Gold Price Rally
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Kinross Gold Stock Rallies 38% in 3 Months: What Should Investors Do?
ZACKS· 2026-02-17 14:41
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) shares have increased by 38.1% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's growth of 36.1% and the S&P 500's rise of 3% [1][6] - The surge in KGC's stock price is attributed to strong earnings, higher gold prices, and solid operational performance across its mining assets [6] Price Performance - KGC has been trading above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since March 6, 2024, indicating a bullish trend [4] - The stock is also above its 50-day SMA, which is higher than the 200-day moving average [4] Development Projects - Kinross is advancing three organic growth projects in the U.S. aimed at extending mine life and optimizing costs, including Round Mountain Phase X, Bald Mountain Redbird 2, and Kettle River–Curlew [10] - These projects are expected to contribute 3 million ounces of life-of-mine production, with a combined Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 55% and a post-tax Net Present Value (NPV) of $4.1 billion [11] Financial Health - KGC has a strong liquidity position, generating substantial cash flows to finance development projects and pay down debt [13] - The company reactivated its share buyback program in April 2025, returning over $750 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [13] - As of September 30, 2025, KGC had $1.6 billion in available credit and no debt maturities until 2033 [14] Gold Prices Impact - Gold prices surged by 65% in 2025, driven by aggressive trade policies and central bank purchases, which are expected to boost KGC's profitability [16][18] - Despite a recent pullback, gold prices remain elevated, currently around $5,000 per ounce [17] Production Costs - KGC faced a 17% year-over-year increase in production cost of sales per ounce to $1,145, with all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) rising nearly 20% to $1,622 per gold equivalent ounce sold [19] - The company anticipates an AISC of $1,500 per ounce for 2025, indicating continued inflationary pressure [19] Analyst Sentiment - Earnings estimates for KGC have been rising, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $1.69, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 148.5% [20] - Analysts expect earnings to grow approximately 52.9% in 2026 [20] Valuation - KGC is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.39, which is a 4.7% discount to the peer group average of 14.05 [24] - The company has a Value Score of B, indicating a favorable valuation compared to its peers [24] Investment Considerations - KGC's strong pipeline of development projects and solid financial health, along with rising earnings estimates, present positive investment opportunities [25] - However, higher production costs may pose challenges, suggesting a cautious approach for investors [25]
Is Newmont Stock Still a Buy After a 26% Rally in 3 Months? (Revised)
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 08:51
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's shares have increased by 26.2% over the past three months, driven by record-high gold prices and strong earnings performance [1][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - NEM stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 17.5% rise and the S&P 500's increase of 6% [2]. - Among gold mining peers, Barrick Mining Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, and Kinross Gold Corporation have gained 46.7%, 12.9%, and 29.1%, respectively, over the same period [2]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - NEM has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since April 9, 2025, indicating a long-term uptrend [5]. - The 50-day SMA is higher than the 200-day SMA, following a golden crossover on April 16, 2025, suggesting a bullish trend [5]. Group 3: Growth Projects and Divestitures - Newmont is investing in growth projects, including the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana and the Cadia Panel Caves and Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia, aimed at expanding production capacity [10]. - Ahafo North is expected to produce between 275,000 and 325,000 ounces of gold annually over an estimated mine life of 13 years, with production ramping up to full capacity in 2026 [11]. - The company completed its non-core divestiture program in April 2025, generating around $470 million from the sale of non-core assets [12]. - Newmont anticipates generating $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds from its 2025 divestiture program to support its capital allocation strategy [13]. Group 4: Financial Health - Newmont has a strong liquidity position of $9.6 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of around $5.6 billion [14]. - Free cash flow more than doubled year over year to a record $1.6 billion, with net cash from operating activities increasing by 40% to $2.3 billion [14]. - The company has distributed over $5.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases over the past two years [15]. Group 5: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices surged about 65% last year, currently trading above $4,600 per ounce, supported by central bank buying and expectations of rate cuts [18][19]. - Increased geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty are expected to sustain favorable conditions for gold prices [19]. Group 6: Production Outlook - Newmont reported a 15% year-over-year and 4% sequential decline in gold production for Q3 2025, reaching 1.42 million ounces [21]. - The company expects fourth-quarter production of 1.415 million ounces, indicating a roughly 25% year-over-year decline [22]. Group 7: Earnings Estimates - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised higher, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently pegged at $6.32, suggesting year-over-year growth of 81.6% [23]. Group 8: Valuation - Newmont is currently trading at a forward price/earnings of 15.42X, a premium to the industry's average of 14.66X [25]. Group 9: Investment Recommendation - Newmont presents an attractive investment case backed by a robust portfolio of growth projects and solid financial health, despite challenges from lower production [26].
Is AEM Stock a Screaming Buy After the 132% Price Surge in a Year?
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 14:26
Core Viewpoint - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) has experienced a significant share price increase of 132.1% over the past year, driven by record high gold prices and consistent earnings performance, supported by higher realized prices and strong production levels [1][7]. Performance Comparison - AEM's performance, while strong, has underperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 152.3% but has outperformed the S&P 500's rise of 22% [2]. - Compared to its peers, Barrick Mining Corporation, Newmont Corporation, and Kinross Gold Corporation, which saw increases of 209.5%, 178.3%, and 210.6% respectively, AEM's growth is notable but lower [2]. Technical Analysis - AEM has been trading above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since March 4, 2024, indicating a long-term uptrend, and is also above the 50-day SMA, which is higher than the 200-day SMA, suggesting a bullish trend [5]. Growth Drivers - The company is advancing key projects such as Odyssey, Hope Bay, and Detour Lake, which are expected to enhance future production and cash flows [9]. - The Hope Bay Project has proven and probable mineral reserves of 3.4 million ounces, expected to significantly contribute to cash flow in the coming years [10]. - The processing plant expansion at Meliadine is set to increase mill capacity to approximately 6,250 tons per day by 2025 [10]. - Ongoing exploration drilling at Canadian Malartic aims to extend the East Gouldie deposit, while drilling at Patch 7 and the Marban deposit suggests potential for resource expansion [11]. Financial Health - AEM has a strong liquidity position, with operating cash flow of approximately $1.8 billion in the third quarter, a 67% increase year-over-year [13]. - The company recorded free cash flow of about $1.2 billion, nearly doubling from $620 million in the prior year, supported by strong operational results and gold prices [14]. - Total long-term debt was reduced by approximately $400 million to $196 million, with a net cash position of nearly $2.2 billion at the end of the third quarter [16]. Market Conditions - Gold prices have surged about 65% last year, currently trading above $4,500 per ton, driven by trade tensions and central bank purchases [18][19]. - The ongoing geopolitical strains and macroeconomic uncertainties are expected to sustain favorable conditions for gold prices [19]. Dividend and Valuation - AEM offers a dividend yield of 0.8% with a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.6% and a payout ratio of 23%, indicating sustainability [20]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 19.9X, a 35.7% premium to the industry average of 14.67X [22]. Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's 2025 earnings has increased, currently pegged at $7.87, indicating year-over-year growth of 86.1%, with expected growth of approximately 22.5% in 2026 [21]. Investment Recommendation - AEM presents an attractive investment opportunity in the gold mining sector, supported by a robust growth pipeline, strong financial health, and favorable technical trends, making it a compelling buy [25].
Barrick Mining vs. Agnico Eagle: Which Gold Miner Has More Glitter?
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 14:51
Core Insights - Barrick Mining Corporation and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited are leading gold producers benefiting from rising gold prices driven by geopolitical tensions and interest rate cuts [1][2][3] Gold Market Overview - Gold prices have surged approximately 65% this year, currently exceeding $4,300 per ton, influenced by global trade tensions and central bank gold accumulation [2][3] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and expectations of further reductions amid U.S. economic concerns have contributed to the bullish trend in gold prices [2][3] Barrick Mining Corporation - Barrick is advancing key growth projects, including Goldrush, Pueblo Viejo expansion, and Reko Diq, which are expected to significantly boost production [4][5][6] - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of annual production by 2028, while the Reko Diq project is projected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually [5] - Barrick's liquidity is strong, with cash and equivalents around $5 billion and operating cash flows of approximately $2.4 billion in Q3 2025, marking a 105% year-over-year increase [7] - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends and share repurchases, with a dividend yield of 1.6% and a payout ratio of 32% [8][9] Agnico Eagle Mines Limited - Agnico Eagle is focused on growth projects like Odyssey, Detour Lake, and Hope Bay, which are expected to enhance production and cash flows [10][11] - The Hope Bay Project has proven reserves of 3.4 million ounces and is anticipated to generate significant cash flow [11] - AEM's operating cash flow was approximately $1.8 billion in Q3 2025, a 67% increase from the previous year, with free cash flow nearly doubling to $1.2 billion [14][15] - AEM has a low long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of around 1.2% and a dividend yield of 1% with a payout ratio of 23% [16] Comparative Performance - Barrick's stock has increased by 105.2% in the past six months, while Agnico Eagle's stock has risen by 36.6%, compared to the industry average increase of 56.9% [17] - Barrick trades at a forward earnings multiple of 12.99, slightly below the industry average, while AEM trades at a premium with a multiple of 17.88 [19][21] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects Barrick's 2025 sales and EPS to rise by 21.8% and 77.8%, respectively, while AEM's estimates imply growth of 34.4% and 83.9% [23][24] - AEM's return on equity stands at 15.6%, higher than Barrick's 9.5%, indicating more efficient use of shareholder funds [25] Investment Outlook - Both Barrick and Agnico Eagle are well-positioned to benefit from the strong gold price environment, with solid financial health and growth prospects [27] - AEM's higher growth projections and lower leverage suggest it may offer better investment opportunities in the current market [27]
Kinross Gold Hits Fresh 52-Week High: What Should Investors Do Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has experienced a significant increase in its stock price, reaching a 52-week high of $29.23, driven by a remarkable 201.2% year-to-date rise, largely due to soaring gold prices [1][8]. Stock Performance - KGC's stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, which grew by 144.9%, and the S&P 500, which rose by 18.3% year to date [2]. - The stock's performance is supported by strong earnings, higher gold prices, and solid operational results [3][8]. Market Drivers - The increase in KGC's stock is attributed to better-than-expected earnings, higher realized gold prices, and strong operational performance, influenced by the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and geopolitical tensions [3][19]. - Gold prices have surged approximately 64% this year, reaching over $4,000 per ton for the first time, driven by trade tensions and central bank purchases [20][21]. Technical Indicators - KGC has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since March 6, 2024, indicating a bullish trend [6]. Development Projects - KGC has a strong production profile with key development projects like Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada, which are expected to enhance production and cash flow [10][11]. - Tasiast and Paracatu are the company's largest assets, contributing significantly to cash flow and production [12]. Financial Health - KGC reported robust liquidity of approximately $3.4 billion, with cash and cash equivalents around $1.7 billion, and achieved record free cash flow of $686.7 million, a 66% year-over-year increase [13][17]. - The company has actively repaid debt, including $800 million in 2024, and has reactivated its share buyback program, repurchasing shares worth approximately $405 million [14][17]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for KGC, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $1.68, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 147.1% [22]. Valuation - KGC is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 12.4X, which is an 8.7% discount compared to the industry average of 13.58X [25]. Investment Outlook - Despite reaching a new 52-week high, KGC is viewed as a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong fundamentals, expanding production pipeline, and robust financial health [27].
AU vs. SSRM: Which Gold Mining Stock Is the Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 18:11
Core Insights - AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) and SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) are benefiting from rising gold prices, which are currently above $4,153 per ounce, driven by safe-haven demand and geopolitical risks [1][2][11] AngloGold Ashanti Overview - AngloGold Ashanti has a diversified portfolio with operations in multiple countries, including recent acquisitions of Augusta Gold Corp and Centamin, enhancing its asset base [4][5] - The company reported a 17% year-over-year increase in gold production to 768,000 ounces in Q3 2025, with gold revenues surging 61.9% to $2.37 billion [6] - Projected gold production for 2025 is between 2.9-3.225 million ounces, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9-21% [7] - Despite facing higher operating costs, AU generated a record $920 million in free cash flow in Q3 2025, a 141% increase year-over-year [9] - The company is focused on its Full Asset Potential program to mitigate inflationary impacts and streamline operations [10] SSR Mining Overview - SSR Mining operates in the United States, Turkey, Canada, and Argentina, with the recent acquisition of the Cripple Creek & Victor mine, positioning it as the third-largest gold producer in the U.S. [13] - Total gold production for SSR Mining is expected to be in the lower half of 410,000-480,000 gold equivalent ounces for 2025 [15] - Operations at the Çöpler mine in Turkey are currently suspended, with reclamation costs expected to range from $250-$300 million for 2025 [16] - As of September 30, 2025, SSR Mining had a cash balance of $409 million and available liquidity of $909.3 million [17] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AngloGold Ashanti's 2025 earnings is $5.71 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 158.4% [18] - SSR Mining's earnings estimate for 2025 is $1.84 per share, indicating a year-over-year jump of 557% [18] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past six months, AU stock has gained 105.5%, while SSRM has increased by 92.8% [20] - AU is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.88X, while SSRM is at 6.84X [21] Investment Outlook - Both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing rally in gold prices, with AU showing stronger price performance and robust project pipeline [23][24]
TONGGUAN GOLD GROUP(00340.HK):CONTINUING TO EXPLORE AND INCREASE GOLD RESERVES STRONG MOMENTUM OF ORGANIC GROWTH AND EXTERNAL EXPANSION
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-22 08:22
Core Viewpoint - Tongguan Gold Group is initiated with an OUTPERFORM rating and a target price of HK$3.52, driven by its strong gold exploration expertise and organic growth momentum [1] Investment Positives - The company has a total of 55.0 tons of gold reserves with an average ore grade of 8.26g/t, and expects gold sales volume to reach 2.8 tons in 2025 and 3.4 tons in 2026 [1] - Tongguan Gold's acquisition of Xi'an Hongshang is expected to reduce production costs through value chain consolidation [1] - Zijin Mining's acquisition of a 3.82% stake in Tongguan Gold for US$25 million indicates confidence in the company's asset quality and strategic direction [2] - The anticipated continuation of gold purchases by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) is expected to support gold price increases [3][4] Financials and Valuation - Forecasted EPS is HK$0.16 in 2025 and HK$0.23 in 2026, representing a CAGR of 121% from 2024 to 2026 [5] - The stock is currently trading at 17.3x 2025 estimated P/E and 11.6x 2026 estimated P/E, with a target price implying a 30% upside [5]
Should You Buy Barrick Mining Stock After a 41% Rally in 3 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining Corporation's shares have increased by 41% in the last three months, driven by record gold prices amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties [1][16] Group 1: Stock Performance - Barrick has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 19.1% and the S&P 500's rise of 8.9% in the same period [2] - The stock broke above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) on May 30, 2025, and is currently trading above its 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend [5] Group 2: Growth Projects - Barrick is advancing key growth projects, including Goldrush, Pueblo Viejo plant expansion, Fourmile, Lumwana Super Pit, and Reko Diq, which are expected to significantly boost production [9] - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of production per annum by 2028, while the Reko Diq project is designed to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually in its second phase [10] Group 3: Financial Position - Barrick has a strong liquidity position with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $4.8 billion and generated operating cash flows of around $1.3 billion in the second quarter, a 15% year-over-year increase [12] - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends and repurchases, with a new share repurchase program authorized for up to $1 billion [13] Group 4: Gold Prices and Profitability - Gold prices have surged approximately 52% this year, reaching over $4,000 per ton, driven by geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases [16] - Higher gold prices are expected to enhance Barrick's profit margins and free cash flow generation [14] Group 5: Cost Challenges - Barrick faces challenges from rising production costs, with cash costs per ounce of gold and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increasing by around 17% and 12% year-over-year, respectively [18] - For 2025, Barrick projects total cash costs per ounce of $1,050-$1,130 and AISC in the range of $1,460-$1,560, indicating a year-over-year increase [19] Group 6: Production Outlook - The company expects attributable gold production of 3.15-3.5 million ounces for full-year 2025, a decline from 3.91 million ounces in 2024, primarily due to the suspension of operations at the Loulo-Gounkoto mine [20] Group 7: Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for Barrick have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 indicating year-over-year increases of 69.8% and 36.2%, respectively [21] Group 8: Valuation - Barrick's stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 11.7X, which is a discount to the industry's average of 12.35X [23]
Gold News: Bullish Setup Intact, But Can Gold Prices Extend the Rally Post-NFP?
FX Empire· 2025-09-28 07:40
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for investment actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1].
NEM vs. KGC: Which Gold Mining Stock Is Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 13:21
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) are positioned to benefit from soaring gold prices driven by the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and global trade tensions [1][2][3] Gold Market Overview - Gold prices have surged approximately 43% this year, reaching over $3,700 per ton for the first time, influenced by central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainties [3] - Central banks globally are accumulating gold reserves due to risks associated with aggressive trade policies [2] Newmont Corporation (NEM) - Newmont is investing in growth projects such as the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana and the Cadia Panel Caves in Australia, aimed at increasing production capacity and extending mine life [5] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has enhanced Newmont's portfolio, expected to generate $500 million in annual run-rate synergies [6] - Newmont's divestiture program is projected to yield $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds, reinforcing its capital allocation strategy [8] - The company reported a liquidity position of $10.2 billion, with free cash flow increasing to $1.7 billion, and has returned approximately $2 billion to shareholders [9] - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 1.2% with a sustainable payout ratio of 20% [10] Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) - Kinross has a strong production profile with key projects like Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada, expected to enhance cash flow [12] - Tasiast and Paracatu are significant contributors to cash flow, with Tasiast being the lowest-cost asset [13] - Kinross ended Q2 2025 with liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion and reported a free cash flow increase of 87% year-over-year [14] - The company repaid $800 million of debt in 2024, improving its net debt position to around $100 million [15] - Kinross has a dividend yield of 0.5% with a payout ratio of 10% [15] Financial Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NEM stock has increased by 127.5%, while KGC stock has risen by 164.1%, outperforming the industry average of 117.7% [18] - KGC trades at a forward earnings multiple of 16.52, while NEM trades at 15.38, indicating a discount for Newmont [19][20] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NEM's 2025 sales and EPS indicates growth of 10.7% and 57.5%, respectively, while KGC's estimates imply growth of 27.8% and 108.8% [24][25] Investment Consideration - Both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on high gold prices, with strong financial health and development pipelines [27] - Newmont is viewed as a more attractive investment option due to its higher dividend yield and favorable valuation compared to Kinross [27]