Workflow
January Barometer
icon
Search documents
Will the Santa Claus Rally Deliver This Winter—and Lift Stocks in 2026?
Investopedia· 2025-12-23 22:00
The purported rally isn't just a stock stuffer. It's sometimes seen as a directional market indicator for the year ahead—meaning that if Saint Nick is spotted lifting the major indexes over the next week or so, it could be a bullish sign. The choppiness seen earlier this month is consistent with the seasonal pattern that eventually leads to the Santa Claus rally, Jeff Hirsch, son of Yale Hirsch—the writer of the Stock Trader's Almanac and the coiner of the term—said in an interview with Investopedia. His ye ...
Tesla's Margins Face Headwinds
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 12:37
分组1 - The discussion highlights the concept of tax loss harvesting, which involves selling positions at a loss to lower tax liability, particularly relevant as the year-end approaches [1][2][3] - Calendar effects such as the Santa Claus rally and January barometer are mentioned, with historical data showing that the stock market has risen 79% of the time during the last five days of December and the first two days of January, and the January barometer has accurately predicted full-year returns 85% of the time since 1950 [4][5] - The importance of long-term investing is emphasized, suggesting that focusing on high-quality businesses and holding them for at least five years is more beneficial than trying to time the market based on short-term calendar effects [5][6] 分组2 - Tesla reported a 12% year-over-year revenue growth after two quarters of decline, but the earnings missed expectations, indicating potential issues with profit margins [7][8] - The operating margin for Tesla has dropped in 10 of the last 11 quarters, with R&D spending increasing by 42% year-over-year, primarily for AI development [9][10] - Regulatory credit revenue for Tesla has decreased significantly, down 44% year-over-year in Q3, with expectations of less than $1 billion in the next 12 months, which could impact profitability [9][10] 分组3 - Etsy and EnPhase Energy are highlighted as potential outperformers after being dropped from the S&P 500, with Etsy showing strong free cash flow and recent integration with AI technology, while EnPhase is noted for its international growth and innovation despite current market challenges [13][15]