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福瑞股份(300049):从1到N,北美客户需求持续释放
Great Wall Securities· 2025-08-27 09:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a significant increase in demand from North American customers, particularly in its medical device segment, which is expected to drive revenue growth [3][9]. - The core product, Fibroscan, is anticipated to see continued growth as the MASH new drug accelerates its global promotion, leading to a breakthrough in other regions [9]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.727 billion, 2.457 billion, and 3.629 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 188 million, 290 million, and 462 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 65.8%, 54.4%, and 59.4% respectively [9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company expects revenue of 1.154 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.4%. By 2027, revenue is projected to reach 3.629 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 47.7% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 102 million yuan in 2023 to 462 million yuan in 2027, with a significant increase in the growth rate from 3.8% in 2023 to 59.4% in 2027 [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 9.6% in 2023 to 21.1% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [1]. Business Segment Performance - The medical device segment reported a revenue of 482 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 13.8%. This growth is attributed to increased sales and management investments, as well as the approval of the MASH new drug [3]. - The pharmaceutical and medical services segment achieved a revenue of 231 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a growth rate of approximately 5.62%. The e-commerce channel for proprietary drugs saw a remarkable increase of 59.23% [4].