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中国建筑国际:业绩稳健增长,科技类收入贡献提升-20250429
HTSC· 2025-04-29 01:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 15.61 [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 23.9 billion in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, and an operating profit of HKD 3.96 billion, up 10.8% year-on-year [1][2]. - New contract signing amounted to HKD 50.5 billion in Q1 2025, a decline of 29.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from a significant project in Q1 2024 [1][2]. - Excluding the impact of the major project, the year-on-year growth in new contracts would be 59%, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.2% from Q1 2023 to Q1 2025 [2]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q1 2025, revenue from technology-driven, investment-driven, construction, and operations segments were HKD 4.8 billion, HKD 11.4 billion, HKD 6.2 billion, and HKD 0.5 billion respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 22%, 5%, -9%, and 11% [2]. - The contribution of technology-driven revenue increased to 20% of total revenue, while construction revenue accounted for 26% [2]. Market Opportunities - The construction of the Northern Metropolis in Hong Kong is expected to boost engineering expenditures, with average annual spending projected to rise from HKD 90 billion to HKD 120 billion over the next five years [3]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from urban renewal initiatives in mainland China, leveraging its MiC technology for efficient and sustainable construction [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is HKD 10.31 billion, HKD 11.17 billion, and HKD 12.05 billion respectively [4][19]. - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 8x for 2025, with a target price of HKD 15.61 based on this valuation [4][19].