略师指出，全球基金经理正在结 束对拉美地区的"低配"状态，转而寻求在新兴市 ...

Core Insights - The SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF (SPEM) has achieved a 32% gain over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 16% return, driven by growth in emerging market economies, particularly in Asia and Latin America [2][7] Performance Overview - SPEM provides diversified access to emerging markets with an expense ratio of just 0.07%, tracking over 800 holdings across countries like China, India, and Brazil [3] - Notable individual stock performances include Nu Holdings, which rose 28% with 41% earnings growth, while PDD Holdings fell 8% due to a focus on market share over profitability [7] Currency Impact - Currency movements, particularly the strength of the U.S. dollar, significantly influence emerging market returns; a weaker dollar enhances the value of local currency-denominated assets [4] - Monitoring the DXY Dollar Index is crucial, as a sustained move below 100 could support emerging market strength, while a rise above 108 may create challenges [5] Volatility Factors - Individual stock performance within SPEM can vary widely; for instance, PDD Holdings' decline illustrates the trade-offs between growth and profitability that many emerging market companies face [6]

Core Insights - The analyst has over a decade of experience researching various companies across different sectors, including commodities like oil, natural gas, gold, and copper, as well as technology firms such as Google and Nokia, and emerging market stocks [1] Group 1: Company Focus - The analyst has a particular interest in covering metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with other industries such as consumer discretionary, consumer staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

Core Insights - The global investment landscape is shifting towards emerging markets, driven by younger demographics with sophisticated expectations for business, culture, and technology integration [1] - ALMAD Group, launched by Adrian Cheng, aims to leverage Hong Kong's unique advantages as an international financial hub to capture opportunities in these emerging markets [2] Emerging Markets Strategy - ALMAD Group focuses on transformative industries in high-growth markets, including culture, entertainment, sports, media, healthcare, commercial management, and cultural tourism, targeting Gen Alpha and Gen Z needs [4] - The group identifies Mainland China, ASEAN countries, and the Middle East as key regions for investment, where digital-native audiences are significant and traditional infrastructure is less entrenched [3][5] Market Characteristics - The targeted emerging markets share characteristics such as growing affluent populations, government support for creative industries, and the potential for innovative integration of culture, commerce, and technology [6] Hong Kong as Strategic Platform - Hong Kong serves as a strategic platform for ALMAD Group, providing advantages such as established regulatory frameworks and global connectivity, enabling operations across multiple markets with operational flexibility [7]