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对话经济学人智库首席经济学家:在“渴望确定性”的时代寻找增长锚点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 00:11
Core Insights - The World Economic Forum 2026 aims to find stability amid geopolitical economic fluctuations and the AI investment boom driven by U.S. President Trump's policies [1][9] AI and Technology Leadership - Discussions around AI are shifting from abstract concepts to specific application scenarios, with many entrepreneurs engaged in AI-related businesses [3][11] - AI is creating numerous new jobs that did not exist one or two years ago, enhancing productivity through cloud programming tools [3][11] - The core value of AI is increasingly seen as enhancing existing capabilities, with examples of AI tools improving research efficiency [3][11] - Concerns about AI exacerbating global inequality hinge on design, with well-designed AI being accessible to everyone [3][11] Future Predictions - AI is expected to have a disruptive impact in two key areas: healthcare, potentially shortening the time to market for life-saving drugs and significantly extending average life expectancy over the next decade, and robotics, where video data processing will enhance applications [4][12] China's Technological Advancements - China is recognized for its rapid technological progress, with examples like DJI and BYD showcasing its leadership in technology and electric vehicles [5][12] - The global electrification effort to combat climate change is seen as crucial, with China leading in this technological domain [5][12] Climate Challenges and Investment - The UN Environment Programme reports that developing countries will need over $310 billion annually for climate adaptation by 2035, highlighting a significant funding gap [6][13] - Addressing climate investment challenges requires cooperation and a long-term perspective, with technological breakthroughs being essential for solutions [6][13] - Private capital's involvement in green projects faces historical challenges, but emerging markets have opportunities to leapfrog to green technologies [7][13] ESG Considerations - The integration of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors should not be rigidly enforced, as their internal goals and metrics do not naturally align [8][14] - Good governance is crucial for fostering a fair competitive environment, while social factors like employee retention can enhance business performance [8][14] - The transition to green energy is fundamentally driven by technology making it more economical than fossil fuels, indicating a gradual approach to achieving sustainability goals [8][14]