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巴基斯坦和沙特军事结盟,印度是否会看向以色列?
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-22 06:42
Core Points - Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a mutual defense agreement establishing the principle of "an attack on one is an attack on both" amid changing security dynamics in the Middle East [1][2] - The agreement is seen as a response to recent events, particularly the May 7 air conflict between India and Pakistan, and Israel's attack on Qatar, which heightened security concerns among Arab nations [3][4] Strategic Intent - The agreement reflects a long-term cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, but its formalization is a direct response to recent regional security developments [3][4] - The Israeli military's expansionist ambitions, as indicated by its "Greater Israel" map, have raised alarms in the Islamic world, prompting Saudi Arabia to seek stronger defense ties with Pakistan [5][7] Regional Implications - The agreement may lead to other Gulf countries pursuing similar defense collaborations with Pakistan, given the historical military support Pakistan has provided to Gulf nations [8][9] - Saudi Arabia and Pakistan's partnership is bolstered by shared religious ties and mutual interests, creating a conducive environment for defense agreements [9][10] Nuclear Deterrence - Pakistan's nuclear capabilities are viewed as a significant deterrent for the Islamic world, although their practical impact on regional security dynamics remains limited [10][11] - The agreement does not explicitly obligate Pakistan to provide nuclear protection to Saudi Arabia, but it is framed as a comprehensive defense pact [10][11] Shift in Security Dynamics - The agreement signals a potential shift away from reliance on the United States for security in the Gulf region, as recent conflicts have led Gulf states to seek alternative partnerships [13][14] - The formalization of security arrangements between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan represents a transition from informal military support to official defense commitments [14] Impact on South Asia - The agreement enhances Pakistan's diplomatic leverage against India, particularly in light of recent tensions and military confrontations [15][16] - The evolving relationship between Gulf states and India may be affected by this agreement, as Saudi Arabia seeks to balance its interests in both regions [19] Military Competition - The signing of the agreement may contribute to an ongoing arms race in the region, with both Saudi Arabia and India being major arms importers [20] - The recent military events have prompted Gulf states to consider diversifying their military procurement, potentially looking towards Chinese defense systems [20]