Key Takeaways MRK faces major headwinds as Keytruda, its top seller, nears the loss of exclusivity in 2028. Gardasil sales dropped 40% in Q1 2025 due to weak China demand, despite strength in other regions. MRK expects IRA's Medicare drug pricing to impact Januvia in 2026 and Keytruda starting in 2028.Merck (MRK) is expected to face several hurdles over the next few years that could affect its long-term growth trajectory, starting with the anticipated loss of exclusivity of its blockbuster PD-L1 inhibitor ...

Key Takeaways AZN's oncology sales hit $5.6B in Q1 2025, up 13%, led by drugs like Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Enhertu. Truqap and Datroway launches in HR HER2- breast cancer show early sales strength and FDA momentum. AZN eyes pipeline growth with late-stage drugs camizestrant and volrustomig across multiple cancer types.AstraZeneca (AZN) is one of the leading drugmakers in the oncology space. Oncology sales (comprising around 41% of AstraZeneca‘s total revenues) rose 13% in the first quarter of 2025, generat ...

Key Takeaways PFE expects steady 2025 COVID sales but anticipates major LOE losses and IRA headwinds in the future. Medicare Part D changes may cut into sales of key PFE drugs like Vyndaqel, Ibrance, Xtandi and Xeljanz. PFE trades at 7.82x forward earnings, below industry average, with EPS estimates rising for 2025 and 2026.Pfizer (PFE) is likely to encounter several headwinds in the next couple of years that can hurt its sales and profits, the first being declining sales of COVID products, Comirnaty and ...

Core Insights - AbbVie has established a significant oncology franchise, expanding from blood cancer drugs to include therapies for solid tumors, with five oncology products now available [1][7] - The oncology segment contributed over 12% to AbbVie's total revenues in Q1 2025, with expectations for Emrelis, its first internally developed lung cancer drug, to start contributing in Q3 2025 [1][2][7] Company Strategy - AbbVie is pursuing both organic and inorganic growth strategies, with recent additions to its oncology portfolio coming from acquisitions and collaborations, while Emrelis represents an internal development [2] - The company has a diverse pipeline of promising therapies, including etentamig for multiple myeloma and Temab-A for colorectal and gastroesophageal cancers, indicating a strong focus on expanding its oncology offerings [3][7] Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the oncology space include AstraZeneca, Merck, and Pfizer, with AstraZeneca's oncology sales accounting for nearly 41% of its total revenues and growing by 13% in Q1 2025 [4] - Merck's Keytruda accounted for over 46% of its total revenues in Q1 2025, while Pfizer's oncology revenues grew by 7%, making up over 27% of its total revenues [5] Financial Performance - AbbVie shares have outperformed the industry year to date, although the company's valuation is not considered cheap, trading at a P/E ratio of 13.99 compared to the industry average of 14.81 [6][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AbbVie's earnings has increased for both 2025 and 2026, indicating positive market sentiment [10]

Japan Equity Research June 20, 2025 Pharmaceutical Sector Data Book – Valuation, Product Sales Trend Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals/ Medical Technologies & Services Seiji Wakao, Ph.D. AC seiji.wakao@jpmorgan.com (81-3) 6736-8612 | | | | | P/E(x) | | | | | | P/B(x) | | | | | | EV/EBITDA(x) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | FY25E | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E | FY29E | FY35E | FY25E | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E | FY29E ...

An updated edition of the April 16, 2025, article.The global cancer treatment market is transforming rapidly, driven by an increasing demand for more effective, less toxic therapies. As per the American Cancer Society, the United States alone is expected to see 2,041,910 new cancer cases and 618,120 cancer-related deaths in 2025. While advances in early detection and treatment have contributed to a decline in mortality rates for certain cancers, the overall rise in cancer incidence continues to push global ...

Core Viewpoint - Pfizer is a pharmaceutical company with solid growth potential and a high dividend yield, making it a stock worth considering for investment [1][6]. Company Overview - Pfizer has a market value of approximately $133 billion and has been in operation since 1849, offering multiple treatments and a robust pipeline of products [3]. - The company currently has 108 candidates in its pipeline, with 47 in phase 1, 28 in phase 2, and 30 in phase 3, focusing significantly on oncology and various vaccines [4]. Current Products - Major medications include the COVID-19 vaccine, Paxlovid, Prevnar, Ibrance, and Xtandi [5]. Investment Considerations Reasons to Invest - The stock offers a dividend yield of 7.3%, generating around $730 for every $10,000 invested, with a commitment to maintain and grow this dividend over time [6][9]. - Pfizer's valuation is low, with a forward-looking P/E ratio of 8, below its five-year average of 10, and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.1, lower than its five-year average of 3.1 [11]. - The company has strong growth prospects, particularly in oncology, bolstered by the acquisition of Seagen for $43 billion [11]. Reasons Against Investment - The payout ratio is 122%, indicating that the company is paying out more than its earnings in dividends, which may not be sustainable [11]. - Pfizer has experienced average annual losses of 18.6% over the past three years, with revenue declining from $100.3 billion in 2022 to $63.6 billion in 2024 [11]. - Several key products are losing patent protection, and concerns have arisen regarding the safety of its weight-loss drug candidate [11]. - Ongoing tariff wars and government efforts to lower drug costs may pose additional challenges for the company [11].

NEW YORK, June 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Royalty Pharma plc (Nasdaq: RPRX) today announced that it will participate in a fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference on Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 2:00 p.m. ET. The webcast will be accessible from Royalty Pharma’s “Events” page at https://www.royaltypharma.com/investors/events/. The webcast will also be archived for a minimum of thirty days. About Royalty Pharma Founded in 1996, Royalty Pharma is the largest buyer of biopharm ...

Core Viewpoint - Pfizer's high dividend yield of 7.5% attracts income-seeking investors, but underlying concerns about future growth and financial stability exist due to revenue declines and patent expirations [1][2][13]. Dividend Overview - Pfizer currently pays an annual dividend of $1.72 per share, translating to a quarterly payment of $0.43 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 7.5% as of May 22, 2025 [2][3]. - The company has a strong track record of increasing dividends for 16 consecutive years, appealing to investors seeking reliable income [4]. Financial Metrics - Pfizer's annualized 3-year dividend growth stands at 2.50%, with a dividend payout ratio of 124.64% based on trailing earnings, indicating that dividends exceed earnings [4][6]. - The dividend payout consumes approximately 47.69% of its cash flow, suggesting a more sustainable dividend based on cash generation [5]. Revenue Challenges - In Q1 2025, Pfizer's total revenues decreased by 8% year-over-year to $13.7 billion, primarily due to a 75% drop in Paxlovid sales as COVID-19 demand normalized [7]. - The company faces a significant revenue loss of $17-$18 billion annually between 2026 and 2028 due to the impending loss of exclusivity for key drugs like Eliquis and Prevnar [8]. Strategic Initiatives - Pfizer is pursuing a strategy focused on pipeline rejuvenation, particularly in oncology, highlighted by the $43 billion acquisition of Seagen in March 2023, which contributed $3.4 billion to revenue in FY 2024 [9]. - The company has entered a licensing agreement with 3SBio, Inc. for SSGJ-707, with an upfront payment of $1.25 billion, potentially worth up to $6 billion, aiming to launch eight new cancer medicines by 2030 [10]. Pipeline Developments - Positive developments in the oncology pipeline include FDA approval for Adcetris in large B-cell lymphoma and promising clinical data for Padcev in urothelial cancer [11]. - The Abrysvo RSV vaccine has seen expanded recommendations, potentially increasing market reach, although setbacks occurred with the discontinuation of the oral GLP-1 candidate danuglipron [12]. Investment Outlook - Pfizer's stock forecast indicates a 12-month price target of $29.17, representing a 25.08% upside, with a Moderate Buy rating based on 15 analyst ratings [13]. - The current high dividend yield is attractive, but the company faces significant operational challenges and uncertainties regarding future revenue growth [14][15].

Core Insights - The recent announcement of former US President Biden's prostate cancer diagnosis has brought attention to prostate cancer, the second most common malignancy among men globally [2] - The incidence and mortality rates of prostate cancer in China are rising, with 134,200 new cases and 47,500 deaths reported in 2022 [2] - The treatment landscape for prostate cancer is evolving, with numerous innovative pharmaceutical companies developing new therapies, enhancing treatment options for patients [2][4] Market Dynamics - The global prostate cancer treatment market was valued at $35.3 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $56.4 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.3% [4] - Major pharmaceutical companies are competing in this lucrative market, with Pfizer and Astellas' enzalutamide generating $5.926 billion in global sales in 2023, ranking sixth among oncology drugs [3][4] - Chinese pharmaceutical companies are transitioning from generic to innovative drug development, with Heng Rui Medicine's new drug, Rivelutamide, set to launch in December 2024 [4] Treatment Advances - Treatment options for prostate cancer have expanded significantly, with survival rates improving from 2-3 years to over 5 years due to advancements in therapies such as new anti-androgens and PARP inhibitors [3] - The introduction of targeted therapies, such as Novartis' Pluvicto, which achieved $271 million in its first year, indicates a shift towards precision medicine in prostate cancer treatment [3][4] Screening Challenges - Early detection of prostate cancer remains a challenge, with many patients diagnosed at advanced stages due to the disease's asymptomatic nature in early stages [5][6] - The five-year survival rate for prostate cancer patients in China is approximately 66.4%, significantly lower than over 95% in developed countries, highlighting the need for improved screening practices [5] - PSA testing is the primary screening method, and initiatives are underway to increase screening coverage in China, aiming for 40% coverage in the next five years [7]