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XIAOMI(1810.HK)2Q25 PREVIEW:EXPECT STRONG EARNINGS BACKED BY IOT/EV MOMENTUM AND SOLID SMARTPHONE
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 02:31
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is expected to report strong 2Q25 results with revenue and adjusted net profit growth of 32% and 66% YoY, respectively, driven by solid smartphone performance, strong EV demand, robust IoT growth, and stable gross profit margins across all segments [1] Group 1: Smartphone Performance - Xiaomi's global smartphone shipment for 2Q25 is reported at 42.4 million units, remaining flat YoY, while its market share stands at 15%, ranking No.3 globally [2] - In China, Xiaomi's smartphone shipment grew by 3% YoY, outperforming the overall market which declined by 4% YoY [2] - The average selling price (ASP) is expected to increase by 6% YoY in 2Q25 due to a higher mix of mid-to-low-end smartphone shipments [2] - Gross profit margin (GPM) for smartphones is estimated at 11.5%, impacted by BOM cost pressures and competition from Apple and Samsung [2] - Forecasted shipments for FY25-27E are 178 million, 190 million, and 200 million units, reflecting growth rates of 5%, 7%, and 5% YoY, respectively [2] Group 2: Smart EV Segment - The EV segment is expected to see strong demand with a backlog of orders and capacity ramp-up, estimating 81,000 shipments in 2Q25 with an ASP of RMB250,000, reflecting a 9% YoY increase [3] - For FY25E, the forecast for EV shipments is 396,000 units, exceeding the guidance of 350,000 units, supported by strong YU7 orders and rapid capacity growth [3] Group 3: IoT and Internet Services - IoT and Internet revenue is projected to grow by 36% and 10% YoY, reaching RMB36.4 billion and RMB9.1 billion in 2Q25E, driven by favorable China subsidies and seasonal demand [3] - The GPM for IoT and Internet is expected to slightly decline QoQ to 23% and 75% in 2Q25E, respectively, due to seasonality and product mix shifts [3]
XIAOMI(1810.HK):KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM XIAOMI INVESTOR DAY 2025
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 17:53
Group 1: Smartphone Business - Target to gain 1 percentage point in market share, with a shipment goal of 175-180 million units and an average selling price (ASP) increase of 3-5% year-over-year (YoY) in 2025 [1][2] - Smartphone gross profit margin (GPM) target set at 12-12.5% for FY25E, supported by premiumization and new retail strategies [2][3] - Management expects the integration of online and offline retail to enhance user experience and operational efficiency, driving growth in the smartphone segment [2] Group 2: Smart EV Business - Aiming for profitability in the second half of 2025, with a delivery target of 350,000 units, maintaining strong sales performance with 76,000 units delivered in Q1 2025 [2] - Planned investment of RMB 3.5 billion in R&D for smart EVs, focusing on autonomous driving technologies and self-developed chips [2][3] - Management is optimistic about narrowing operating losses in the smart EV sector [2] Group 3: IoT and Chip Development - IoT business projected to achieve over 30% YoY sales growth, with GPM expected to rise by 2.0-2.5 percentage points in 2025, driven by product categories like air conditioners and washing machines [3] - Self-developed chips will be integrated into flagship smartphones, smart EVs, and home appliances, with a focus on larger LLM models and next-gen NPU chips [3] - Long-term goal to implement a New Retail strategy with plans to open 30,000 stores in China and 10,000 stores internationally [3] Group 4: Financial Targets - Revenue growth target of 30% YoY, aiming to reach RMB 480 billion, with adjusted net profit expected to grow by over 40% YoY in FY25E [3]
XIAOMI(XIACY) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-18 16:03
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, Xiaomi Group achieved total revenue of JPY365.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35% [8] - Adjusted net profit reached JPY27.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41% [8] - The comprehensive gross profit margin for the year was 20.9%, showing stable performance [28] - In Q4 2024, revenue exceeded RMB100 billion for the first time, reaching RMB109 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 48.8% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mobile phone revenue for 2024 was RMB191.8 billion, accounting for 52.4% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 21.8% [29] - IoT and consumer products revenue exceeded RMB100 billion for the first time, increasing by 30% year-on-year to RMB104.1 billion [34] - Internet services revenue reached RMB34.1 billion, a new historical high with a year-on-year increase of 13.33% [37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Xiaomi's global smartphone shipments were 168.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%, maintaining a market share of 13.8% [30] - In the Chinese market, the proportion of high-end smartphones reached 23.3%, a year-on-year increase of 3 percentage points [32] - The wearable wristband products ranked second globally with a market share of 15.2% [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on a "Human, Car, and Home" strategy, aiming for high-end development across all product categories [13][24] - Xiaomi plans to expand its retail network to 20,000 stores by the end of 2025, including 500 overseas stores [19] - The company aims to increase R&D investment to JPY30 billion in 2025, emphasizing technological innovation [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of technological innovation and the potential for growth in overseas markets, which are expected to be twice the size of the domestic market [53] - The company anticipates a stable operating environment with some price volatility in components, but expects overall growth in the high-end product segment [75] - Management expressed confidence in achieving higher profitability in the automobile business in the coming years, despite current losses [82] Other Important Information - Xiaomi's R&D expenditure reached RMB24.1 billion in 2024, an increase of 25.9% compared to the previous year [41] - The company was recognized as a Chinese ESG model enterprise, reflecting its commitment to social responsibility [44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the EV business and production capacity - Management confirmed that they are improving production capacity and have set a target of delivering 350,000 units [52] Question: Plans for overseas expansion and resource allocation - Management indicated that overseas markets present significant growth potential, with ongoing expansion of Xiaomi Home stores in various countries [55] Question: AI adoption and investment - Management acknowledged that true AI adoption is still a few years away, with significant investment planned for AI technologies [61] Question: Impact of national subsidies on growth - Management clarified that national subsidies had minimal impact on Q4 growth, particularly for mobile phones [72] Question: Future profitability of the automobile business - Management stated that while the automobile business is currently in a heavy investment phase, they expect improvements in gross margins and profitability in the future [82] Question: Growth in the Internet business - Management attributed the growth in the Internet business to an expanding user base and increased advertising revenue [84] Question: Retail network expansion speed and future forecast - Management confirmed plans to expand the retail network significantly, aiming for 20,000 stores by 2025 [92] Question: Opportunities in large home appliances - Management expressed optimism about growth potential in large home appliances, emphasizing their competitive edge in smart technology [102]