'Tempus fugit, ' as we cry out at closing time in my local Wetherspoons. We're already more than a quarter of the way through December and speeding at full throttle towards year-end. ...

'Santa rally' now unlikely as bitcoin slips after Fed delivers 'hawkish cut': analysts https://t.co/mezAqfiSm4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut was characterized as a "hawkish cut," with mixed reactions from investors, but the announcement of Treasury bill purchases provided a positive surprise for the markets [1][2][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, but two regional bank presidents advocated for maintaining the current rates, indicating a cautious approach [2]. - The Fed's "dot plot" projections suggest only one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027, reflecting a conservative outlook on future monetary policy [2]. - The Fed announced it would begin purchasing $40 billion in Treasury bills, which is expected to increase the money supply and support financial markets [3]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed confidence in the resilience of the U.S. economy, raising the forecast for economic growth in 2026 to 2.3% from a previous estimate of 1.8% [3]. - Powell emphasized the strength of the economy, suggesting that the last interest rate decision of 2025 could lead to a positive market trend, potentially resulting in a "Santa Claus rally" for the year-end [4]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the Fed's meeting, U.S. markets experienced a rise, attributed to the unexpected announcement of Treasury bill purchases and Powell's dismissal of future rate hike speculation [3]. - Analysts predict that the S&P 500 could exceed the 7,000 milestone in the coming weeks, indicating a strong finish to the year for investors [4].

This may sound so strange to ask it like this, but did we just have a hawkish cut inside of a dovish meeting. Did we just get that. >> I don't feel like that was a hawkish cut.I thought that uh it was interesting that he used the word well positioned. You opened your remark with that. Wellpositioned is the phrase of this meeting.And he went on to basically repeat well position when he was asked, "Are you really on hold now?" And one of the most interesting things was he emphasized this idea that I've that's ...

Check the markets here as we wait for this afternoon's Fed decision. Of course, the news conference from the chair, NASDAQ's red, everything else is green, but certainly there feels like it's a wait and see. Uh Liz, nice to have you back.Um the 10-year yield 420. >> Yep. >> Okay.That's the highest since September the 4th. Piper Sandler today says, "Is the tenure at 425 the line in the sand for equities?" So, is that the biggest wild card today. what rates do on the back of whatever the Fed says.>> Uh, yes, ...

Joining us here at Post 9 this morning is PNC Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist Young Yuma. Welcome back. It's good to see you.>> Thanks, Col. Great to be here. >> Um, we've been talking about how built in the consensus view is about this afternoon.Any reason to think there might be surprises. >> Well, the consensus view on a hawkish cut is pretty well established, but it's interesting sometimes when you get actually the result of the consensus. So, if the Fed delivers that hawkish cut, sometimes ...

Let's talk more about the Fed and what's at stake today. Joining us on the phone is Alan Blinder, former Federal Reserve vice chair and Princeton professor. Allan, it's great to have you.Thanks for joining us this morning. >> Thank you. >> Uh so this consensus idea of a hawkish cut, minimal commitment to further cuts, you got any problem with what the street expects at least.>> I don't. I often do actually as you probably remember from past appearances, but in this case I don't. I think it makes perfect sen ...

Experts predict that today's cut is likely a hawkish with the Fed likely signaling fewer cuts ahead — Source: CoinGape JPMorgan predicts that today's cut will be a hawkish one. They also project that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will signal fewer cuts ahead. Polymarket data shows a 97% chance that the Fed lowers rates by 25 basis points today. Major U.S. banks and experts have predicted that the Fed is likely to make a ‘hawkish’ cut at today’s FOMC meeting, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell likely signaling ...

This REALLY matters. If it’s a hawkish cut, the market will hate it. If it’s a dovish cut, it will be VERY bullish for small caps.FOMC TodayThe market is pricing in an 88 percent chance of a rate cut tomorrow, but the real question is whether we get a hawkish cut or a dovish cut. A dovish cut would signal room for more easing, while a hawkish cut would imply the Fed is tapping the brakes on further reductions.Right now, futures show the next cut pushed out to April and only two cuts expected in 2026, a big ...

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Dec. 8, 2025.One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 1 basis point to 4.204%. The 30-year Treasury yield was up 1 basis point at 4.819%, while the 2-year Treasury yield nudged higher by more than a basis point to 3.625%.U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Wednesday as investors keenly anticipated the Federal Reserve's interest rate decis ...