Bitcoin and Ethereum options open interest chart showing $27 billion Boxing Day expiry on Deribit. Photo by BeInCrypto Crypto markets are bracing for a historic year-end event today, December 26, with more than $27 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring on Deribit. This represents over half of the derivatives exchange’s total open interest. The colossal “Boxing Day” expiry could mark one of the largest structural resets in crypto history. Bitcoin and Ethereum Brace for Record $27 Billion Optio ...

Options Trading Theory - Max Pain 理论指出，在每个期权到期日，期权交易者获得最小利润的价格即为 Max Pain 价格[1] - 该理论表明，标的资产价格可能在期权到期时向 Max Pain 价格靠拢[1]

Core Insights - Amazon (AMZN) experienced a significant decline of 3.32% recently, with indications from the options market suggesting potential further downside, possibly settling around the 220 mark by mid-October [1][3]. Options Market Analysis - The Max Pain Theory suggests that as option expiration approaches, stock prices tend to gravitate towards the price where the most options will expire worthless, benefiting large institutions that are typically net sellers of options [2]. - The Max Pain level for AMZN on October 17th is identified to be approximately 220 [3]. Trading Strategy - A butterfly spread trade centered at the 220 strike is proposed, which involves buying a lower strike put, selling two middle strike puts, and buying one upper strike put, entered for a net debit [4][5]. - For the October 17 expiry, the trade would consist of buying the $200 strike put, selling two $220 strike puts, and buying one $240 strike put, with a total cost of around $660 and a maximum potential gain of approximately $1,340 [6]. Technical Analysis - The Barchart Technical Opinion rating for AMZN is a 100% Buy, indicating a strengthening short-term outlook, with long-term indicators supporting a continuation of the current trend [7]. - AMZN is rated as a Strong Buy by 47 analysts, with 6 Moderate Buy and 2 Hold ratings [7]. - The implied volatility for AMZN is 26.37%, with an IV Percentile of 27% and an IV Rank of 8.47% [8].