When one of the biggest stars in music names one of her songs after your company, you know it's going to be a game changer. [singing] [music] >> I got chills because you know in that moment you're just reminded um what what an incredible company and brand we are that Beyonce would name a song after us. It far exceeded our expectations.6 months later, Levis's announced a global marketing campaign with Beyonce, and the rest will go down in retail history. The TV ads broke records, billions of impressions, and ...

Core Insights - American Eagle Outfitters has shown significant business momentum, with shares increasing over 45% in 2025, driven by strong third-quarter results and an optimistic outlook for the holiday season [1][3][5] Financial Performance - Third-quarter revenue rose 6% year over year to $1.36 billion, marking a quarterly record, with comparable sales increasing by 4% [3] - Aerie achieved an impressive 11% comparable sales gain, while the core American Eagle brand saw a 1% increase, indicating a positive turnaround from earlier negative trends [3][5] - Gross profit grew 5% year over year to $552 million, despite a 40 basis point decline in gross margin to 40.5% due to $20 million in tariffs [4] - Operating income reached $113 million, exceeding previous guidance, with earnings per share increasing by 29% year over year to $0.53 [4][5] Future Outlook - Management raised fourth-quarter operating income guidance to between $155 million and $160 million, anticipating comparable sales growth of 8% to 9% [5] - Full-year adjusted operating income guidance was also increased to a range of $303 million to $308 million, up from prior estimates [5] Brand Performance and Marketing - Aerie is approaching $2 billion in annual revenue and holds less than 5% market share in its core categories, indicating significant growth potential [7] - Recent marketing campaigns featuring celebrities have generated over 44 billion impressions, contributing to increased traffic [8] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose 10% year over year due to advertising costs, but management is satisfied with the campaign effectiveness [9] Valuation Metrics - The stock trades at 21 times earnings and 16 times forward earnings, which are below the S&P 500's price-to-earnings ratio of 25, suggesting a reasonable valuation [10] - The company offers an attractive dividend yield of 2.1% [10]

Market Trends & Dynamics - Denim is experiencing a resurgence, with the jeans market growing by 27% between 2020 and 2025 [5] - Celebrity endorsements and marketing campaigns are key strategies for retailers to capture consumer attention, particularly among Gen Z and Alpha [3][14] - Brands are seeking to reclaim cultural relevance and reverse sales slumps through partnerships and innovative campaigns [13][14] - The denim category is experiencing secular tailwinds, creating opportunities for multiple companies to succeed [28] Company Performance & Strategies - Levi's partnership with Beyonce exceeded expectations, driving top-line sales and expanding profit margins, with sales up in the high single digits year-to-date [1][23] - Levi's is focusing on becoming a more premium brand by cutting back on discounts, raising prices, and focusing on direct selling strategies [8] - American Eagle's campaign with Sydney Sweeney provided a boost with Gen Z shoppers, but faced controversy [10][16][17] - Gap's partnership with Katseye drove comparable sales up by 7%, more than double analyst expectations [3][21] Financial Metrics & Impact - Levi's partnership with Beyonce generated 43 billion press impressions and over $65 million in media value [21] - American Eagle's operating costs increased by $35 million year-over-year, partly due to spending on celebrity campaigns [15] - Gap's comparable sales rose by 7% due to the Katseye campaign [21]

Core Insights - American Eagle Outfitters' shares increased nearly 12% prior to market opening on Wednesday following an upward revision of its annual sales forecast, driven by expectations from celebrity partnerships and marketing campaigns [1] Company Summary - The retailer has raised its annual sales forecast, indicating confidence in its growth strategy [1] - The surge in stock price reflects positive market sentiment towards the company's future performance [1] Industry Context - The move highlights the importance of celebrity endorsements and effective marketing in the retail sector, particularly in enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue increased by 6% to $1.4 billion, marking a record for the third quarter [6][18] - Operating income reached $113 million, exceeding guidance of $95-$100 million, driven by higher-than-expected demand [6][18] - Diluted EPS for the quarter was $0.53, a 10% increase compared to the adjusted EPS from the previous year [6][18] - Gross profit dollars increased by 5% to $552 million, while gross margin declined by 40 basis points to 40.5% [18][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerie's comparable sales (comps) grew by 11%, significantly outperforming American Eagle's 1% comp growth [7][18] - Aerie's performance was driven by strong demand across all categories, including intimates, apparel, and sleep [11][12] - American Eagle saw improvements in men's business, particularly in tops and jeans, contributing to the overall positive comp growth [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerie and Offline are emerging as important customer destinations, with Aerie generating nearly $2 billion in revenue and holding less than 5% market share, indicating significant growth potential [8][9] - The company reported a 4% increase in comparable sales, a notable improvement from the previous quarter's 1% decrease [7][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational improvements and cost efficiencies to enhance profitability in a dynamic macro environment [5][6] - Incremental investments in advertising are aimed at driving stronger demand and enhancing long-term brand awareness [5][6] - The company plans to continue expanding Aerie and Offline, with 22 Aerie and 26 Offline store openings planned [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the long-term outlook, highlighting a meaningful turnaround from the first half of the year [10][17] - The fourth quarter is off to a strong start, with record performance during the Thanksgiving weekend [9][23] - The company raised its fourth quarter operating income guidance to a range of $155-$160 million, based on expected comp sales growth of 8%-9% [23][24] Other Important Information - The company is on track to close about 35 lower productivity Aerie stores while remodeling 50 Aerie stores to enhance customer experience [21][22] - The balance sheet remains strong, with cash of $113 million and total liquidity of approximately $560 million [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the acceleration in the fourth quarter and the drivers behind it? - Management indicated that both brands are trending ahead of expectations, with Aerie expected to see high teens comp growth and American Eagle in the low to mid-single digits [27] Question: What are the new denim silhouettes that are performing well? - Denim has been strong, particularly in women's, with new silhouettes gaining traction and out-of-stocks being addressed [29] Question: What are the drivers of Aerie's same-store sales improvement? - Aerie's performance is attributed to strong customer acquisition, effective marketing strategies, and a focus on core competency businesses [33][34] Question: What are the expectations for markdowns in the fourth quarter? - Management expects markdowns to be similar to the third quarter, with a focus on maintaining competitive pricing while driving top-line growth [36][39] Question: Can you elaborate on customer acquisition trends? - The company has seen strong customer acquisition across both brands, with strategies in place to retain these customers [51][52] Question: What are the plans for store openings and closures? - The company plans to close about 35 lower productivity stores while opening a similar number of new Aerie and Offline stores [61][62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for the third quarter grew 10% to $5.6 billion, with comparable store sales increasing by 7% [5][6] - Earnings per share for the third quarter were $1.58 on net income of $512 million, compared to $1.48 per share on net earnings of $489 million in the prior year [6][7] - For the first nine months, earnings per share were $4.61 on net earnings of $1.5 billion, compared to $4.53 per share on net income of $1.5 billion for the same period last year [7] - Operating margin for the third quarter was 11.6%, which was stronger than expected [6][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strongest merchandise areas in the third quarter included cosmetics, shoes, and ladies' apparel [8] - The branded strategy has positively impacted the ladies' business, which comped above the chain average [10][48] - Average store inventories were up 15% as the company advanced inventory build for the holiday season [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Broad-based strength was observed across geographic regions, with the Southeast and Midwest performing the best [8][37] - Hispanic stores showed solid comparable sales despite trailing the chain slightly [37] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has fully embedded its branded strategy into its merchandising approach, focusing on delivering high-quality branded bargains [9][10] - The company plans to close and/or relocate 10 locations in the fourth quarter, expecting to end the year with 1,903 Ross stores and 360 dd's locations [9] - The company is optimistic about its prospects for the fourth quarter, supported by strong merchandising plans and product assortments [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate macro uncertainties and maintain a strong value proposition [11][16] - The company expects tariff-related costs in the fourth quarter to be negligible, with a full-year cost of approximately $0.15 per share [14] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong value gap against traditional retailers [63] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1.7 million shares of common stock for an aggregate cost of $262 million, remaining on track to buy back a total of $1.05 billion in shares this year [13] - The company opened 36 new Ross and four dd's DISCOUNTS stores during the third quarter [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you break down the inflection in same-store sales? - Management noted broad-based strength across all major merchandise categories and geographic regions, attributing some improvement to internal initiatives and favorable weather conditions [20][22] Question: What are the major drivers of the improvement in momentum? - Management credited the sophisticated merchandising team and emphasized the importance of marketing and store experience in driving traffic [25][26] Question: How are you addressing the marketing changes? - Management indicated that the refreshed marketing message has improved engagement with both new and lapsed customers, with early metrics showing positive results [41][42] Question: Can you discuss the branded strategy's impact? - Management stated that the branded strategy has significantly improved the ladies' business and expects continued growth opportunities in this area [48][50] Question: What is the outlook for merchandise margins? - Management expects merchandise margins to remain stable over time, with ongoing opportunities for improvement as vendor relationships strengthen [101][104] Question: How is the self-checkout rollout progressing? - Self-checkout is currently in 80 stores, showing lower shrink and high customer adoption, with plans for further rollout next year [78] Question: How did dd's perform compared to Ross? - dd's performance was consistent with Ross, with no significant pressure noted during the quarter [82]

Industry Analysis - EU proposals are ZEC marketing campaigns [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total first quarter revenues were $282.2 million, an increase of 16.4% compared to the previous year [23] - Same restaurant sales growth was positive at 0.7%, while same restaurant traffic was down 0.7% [23] - Adjusted EBITDA was $22.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins slipping to 8.1% from 11.8% [27][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 13 new system-wide restaurants during the quarter, including 10 company-owned and 3 franchise-owned [28] - New restaurants contributed significantly to revenue, with 33 new company-owned restaurants opened in the last two quarters [25][28] - Restaurant level operating profit margin was 16.5%, down from 20.8% in the same quarter last year [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a return to positive traffic in January and March, with April showing the best monthly same restaurant traffic result in over two years [10][11] - The New England market is highlighted as a significant opportunity for expansion, with new locations performing above expectations [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on growth through new restaurant openings and enhanced marketing efforts to drive brand awareness [9][12] - Strategic acquisitions of franchise restaurants in North and South Carolina and Missouri were completed to bolster presence in key states [15][16] - The company aims for double-digit percentage unit growth targets and a capital allocation strategy targeting cash on cash returns of around 35% [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the macro environment remains volatile, with shifting expectations for consumer demand and input costs [9][10] - Despite current margin pressures from inflation and commodity costs, management believes these challenges are transitory [20][28] - The company maintains a positive outlook for the second half of 2025, expecting to sustain positive same restaurant traffic [33] Other Important Information - The company reported a net loss of $829,000 for the quarter [28] - Commodity inflation is expected to peak in the second quarter, with full-year expectations remaining in the high single digits [29][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you expand on the comment that sales turned positive in March and then traffic turned positive in April? - Management noted that traffic trends improved sequentially, with positive dine-in traffic improvement for all four quarters last year [36][39] Question: What gives you confidence in driving traffic through third-party actions at a lower margin? - Management expressed confidence in the effectiveness of their strategies to drive traffic, despite cost pressures [40][41] Question: Can you discuss the learnings from increased media spend and engagement? - Management highlighted improved traffic trends as a result of their marketing efforts, with ongoing adjustments based on data [48][50] Question: What are your thoughts on commodity costs peaking in Q2? - Management explained that crop-related factors and the rebuilding of egg flocks contribute to the expectation of peaking commodity costs [51][52] Question: Can you elaborate on the marketing support across the system? - Almost the entire system is receiving marketing support, with elevated levels in certain markets [55][56] Question: How is the Florida market performing relative to the system? - Florida has outperformed the rest of the country, with continued new restaurant openings [96][97]