Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly and Company is facing challenges due to global uncertainties and competitive dynamics, but it has strong growth prospects driven by its key products Mounjaro and Zepbound, alongside a robust pipeline of new drugs. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Dynamics - Eli Lilly's shares have declined by 8.2% in the past month, largely due to global uncertainties from the tariff war and fears of a recession [1] - The stock has outperformed the industry, which has decreased by 4.1%, and the S&P 500 index [15][26] - Despite a 1.7% decline in stock price this year, Lilly's market cap exceeds $700 billion, reflecting a 420.3% increase over the past five years [26] Group 2: Product Performance and Sales Growth - Mounjaro and Zepbound generated combined sales of $16.5 billion in 2024, accounting for approximately 36% of total revenues [3] - Sales growth of Mounjaro and Zepbound was impacted by supply and channel dynamics in the second half of 2024, raising concerns about demand [4] - Lilly expects to launch Mounjaro in new international markets in 2025, which is anticipated to boost sales [6] Group 3: New Drug Approvals and Pipeline - The FDA approved Zepbound for a second indication, which is expected to drive sales higher [7] - Lilly has gained approvals for several new drugs, including Omvoh and Jaypirca, contributing significantly to top-line growth in 2024 [8] - The company is making rapid progress in its pipeline, with several mid to late-stage readouts expected in 2025 [9] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The obesity market is projected to expand to $100 billion by 2030, with Lilly and Novo Nordisk currently dominating [10] - Several companies, including Amgen and Viking Therapeutics, are developing GLP-1-based candidates that could pose competition to Lilly's products [12] - Other pharmaceutical companies are also entering the obesity space, which may threaten Lilly's market position [14] Group 5: Financial Outlook and Shareholder Returns - Lilly expects revenues in the range of $58.0 billion to $61.0 billion in 2025, indicating a 32% year-over-year growth [27] - The company returned $3 billion to shareholders in 2024 through share repurchases and dividends, and has approved a new $15 billion stock buyback plan [29]

Jefferies analyst Edison Lee upgraded Apple Inc AAPL from Underperform to Hold and lowered the price target from $202.33 to $167.88 on Wednesday.Lee’s base case remains that Apple would be exempted from U.S. tariffs, given its commitment to invest $500 billion in the U.S. over the next four years and his belief that it would make additional manufacturing investment commitments in the US (to make iPhones, for example). However, a rising global recession risk could further impact already-weak iPhone demand.Th ...

Pfizer’s (PFE) stock hit a new 52-week low of $20.92 on Wednesday but recovered thereafter and closed at $22.49Though the stock has seen ups and downs in the past year, the latest price decline is largely due to the global uncertainty caused by the tariff war. With the Trump administration imposing sweeping tariffs, fears of a global recession resulted in a stock market rout worldwide. Though pharmaceuticals have been exempted from tariffs this time around, they could well be Trump’s target in the next roun ...

Walmart stuck to its full-year sales and income growth forecasts on Wednesday and vowed to keep prices low, even as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs fuel fears of a global recession.The company’s shares, which have fallen nearly 9% since the announcement of a raft of tariffs on April 2, rose about 4%.“The outlook was better-than-expected given the current environment,” D.A. Davidson analyst Michael Baker said on the sidelines of Walmart’s investor meeting in Dallas. “That they maintained guidance is being ...