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If You Think Apple Trading For 36x Earnings Is Nuts, You Can Bet Against Them With AAPD ETF
247Wallst· 2025-12-22 14:30
Core Viewpoint - Apple is currently trading at a high valuation with a trailing P/E of 36x and a forward P/E of 33x, despite lacking a blockbuster product recently and only achieving a 10% return over the past year [1][2]. Valuation Metrics - The company's valuation metrics indicate premium multiples, with a trailing P/E of 36x and a forward P/E of 33x, reflecting a richly valued status [2]. - Recent fiscal year earnings growth followed two years of stagnation, suggesting a potential shift in performance [2]. - Retail sentiment data from Reddit shows bearish sentiment scores between 32-38 on r/wallstreetbets, while r/stocks remains neutral [2]. AAPD ETF Overview - The Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares (AAPD) provides -1x daily inverse exposure to Apple's stock price through derivatives, with an expense ratio of 0.01% and $18.9 million in assets under management [3]. - AAPD resets its exposure daily through rebalancing, which can lead to returns deviating from a simple inverse of Apple's performance over longer periods due to compounding effects [4]. Performance Characteristics - The ETF's asset base of $18.9 million impacts its liquidity, with daily volume and bid-ask spreads widening during periods of increased volatility, such as earnings announcements [4]. - AAPD is not suitable for long-term holding as it does not provide inverse returns of Apple's shares over extended periods due to daily rebalancing [5]. Comparison with TSLQ - The Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF (TSLQ) offers -2x leveraged inverse exposure to Tesla, with $315 million in assets under management, providing deeper liquidity compared to AAPD [6]. - TSLQ has a higher expense ratio of 1.17% and amplifies both gains and losses, accelerating compounding effects [6][7]. - AAPD offers unleveraged -1x inverse exposure, while TSLQ provides -2x leveraged exposure, highlighting differences in leverage structure and liquidity profiles [7].
Final Trade: XLP, BABA, PSQ, WMT
Youtube· 2025-10-10 22:36
Core Viewpoint - The discussion highlights the contrasting performance of different sectors, with a focus on the resilience of staples like Walmart amidst market fluctuations [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Mike Co. noted that staples, including Walmart, are performing well, indicating a preference for defensive stocks in uncertain market conditions [1] - Alibaba is compared to high-performance brands like Porsche, suggesting its strong position in the Chinese tech market [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The mention of PSQ, an inverse triple Q ETF, indicates a strategy to hedge against potential downturns in the tech sector over a short time frame of a few weeks [1]
Defiance Launches LLYZ: The First 2X Short ETF for Eli Lilly
Newsfilter· 2025-09-03 13:30
Core Viewpoint - Defiance ETFs has launched the Defiance Daily Target 2X Short LLY ETF (Ticker: LLYZ), which provides investors with 2X inverse daily exposure to the performance of Eli Lilly and Company, allowing retail investors to seek enhanced downside exposure without needing a margin account [1][3]. Group 1: Fund Overview - LLYZ aims to deliver daily investment results of -200% of the daily performance of Eli Lilly and Company, utilizing derivatives such as swaps and options to achieve its leveraged objectives [2]. - The fund is designed for knowledgeable investors who understand the risks associated with seeking daily leveraged inverse investment results and are willing to actively monitor their portfolios [4]. Group 2: Company Profile - Eli Lilly and Company is recognized as a global leader in the pharmaceutical industry, known for its innovative therapies in areas such as diabetes, oncology, immunology, and neuroscience [3]. - The fund offers targeted inverse exposure for traders looking for amplified downside exposure without the need for a margin account, distinguishing it from direct investments in Eli Lilly [3]. Group 3: Company Background - Defiance, founded in 2018, specializes in thematic, income, and leveraged ETFs, positioning itself as a leader in ETF innovation [5]. - The company focuses on empowering investors to take amplified positions in high-growth companies through its first-mover leveraged single-stock ETFs [5].