Key Takeaways PFE beat Q4 earnings & sales estimates, but revenues fell 3% operationally due to sharp COVID product declinePFE reported positive phase IIb obesity data for PF'3944, strengthening its pipeline after the Metsera buyout.Pfizer's 2026 outlook indicates lower revenues and EPS, pressured by COVID erosion, LOEs and higher costs.Pfizer’s (PFE)  fourth-quarter results were strong as it beat estimates for both earnings and sales. Total revenues declined 3% on an operational basis due to a 40% decline ...

Core Insights - Pfizer demonstrated robust operational resilience during its strategic transformation phase, with total revenue reaching $62.6 billion in 2025, reflecting a 6% growth in core business excluding COVID-related products [1][4] - The company maintained its 2026 performance guidance while revealing an active product pipeline, expecting to initiate approximately 20 key clinical trials in 2026, laying the foundation for long-term growth [1][4] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q4 2025 was $17.6 billion, a 1% decrease from Q4 2024, while full-year revenue decreased by 2% to $62.6 billion [2] - Adjusted diluted EPS for Q4 was $0.66, a 5% increase year-over-year, and for the full year, it reached $3.22, up 4% [2][3] - The adjusted sales cost ratio improved to 24.2%, down from 25.8% in 2024, indicating enhanced cost management [8] Business Segments - Non-COVID product lines showed strong structural growth, with cardiovascular and vaccine segments leading the way; Eliquis generated $8 billion in revenue, a growth of 8% [4][5] - The oncology business achieved $16.8 billion in revenue, an 8% increase, with key products like Ibrance and Xtandi maintaining strong market positions despite competition [6] - COVID-related product revenues significantly declined, with Comirnaty and Paxlovid generating $4.4 billion and $2.4 billion respectively, down 18% and 59% year-over-year [7] Strategic Initiatives - Pfizer completed the acquisition of Metsera for approximately $7 billion, marking its entry into the obesity and metabolic disease treatment market [9] - The company is advancing its obesity pipeline, with promising results from the clinical trials of its long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist [10] - Multiple oncology products received regulatory breakthroughs, enhancing the competitive edge of Pfizer's oncology portfolio [11][12] 2026 Outlook - Pfizer projects 2026 revenue between $59.5 billion and $62.5 billion, including approximately $5 billion from COVID-related products [13] - The company plans to maintain a focus on reducing debt levels and balancing its capital structure, with no share buybacks planned for 2026 [13]

Core Insights - Pfizer reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of 66 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents, with a year-over-year earnings increase of 5% [1] - Total revenues for the quarter were $17.6 billion, a decline of 1% year-over-year on a reported basis and 3% on an operational basis, primarily due to decreased revenues from COVID-19 products [2] Revenue Breakdown - International revenues decreased by 4% on an operational basis to $8.44 billion, while U.S. revenues fell by 1% to $9.1 billion [2] - The Primary Care segment saw a 13% operational decline in sales to $7.94 billion, while Specialty Care recorded a 6% increase to $4.77 billion, and Oncology sales rose by 8% to $4.44 billion [3] Product Performance - Eliquis sales in Primary Care rose by 8% to $2.02 billion, although alliance revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.14 billion [4] - Global revenues from the Prevnar family increased by 8% to $1.71 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.65 billion [5] - Comirnaty sales were $2.27 billion, down 35% year-over-year, but still beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.0 billion [6] - Paxlovid revenues dropped by 70% year-over-year to $218 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $289 million [7] Full-Year Results - For the full year 2025, Pfizer's sales declined by 2% to $62.6 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $61.94 billion [14] - Adjusted earnings for 2025 were $3.22 per share, a 4% increase year-over-year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.13 [14] 2026 Guidance - Pfizer expects total revenues for 2026 to be between $59.5 billion and $62.5 billion, reflecting a decline from 2025 due to lower COVID product revenues and an impending patent cliff [16] - COVID sales are projected to be around $5 billion in 2026, down from approximately $6.7 billion in 2025 [17] - Adjusted earnings per share for 2026 are expected to be in the range of $2.80-$3.00, a decrease from 2025's EPS of $3.22 [17] Research and Development - Pfizer plans to initiate 20 pivotal studies in 2026, including 10 for ultra-long-acting obesity candidates from the Metsera acquisition [26] - Positive top-line data from a phase IIb study on PF-08653944 showed significant weight reduction, positioning Pfizer competitively against other weight loss therapies [20][21]

U.S. stocks pointed to a positive open on Tuesday, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures nudging into the green. But shares of Merck & Co. and Pfizer bucked the trend, with Merck falling 1% and Pfizer falling almost 5%. The culprit? Solid but unspectacular results as tech and gold rally. Still, together, their earnings give us a pretty good read on the pharmaceutical sector and the broader economy. For Merck, fourth-quarter worldwide sales rose 5% to $16.4 billion, or 4% excluding currency effects, while full ...

Core Viewpoint - Pfizer is expected to report its Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 3, with consensus estimates of $16.93 billion in sales and $0.57 earnings per share (EPS) [1][7]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pfizer's Q4 sales is $16.93 billion and EPS is $0.57, with a decline in 2026 earnings estimates from $3.15 to $2.99 per share over the past 60 days [1][2]. - The earnings surprise history shows Pfizer has exceeded earnings expectations in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 35.33% [2][3]. Segment Performance Expectations - Q4 growth is anticipated from oncology drugs and Vyndaqel, but offset by weaker COVID products and Prevnar [7]. - Sales of Vyndaqel, Eliquis, Padcev, and Lorbrena are expected to drive top-line growth, while Prevnar and Xeljanz sales have declined [8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Eliquis alliance revenues is $2.14 billion, and for Prevnar family vaccines is $1.65 billion [10][11]. - Revenues from Comirnaty are expected to decline due to narrower COVID-19 vaccine recommendations, with estimates of $2.0 billion for Comirnaty and $289 million for Paxlovid [12][13]. Oncology and Specialty Care Insights - Oncology sales are expected to be driven by Xtandi, Lorbrena, and Braftovi-Mektovi, while Ibrance sales may decline [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Padcev is $527 million and for Ibrance is $1.03 billion [15]. - In Specialty Care, Vyndaqel sales are expected to remain strong at $1.66 billion, while Xeljanz and Enbrel sales may decline [16]. Financial Guidance and Acquisitions - Pfizer expects total revenues for 2026 to be between $59.5 billion and $62.5 billion, with adjusted EPS in the range of $2.80-$3.00 [17]. - A one-time R&D charge related to the acquisition of Metsera will impact Q4 EPS [18]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has declined 1.6% over the past year, compared to a 16.4% return for the industry [20]. - The stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.84, lower than the industry average of 18.18 and its five-year mean of 10.25 [23]. Long-Term Outlook - Pfizer's dependence on COVID-related revenues has decreased, with non-COVID operational revenues improving [26]. - The company is focusing on rebuilding its pipeline through acquisitions, with significant investments in business development [28]. - However, challenges remain, including declining COVID product sales and upcoming patent expirations that could negatively impact revenues by approximately $1.5 billion in 2026 [29][30]. - Long-term investors may consider holding the stock as Pfizer aims for growth from its oncology and obesity pipeline starting in 2029 [33].

Core Insights - Pfizer is scheduled to release its Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 3, with a focus on oncology sales, which account for over 28% of total revenues [1] Oncology Segment - Key cancer drugs contributing to oncology sales include Ibrance, Xtandi, Lorbrena, Braftovi/Mektovi, and Seagen-acquired antibody-drug conjugates like Padcev [1] Primary Care Segment - Alliance revenues and direct sales from Eliquis are expected to rise due to increased global demand, although this is partially offset by price and generic erosion in some non-U.S. markets [3] - Sales of the Prevnar vaccine family are anticipated to decline due to lower demand in the U.S., despite higher international sales [3][4] Specialty Care Segment - Sales of Vyndaqel are projected to remain strong due to continued demand growth, while sales of Xeljanz and Enbrel may decline [7][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vyndaqel sales is set at $1.66 billion [7] COVID-19 Products - Revenues from the COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty are likely to decline due to narrower recommendations in the U.S., affecting the eligible patient population [5] - Sales of Paxlovid are also expected to decrease due to lower COVID-19 infection rates [5] Newer Products - Sales of the RSV vaccine Abrysvo in the U.S. are expected to be impacted by limited vaccination recommendations, although international sales may rise [6] - Strong demand for Nurtec ODT/Vydura in the U.S. is anticipated, aided by recent international launches, despite some offset from the IRA Medical Part D redesign and the 340B program [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has declined by 2.5% over the past year, contrasting with a 24.1% rise in the industry [8] - The company is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 8.58, which is lower than the industry average of 17.73 and its five-year mean of 10.31 [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings has decreased from $3.14 to $3.00 per share over the past 60 days [11]

Core Insights - A significant portion of AbbVie's revenues is derived from its oncology franchise, which has expanded from blood cancer drugs to include therapies for solid tumors, contributing over 11% to total revenues in the first nine months of 2025 with a year-over-year growth of 3% [1][7] Oncology Segment Performance - Fourth-quarter 2025 sales for AbbVie's oncology segment are estimated at $1.75 billion, reflecting nearly 4% year-over-year growth, driven by Venclexta, Epkinly, and Elahere, although this growth may be partially offset by declining sales of Imbruvica due to increased competition [2][7] - AbbVie's oncology portfolio includes five therapies, with the latest additions being Epkinly, Elahere, and Emrelis, which was approved in May 2025 [1][2] Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the oncology space include AstraZeneca, Merck, and Pfizer, with AstraZeneca's oncology sales accounting for 43% of total revenues and growing 16% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025 [4] - Merck's Keytruda accounted for approximately 48% of its total revenues, while Pfizer's oncology revenues grew by 7%, driven by several key drugs [5] Investor Focus and Valuation - Investor attention is primarily on AbbVie's immunology franchise, which includes Humira, Rinvoq, and Skyrizi, as the company prepares to report fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results [3][7] - AbbVie is currently trading at a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.19, which is below the industry average of 17.56, indicating a potential valuation opportunity [8]

Core Insights - Pfizer is a leading player in the oncology sector with a strong portfolio of approved cancer medicines and a promising pipeline focusing on various modalities [1] - The acquisition of Seagen in 2023 enhanced Pfizer's oncology position by adding four antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), contributing significantly to revenues in the first nine months of 2025 [2] - Oncology sales account for approximately 28% of Pfizer's total revenues, with a 7% growth in this segment during the first nine months of 2025 [2][11] Oncology Sales Performance - Key drugs such as Xtandi, Lorbrena, and the Braftovi-Mektovi combination are expected to drive Pfizer's oncology sales in Q4, compensating for the decline in Ibrance sales [3][11] - Ibrance sales are anticipated to have decreased due to competitive pressures, generic entries in certain markets, and the redesign of Medicare Part D in the U.S., which also negatively impacted other oncology drugs like Xtandi and Lorbrena [4][11] - Sales of Adcetris may have been affected by competitive pressures, while Padcev is likely benefiting from strong demand trends in first-line metastatic urothelial cancer [5] Pipeline and Future Prospects - Pfizer is expected to provide updates on late-stage oncology candidates such as atirmociclib, vepdegestrant, and sigvotatug vedotin during the Q4 conference call [6] - Sasanlimab, aimed at treating high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, is currently under review in the U.S. and EU [6] Competitive Landscape - Pfizer competes with major players in the oncology market, including AstraZeneca, Merck, Johnson & Johnson, and Bristol-Myers [7] - AstraZeneca's oncology sales represent about 43% of its total revenues, with a 16% increase in the first nine months of 2025 [8] - Merck's Keytruda, a significant contributor to its sales, recorded $23.3 billion in revenue during the first nine months of 2025, marking an 8% year-over-year increase [9] - Bristol-Myers' Opdivo accounted for around 20% of its total revenues, with sales rising 8% to $7.54 billion in the same period [10] - Johnson & Johnson's oncology sales grew 20.6% to $18.52 billion, driven by both older and newer cancer treatments [12] Financial Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has decreased by 4.4% over the past year, contrasting with a 21.8% increase in the industry [13] - The company's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 8.40, lower than the industry average of 17.56 and its own 5-year mean of 10.32, indicating an attractive valuation [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pfizer's 2026 earnings has declined from $3.14 to $3.02 per share over the past 60 days [18]

Core Insights - Amgen has acquired Dark Blue Therapeutics for approximately $840 million, enhancing its oncology pipeline [1][8] - The acquisition adds a preclinical small-molecule degrader targeting MLLT1/3 proteins associated with specific types of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) [2][8] - Amgen currently does not market any therapies for AML but has Blincyto approved for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and is developing bispecific T-cell engagers for AML [3][8] Amgen's Oncology Pipeline - Amgen has a diverse oncology portfolio, including drugs like Blincyto, Imdelltra, Lumakras, Vectibix, Kyprolis, Nplate, and Xgeva [6] - Key candidates in its late-stage oncology pipeline include bemarituzumab for gastric cancer and xaluritamig for metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer [6] - Ongoing phase III studies are evaluating Imdelltra in small cell lung cancer and biosimilars for Opdivo, Keytruda, and Ocrevus [6] Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the oncology space include Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Merck, Johnson & Johnson, and Bristol-Myers [9] - Pfizer's oncology sales account for about 28% of total revenues, with a 7% increase in the first nine months of 2025 [10] - AstraZeneca's oncology segment comprises around 43% of total revenues, with a 16% increase in sales during the same period [11] - Merck's Keytruda, a key oncology drug, generated $23.3 billion in sales in the first nine months of 2025, up 8% year over year [12] - Bristol-Myers' Opdivo accounts for approximately 20% of its total revenues, with sales rising 8% to $7.54 billion [13] - Johnson & Johnson's oncology sales represent around 27% of total revenues, with a 20.6% operational increase in the first nine months of 2025 [14]

Core Insights - Pfizer's stock has declined approximately 3% this week following the announcement of its financial guidance for 2026, which did not meet investor expectations [1] Financial Guidance - Pfizer anticipates total revenues for 2026 to be between $59.5 billion and $62.5 billion, reflecting modest growth from the revised 2025 revenue expectation of around $62 billion, primarily due to lower revenues from COVID products and the impending patent cliff [2] - The company expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of $2.80 to $3.00 for 2026, a decline from the 2025 expected range of $3.00 to $3.15, influenced by the dilutive impact of recent deals and lower COVID revenues [3] Oncology Segment - Pfizer holds a strong position in oncology, with oncology sales accounting for approximately 28% of total revenues, which have increased by 7% in the first nine months of 2025 [4][5] - The company is advancing its oncology pipeline and expects to have eight or more blockbuster oncology medicines by 2030 [5] Product Development and Acquisitions - Pfizer is focusing on expanding its product labels and has in-licensed rights for new oncology treatments, including a dual PD-1 and VEGF inhibitor [6][7] - The company has reduced its dependence on COVID-related revenues, with non-COVID operational revenues improving due to key products and new acquisitions, which are expected to deliver double-digit growth in 2026 [8][9] Challenges and Headwinds - Pfizer is facing a significant revenue impact from the loss of exclusivity for several key products between 2026 and 2030, which is projected to reduce sales by approximately $1.5 billion in 2026 [15] - The company is also experiencing lower sales of COVID products due to decreased vaccination and infection rates, with expected COVID revenues around $5 billion in 2026, down from $6.5 billion in 2025 [12][14] Stock Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has underperformed compared to the industry and the S&P 500, losing 4.9% year-to-date [17] - The stock is currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 8.04, significantly lower than the industry average of 17.11 and its five-year mean of 10.41, indicating potential attractiveness for investors [20] Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, Pfizer's key drugs and new product launches are expected to help offset losses from patent expirations, with anticipated cost savings of $7.7 billion by the end of 2027 [26] - The company is viewed as a hold in investment portfolios as it rebuilds its pipeline in oncology and obesity, which could drive growth from 2029 onwards [27]