This is why you're falling behind financially and there's some things that people may not have told you and where Bitcoin fits into all of it. So before we get into Bitcoin, let's talk a little bit about some basics and those basics are inflation. So just so everybody knows, everybody understands that uh here in America 100 pennies will equate to $1, four quarters or 20 nickels and that is infinite meaning that the US government can print as many dollars as they want to and there is no shortage of how much ...

🇺🇸 U.S. MONEY SUPPLY IS EXPLODING 🚀BULLISH FOR BITCOIN & CRYPTO! https://t.co/6IYnF9SDvW ...

Macroeconomic Critique - Macroeconomics has made little progress in a century, struggling with economic growth, fiscal, and monetary policy determinants [2] - Economists were surprised by the inflation of late 2021 and 2022, and recurring banking crises, due to misinterpreting central bank policies [3] - Economic models often lack banks, leading to failures in understanding banking crises [5] Money Creation and Banking - Most people incorrectly believe the government or central bank creates the majority of money [8] - Banks create most of the money supply through credit creation, not by lending deposits [9][10] - Banks create money by issuing loans, which legally establish an accounts payable liability to customers, represented as customer deposits [11] Banking System Structure and Economic Impact - A banking system dominated by a few mega-banks can lead to asset price inflation and boom-bust cycles [12] - Decentralized banking systems with small local banks lending to small firms can foster growth without inflation and asset bubbles [13] - East Asian economies achieved high growth through decentralized banking systems focused on productive business investment [14] Growth and Sustainability - Economic growth is a statistical fiction, not a physical reality, and is not inherently harmful to the environment [17] - The concept of economic growth is used by bankers to maximize interest charges on national debt [19] Central Bank Policies and Inflation - Quantitative easing (QE) policies have different effects depending on implementation; QE1 cleans up bank balance sheets, while QE2 boosts the economy [20][21] - Implementing QE2 in 2020, when demand was reasonable but supply was restricted, led to inflation [22][23] Policy Recommendations - Advocates for preventing centralized systems like central bank digital currencies, which could lead to less growth and prosperity [24] - Encourages the establishment of many small banks to decentralize the financial system and promote economic growth [24] - Decentralizing the financial system can create job opportunities in rural areas and support government policies to increase fertility [25][26][27]

RT Capital Flows (@Globalflows)I NEVER look at M2 money supplyIt’s basically useless ...

🔥NOW: US M2 Money Supply hits new all-time high of $22 trillion. https://t.co/iGOnqyliyY ...

The amount of spare cash flowing around in the US financial system is poised to shrink, rekindling the debate about how to assess money supply tightness and which benchmark rates the Federal Reserve should actually be targeting https://t.co/mBRrv6yUbV ...

Market Analysis & Trends - The S&P 500 experienced a 20% drop and subsequently reached new all-time highs, highlighting a typical rally following such declines [2] - Markets tend to rise unless there's a specific reason for them to decline [4] - The S&P 500 generally trends upwards, mirroring the behavior of the money supply [6] - The current market movement shows similarities to the pattern observed in 1998, including a 20% drop followed by a surge to all-time highs [7][12] - Q3 (August/September) tends to be a period of market weakness [33][34][35] Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate has remained relatively stable at 42%, a level that historically supports market growth [5] - The unemployment rate in 1998 was in a macro downtrend, contrasting with the current situation [22] - The recession in 2001 didn't begin until the unemployment rate reached 43%-44% [24] - The lowest unemployment rate in the dot-com era was 38%, while the current cycle saw it drop to around 34%, the lowest since 1969 [25] Investment Strategy - A 20% drop in the S&P 500 is considered a buying opportunity [28] - The S&P 500 divided by M2 is a useful indicator for identifying local tops and bottoms [26]

Market Analysis and Forecasts - Chamath Palihapitiya suggests a "free money trade" by being levered long, indicating potential for significant profits [1][12] - Trillions of dollars of "dry powder" are sitting on the sidelines, seeking investment opportunities [1][16] - The market is pricing in an over 80% chance that Jerome Powell does not cut rates at the next FOMC meeting [18] - Approximately 74 trillion dollars are currently in money market funds, representing an all-time high, suggesting investor patience [20] Bitcoin Analysis and Predictions - Bitcoin price could reach over $500,000 per coin by October 2025, based on historical data analysis [11] - Bitcoin ETFs are expected to facilitate Bitcoin's mainstream adoption [9] - Historical Bitcoin halving cycles have shown significant price appreciation: 45x after the first, almost 28x after the second, and almost 8x after the third [7] Monetary Policy and Economic Impact - The slowing and contraction of the money supply has stabilized the economy, leading to renewed investment in equity markets [14] - Cutting rates could incentivize investors to move money from money market funds to seek higher returns, increasing the velocity of money and boosting equity markets [17] - The global M2 money supply is increasing, driven by other countries already cutting rates [21]

From @WSJopinion: AI will likely begin to control the extension of credit, and in effect the money supply, in the next few years. That’s a major issue for the Fed, writes Derek Horstmeyer. https://t.co/PpwLT6JNTt ...