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Trump's 10% Interest Rate Cap On Credit Cards Will 'Likely Bring On A Recession,' Says Capital One CEO: $6 Trillion Consumer Spending At Stake
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-24 12:31
Core Viewpoint - Capital One Financial Corp. CEO Richard Fairbank warns that President Trump's proposed 10% cap on credit card interest rates could severely limit consumer access to credit and destabilize the economy [1][2]. Group 1: Impact of Interest Rate Caps - Fairbank argues that implementing price controls on credit will not make it more affordable but will reduce its availability across the credit spectrum [2]. - He emphasizes that banks would be forced to cut credit lines, restrict accounts, and limit new credit originations to a small subset of consumers [2]. - A significant contraction in available credit could lead to economic shocks and potentially trigger a recession due to reduced consumer spending [3]. Group 2: Role of Consumer Credit in the Economy - Consumer credit is crucial to the U.S. economy, with 70% of GDP driven by consumer spending, and $6 trillion of that spending occurring on credit cards [3]. - Fairbank highlights that credit cards serve as an essential entry point for many consumers to build credit history, with some relying on them as their only access to credit [3]. Group 3: Capital One's Vulnerability - Analysts indicate that Capital One is particularly vulnerable to interest rate caps due to its heavy reliance on revolving credit card balances and net interest income [4]. - The company reported $279.6 billion in credit card loans, which constitutes the largest share of its total loan portfolio of $453.6 billion [4]. Group 4: Industry Consensus - Fairbank's concerns align with warnings from other economists and industry experts regarding the potential negative effects of interest rate caps on credit cards [5].
Capital One Stock Is a Big Loser Today. But It Still Has Some Big Fans.
Investopedia· 2026-01-23 21:45
Core Viewpoint - Capital One's stock has been negatively impacted by President Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates, despite analysts maintaining a bullish outlook on the company [1][3][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment - Credit card stocks, including Capital One, have seen declines following Trump's interest rate cap announcement, with Capital One being one of the top decliners in the S&P 500 [1][10]. - Analysts are generally optimistic about Capital One, with 11 out of 15 analysts giving it a buy rating, suggesting a potential upside of nearly 20% based on a mean target price of around $281 [4]. - CNBC's Jim Cramer highlighted Capital One as a strong investment, predicting its shares could reach $400 within a year, indicating a potential return of over 80% from current prices [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q4, Capital One reported revenue of $15.6 billion, slightly exceeding analyst expectations, but its diluted EPS of $3.86 fell short of the estimated $4.17 [6]. Group 3: Acquisition and Market Position - Capital One announced plans to acquire Brex, a fintech company specializing in corporate credit, for over $5 billion, which is expected to enhance its presence in the business payments sector [7]. Group 4: Regulatory Concerns - CEO Richard Fairbank expressed concerns regarding the potential consequences of the proposed interest rate cap, warning it could lead to reduced credit availability and negatively impact consumer spending and the economy [8][9].
Bank Execs Say Trump's Credit-Card Interest Rate Idea Is Bad for Consumers—and Business
Investopedia· 2026-01-14 23:00
Core Viewpoint - Major banks oppose President Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%, arguing it could limit consumer access to credit and negatively impact economic growth [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Impact on Banks - Profits in the credit card segment are four times the banking industry average, with lenders earning interest on $1.23 trillion in outstanding U.S. credit card debt at an average annual interest rate of 21% [2]. - Executives from major banks, including JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup, expressed concerns that a cap on interest rates would severely restrict access to credit for consumers, particularly those who need it most, potentially leading to negative consequences for the economy [5]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Shares of major financial service firms declined following the announcement of the proposed interest rate cap, indicating investor concern over the potential impact on profitability [4]. - Some analysts view the drop in share prices as a potential buying opportunity for investors [4]. Group 3: Shift in Consumer Behavior - Experts suggest that if an interest rate cap is enacted, consumers may shift their focus to other financial products, such as personal loans, which could benefit companies like LendingTree [3][5]. - The proposed cap could disrupt the credit card rewards and points system, leading to broader changes in consumer behavior and spending patterns [3].
Under threat from Trump, Wall Street banks wager they can fend off credit card price controls
CNBC· 2026-01-14 20:01
Core Viewpoint - Major U.S. banks are resisting President Trump's directive to lower credit card interest rates, indicating a potential conflict as he prepares for a global appearance at Davos [1][2]. Group 1: Bank Responses - Executives from JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup have stated that instead of complying with a 10% interest rate cap, they may close many customer accounts, with Citigroup's CFO Mark Mason emphasizing that such a cap would limit credit access for those in need and negatively impact the economy [2]. - JPMorgan's CFO Jeremy Barnum mentioned that the banking industry is prepared to defend itself legally if necessary, indicating that all options are being considered in response to the proposed interest rate cap [3]. Group 2: Political Context - President Trump has intensified his criticism of banks, claiming they are exploiting credit card borrowers, as part of his strategy to address voter concerns about affordability ahead of the midterm elections [4]. - Despite the threats from Trump, bankers and lobbyists have reported that they have not received any formal guidance from the Trump administration regarding the interest rate cap, leading to speculation that the administration may not be serious about pursuing this policy [5].
[DowJonesToday]Dow Jones Dips Amidst Weak Banking Earnings and Economic Jitters
Stock Market News· 2026-01-14 14:09
Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 398.21 points, or 0.8030%, on January 14, 2026, primarily due to disappointing earnings from the banking sector and ongoing economic concerns [1] - Major banks, particularly JPMorgan Chase, reported weak financial results, with Q4 investment banking fees falling below expectations [1] - JPMorgan also issued a warning about a potential 10% interest rate cap that could negatively impact the economy and consumers, contributing to market apprehension [1] - Investors reacted to cooler December CPI data while considering signs of steady demand, leading to a cautious market sentiment ahead of further economic reports [1] Stock Performance - Despite the overall market decline, several Dow components posted gains, with Walmart rising by 1.93%, Boeing increasing by 1.89%, and Johnson & Johnson up by 1.87% [2] - These companies showed resilience amid the struggles faced by the broader financial sector [2] Declines in Banking Sector - The banking sector's challenges resulted in significant declines for several Dow constituents, with Salesforce dropping by 6.98%, Visa down by 3.99%, and JPMorgan Chase falling by 3.79% following its earnings report [3] - Travelers Companies also experienced a notable decline of 3.31%, reflecting the widespread impact of the day's market narrative [3]
Why Affirm and SoFi Are Winners From Trump's Call to Cap Credit Card Interest Rates
Barrons· 2026-01-12 13:41
Core Viewpoint - Mizuho Securities suggests that fintech companies such as SoFi, Affirm, and Block may gain advantages from Trump's proposed cap on interest rates [1] Company and Industry Summary - Fintech companies like SoFi, Affirm, and Block are positioned to benefit from regulatory changes regarding interest rate caps [1]
Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Fed Chair Criminal Probe
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-12 11:49
Federal Reserve Investigation - A criminal investigation has been launched into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding the renovation of the Fed's Washington headquarters and potential false statements made to Congress about the project's scope [2][3] - The investigation, approved by Jeanine Pirro, includes analysis of Powell's public statements and spending records [3] - The renovation project, which began in 2022, is approximately $700 million over budget and involves modernizing the Marriner S. Eccles Building and another building, both of which have not been comprehensively renovated since their construction nearly 100 years ago [5] Allegiant Travel Acquisition - Allegiant Travel Co. has agreed to acquire Sun Country Airlines in a cash-and-stock deal valued at approximately $1.5 billion, including net debt [8] - Under the terms of the agreement, Sun Country shareholders will receive 0.1557 shares of Allegiant common stock and $4.10 in cash for each share, implying a total value of $18.89 per share, representing a 19.8% premium over Sun Country's closing price of $15.77 [8] Meta's Compliance with Age Restrictions - Meta has removed over 550,000 accounts of Australian children from its platforms to comply with a social media ban for users under 16 [9][10] - The removal included 330,000 users from Instagram, 173,000 from Facebook, and 39,000 from Threads, following the implementation of the ban on December 10, 2025 [10] - Meta has indicated that early data suggests the ban is not effectively improving teen safety or wellbeing, citing inconsistent age-verification measures across platforms [11]
MoneyLion to pay $1.75M to settle CFPB lawsuit
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 12:02
Core Insights - MoneyLion has agreed to pay $1.75 million to settle a lawsuit from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) regarding alleged violations of the Military Lending Act by charging interest rates exceeding the 36% cap for loans to service members [1] Group 1: Settlement Details - The settlement reduces the number of active litigation cases the CFPB is handling to 12, with 22 enforcement actions dismissed this year [2] - MoneyLion is prohibited from extending consumer credit at rates higher than 36% for borrowers covered by the Military Lending Act, which includes various fees and charges associated with loans [3] - The settlement mandates that MoneyLion must submit a compliance report to the CFPB detailing the number of borrowers who received redress and the amounts paid, covering loans from December 2017 to October 2024 [6] Group 2: Membership Program Issues - The CFPB's lawsuit highlighted that MoneyLion required customers to join a membership program with monthly fees ranging from $19.99 to $29 to access lower interest rate loans, and borrowers were not allowed to cancel memberships until loans were paid [4] - The settlement prohibits MoneyLion from preventing borrowers from canceling their memberships and from engaging in collections for unpaid membership fees [5] - MoneyLion cannot penalize borrowers' credit scores due to unpaid membership fees, ensuring that borrowers can pay off loans using funds from their credit reserve accounts [5]