小米居然直接 從Tesla挖走 歐洲交付大將 而且一次 挖了兩個！ 前Tesla中歐交付 運營資深經理 Dieter Lorenz 在Tesla苦幹6年 親手把歐洲物流 從零拉到現在規模 上週直接在 LinkedIn官宣離開 變成小米歐洲 交付與物流主管！ Electrek還報導 至少還有另一位 Tesla歐洲運營 同事Marvin M 三月也跳槽過去 這根本不是 普通人才流動 這是小米2027年 殺進歐洲前 提前整整兩年 就開始的狠招！ 等小米SU7和YU7 一登陸歐洲 就能直接複製 Tesla打法 快速上量 你覺得小米這招 能在歐洲 站穩腳跟嗎？. ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla will not release a cheaper version of the Model 3 in China this year, confirming no new car models will be introduced in the Chinese market for 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Market Context - China is Tesla's second-largest market after the U.S. and the largest car market globally [2]. - Tesla's global sales have been declining sharply for over a year, although monthly retail sales in China saw a recovery, growing 42% year over year in February [2]. Group 2: Production and Competition - Tesla has not converted any production lines at its Giga Shanghai factory to produce the cheaper Model 3, continuing to manufacture the current Model 3 sedan and Model Y SUV [3]. - The Chinese market is highly competitive for affordable electric vehicles, with rivals offering cars as low as $5,000, such as the Bestune Pony and Wuling Hong Guang Mini EV [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Tesla's stock is down about 2% on a recent Friday, marking a potential sixth consecutive week of declines, with shares trading at their lowest level since September [2][8]. - The stock has decreased approximately 17% year-to-date, reflecting concerns over declining vehicle deliveries in the first quarter [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group (1810.HK) [7] Core Insights - The report highlights that the pessimistic expectations regarding storage price increases have been largely digested, suggesting a focus on Xiaomi's substantial progress in AI research and development, including models, embodied intelligence, self-developed chips, and operating systems [3][13] - The revenue forecast for FY2026E-FY2028E has been adjusted to RMB 514.1 billion, RMB 584.5 billion, and RMB 661.4 billion respectively, while the adjusted net profit forecast has been revised to RMB 33 billion, RMB 41 billion, and RMB 52.5 billion respectively [13] - The target price for Xiaomi Group has been adjusted to HKD 43.4 based on the SOTP valuation method [13][17] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach RMB 365.9 billion in 2024, RMB 457.3 billion in 2025, RMB 514.1 billion in 2026, RMB 584.5 billion in 2027, and RMB 661.4 billion in 2028, with growth rates of 35.0%, 25.0%, 12.4%, 13.7%, and 13.2% respectively [5] - Gross profit is expected to be RMB 76.6 billion in 2024, RMB 101.8 billion in 2025, RMB 105.8 billion in 2026, RMB 121.3 billion in 2027, and RMB 139.7 billion in 2028, with gross margins of 20.9%, 22.3%, 20.6%, 20.7%, and 21.1% respectively [5] - Adjusted net profit is forecasted to be RMB 27.2 billion in 2024, RMB 39.2 billion in 2025, RMB 33.0 billion in 2026, RMB 41.0 billion in 2027, and RMB 52.5 billion in 2028, with growth rates of 41.3%, 43.8%, -15.8%, 24.4%, and 28.0% respectively [5] Market Performance - The stock price range over the past 52 weeks has been between HKD 31.58 and HKD 60.15, with a current market capitalization of HKD 841.25 million [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the need to wait for a fundamental turning point, with a clearer picture of the AI strategy emerging [6] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027, maintaining a "Buy" rating despite the downward revisions [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 365.9 billion RMB - 2025: 457.3 billion RMB - 2026E: 504.8 billion RMB - 2027E: 593.0 billion RMB - 2028E: 698.0 billion RMB - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 35% for 2024, 25% for 2025, 10% for 2026, 17% for 2027, and 18% for 2028 [7] - Adjusted net profit forecasts are: - 2024: 27.3 billion RMB - 2025: 39.2 billion RMB - 2026E: 33.4 billion RMB - 2027E: 41.4 billion RMB - 2028E: 51.4 billion RMB - The report indicates a decrease in adjusted net profit for 2026 and 2027 compared to previous estimates [8][11] Business Segments - Smartphone segment: - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 186.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 3% - The average selling price (ASP) is expected to increase by 5% in 2026, reaching 1,185 RMB per unit [8] - IoT segment: - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 123.2 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 18% - The report notes that the slowdown in growth is due to national subsidies and increased competition [8] - Internet services: - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 37.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 10% [8] - Electric vehicles: - The company aims to deliver 550,000 vehicles in 2026, with a target of 410,000 deliveries in 2025 [8] Valuation - Based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, the target valuation for the company is 986.7 billion RMB, indicating a potential upside of 33% from the current market value [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43 HKD [7][19]. Core Insights - The company reported FY2025 revenue of 457.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 25.0%, and a Non-GAAP net profit of 39.2 billion RMB, up 43.8% year-on-year. The 4Q25 revenue was 116.9 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 7.3%, while Non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was 6.3 billion RMB, down 23.7% year-on-year [1][5]. - Management indicated that the storage price increase cycle may last longer and be more significant than previously expected, potentially extending into 2027, which is a more pessimistic outlook compared to earlier reports [1]. - The company has made significant advancements in AI, with the MiMo-V2-Pro model ranking among the top globally and the AI Agent "MiKe" entering beta testing, although commercialization is still in its early stages [3]. - The automotive segment achieved its first annual operating profit, delivering 411,082 vehicles, a 200.4% increase year-on-year, with the new SU7 model performing exceptionally well [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2025 revenue reached 457.3 billion RMB, with a 25.0% year-on-year increase. Non-GAAP net profit was 39.2 billion RMB, reflecting a 43.8% increase year-on-year. The 4Q25 revenue was 116.9 billion RMB, up 7.3% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was 6.3 billion RMB, down 23.7% year-on-year [1][5]. Smartphone/IoT/Internet Business - In 4Q25, the smartphone and AIoT segment generated revenue of 79.7 billion RMB, a decrease of 13.7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 20.0%. Smartphone revenue was 44.3 billion RMB, with a shipment of 37.7 million units, down 11.6% year-on-year. IoT revenue was 24.6 billion RMB, down 20.3% year-on-year, but the annual IoT revenue reached a record high of 123.2 billion RMB [2]. AI Development - The company launched several AI models, including MiMo-V2-Pro, MiMo-V2-Omni, and MiMo-V2-TTS, establishing a comprehensive AI technology foundation. The MiMo-V2-Pro model has the highest usage on the OpenRouter platform, priced significantly lower than competitors [3]. Automotive Business - The automotive segment achieved its first annual operating profit with a delivery of 411,082 vehicles, exceeding the initial target of 300,000 units. The new SU7 model saw strong demand, with over 15,000 orders within 34 minutes of launch [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains Non-GAAP net profit forecasts of 34.5 billion RMB for 2026 and 45.4 billion RMB for 2027, introducing a forecast of 57.1 billion RMB for 2028. The target price of 43 HKD corresponds to a 32x PE ratio for 2026 [5][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43 HKD [7][19]. Core Insights - The company reported FY2025 revenue of 457.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 25.0%, and a Non-GAAP net profit of 39.2 billion RMB, up 43.8% year-on-year. The 4Q25 revenue was 116.9 billion RMB, a 7.3% increase year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was 6.3 billion RMB, down 23.7% year-on-year [1][5]. - Management indicated that the storage price increase cycle may last longer and be more significant than previously expected, potentially extending into 2027. This outlook is more pessimistic than earlier reports [1]. - The company has made significant advancements in AI, with the MiMo-V2-Pro model ranking among the top globally and the AI Agent "MiKe" entering beta testing. However, AI commercialization is still in its early stages [3]. - The automotive segment achieved its first annual operating profit, delivering 411,082 vehicles, a 200.4% increase year-on-year, with the new SU7 model performing exceptionally well [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2025 revenue reached 457.3 billion RMB, with a 25.0% year-on-year growth. Non-GAAP net profit was 39.2 billion RMB, reflecting a 43.8% increase year-on-year. The 4Q25 revenue was 116.9 billion RMB, up 7.3% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was 6.3 billion RMB, down 23.7% year-on-year [1][5]. Smartphone/IoT/Internet Business - In 4Q25, the smartphone and AIoT segment generated 79.7 billion RMB in revenue, a decrease of 13.7% year-on-year. Smartphone revenue was 44.3 billion RMB with a shipment of 37.7 million units, down 11.6% year-on-year. IoT revenue was 24.6 billion RMB, down 20.3% year-on-year, but the annual IoT revenue reached a record high of 123.2 billion RMB [2]. AI Development - The company launched several AI models, including MiMo-V2-Pro, which has become the most utilized model on the OpenRouter platform. The AI Agent "MiKe" is the first of its kind to be deployed on mobile devices, showcasing the company's competitive edge in AI technology [3]. Automotive Business - The automotive division achieved a significant milestone with an operating profit of 900 million RMB for FY25, delivering over 411,000 vehicles, exceeding the initial target of 300,000 units. The new SU7 model has received strong market interest, with over 30,000 orders within three days of launch [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains Non-GAAP net profit forecasts of 34.5 billion RMB for 2026 and 45.4 billion RMB for 2027, introducing a forecast of 57.1 billion RMB for 2028. The target price of 43 HKD corresponds to a 32x PE ratio for 2026 [5][19].

Economic Indicators - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased by 11.83 basis points to 3.902%[3] - The 5-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 13.03 basis points to 4.006%[3] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed by 13.23 basis points to 4.380%[3] Market Performance - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 2056.00, down 0.05%[4] - The Nasdaq Index closed at 21647.61, down 2.01%[4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 45577.47, down 0.96%[4] - The S&P 500 Index closed at 6506.48, down 1.51%[4] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25277.32, down 0.88%[4] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3957.05, down 1.24%[4]

大家好我是大鱼 今天 Tesla正式把 Terafab 写进官方 职缺清单 这不再是一个概念 而是马斯克 亲手把晶片 从设计一路推进 到自家制造的 实质性起点 Tesla要自己 盖一座先进 AI晶圆厂 掌控良率 成本与速度 这一步 意味着FSD Optimus Robotaxi的 算力瓶颈 即将被彻底打破 大家不要错过 今天的精彩内容 OK let's go 第一部分 Terafab正式启动！ 一直有人在酸 Tesla再厉害 还不是要靠 TSMC跟 Samsung喂饭？ 但是今天 Terafab正式启动了！ 这是马斯克亲自 把Tesla从晶片设计 一路打通到 晶圆制造的 关键一步 垂直整合做到极致 未来FSD Optimus Robotaxi的算力 再也不用 看别人的脸色了 就在今天 Tesla官网 直接放出7个 Terafab专属职缺 全部跟矽晶片 制造有关 这可是Tesla 第一次在 正式职缺里 承认Terafab 这个名字 意义有多大？ 你想想就知道 这代表从概念 到实体工厂 已经正式进入 执行阶段 从这7个职缺来看 这些可不是 普通招人 而是为一座 全新的AI 晶片工厂 从基础建设 CapEx到供应链 ...

Summary of Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) - **Industry**: Electric Vehicles (EV) and Consumer Electronics Key Highlights from the SU7 New Facelift Launch - **Launch Date**: March 19, 2026 - **Pricing**: - SU7: US$32.0k (Rmb219.9k) - SU7 Pro: US$36.4k (Rmb249.9k) - SU7 Max: US$44.2k (Rmb303.9k) - Prices are only Rmb4k higher than first-gen models despite comprehensive upgrades [1][11] - **Order Performance**: - 15,000 confirmed orders within the first 34 minutes, outperforming the first-gen SU7 which had 89,000 pre-orders in the first 24 hours [2] - Initial order momentum expected to be steadier compared to previous models due to improved consumer expectations and delivery policies [3] Consumer Experience and Order Volume - **Consumer Focus**: Enhanced purchase experience leading to more stable order volumes compared to initial spikes seen in previous models [3] - **Delivery Expectations**: Improved manufacturing capacity and delivery policies, including "ready-to-ship" vehicles within 1-5 weeks [3] Future Product Launches - **Upcoming Models**: - YU7 GT model expected to launch around mid-2026 - A full-size extended-range electric vehicle SUV anticipated in late Q3 2026 [4] Investment in AI - **Investment Commitment**: Rmb60 billion planned for AI over the next three years, with Rmb16 billion earmarked for 2026 [5] - **Strategic Positioning**: Xiaomi aims to leverage its "Human x Car x Home" ecosystem to capture growth in the global AI model industry [5] Financial Projections - **EV Volume Expectations**: Projected to reach 610,000 units in 2026, with 190,000 units for SU7, 380,000 for YU7, and 40,000 for the large-sized SUV model [21] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Expected to decline to 17.9% in Q1 2026 and 20.7% in Q2 2026 due to increased consumer benefits and rising costs [23] Competitive Positioning - **Market Comparison**: The SU7 facelift model is positioned competitively against peers like Tesla and Xpeng in terms of size, driving dynamics, and range [19] - **Performance Enhancements**: Significant upgrades in powertrain performance, chassis control, and safety features compared to first-gen models [11][18] Risks and Challenges - **Market Risks**: - Intense competition in the smartphone and EV sectors - Potential pressure on gross margins due to rising costs and market dynamics [25] - **Execution Risks**: Concerns regarding the execution of brand premiumization and the EV business strategy [25] Investment Thesis - **Long-term Outlook**: Xiaomi is viewed as a leader in the physical AI space with strong ecosystem integration capabilities, positioning it well for future growth in the EV market [26] Price Target - **12-Month Target Price**: HK$41.00, representing a potential upside of 12.9% from the current price of HK$36.32 [28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Xiaomi Corp with a target price of HK$48.80, while the current price is HK$36.32 [2]. Core Insights - Xiaomi launched the MiMo-V2 series, enhancing its IoT ecosystem by integrating text, vision, and speech capabilities, establishing a core AI hub for its "Human-Car-Home" ecosystem [3][12]. - The automotive segment is expected to show strong growth, with the new-generation SU7 featuring advanced driving systems and AI integration [4][13]. - The company plans to invest at least RMB 60 billion in AI over the next three years, with significant R&D expenditures anticipated in 2026 [4][14]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to RMB 457.9 billion, RMB 494.1 billion, and RMB 571.8 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 25%, 8%, and 16% respectively [15][16]. - The adjusted net profit for the same period is projected at RMB 38.18 billion, RMB 39.84 billion, and RMB 48.56 billion, indicating growth rates of 33%, 4%, and 22% [16]. Financial Summary - Revenue and profit projections for Xiaomi are as follows: - FY2023: Revenue of RMB 271.4 billion, Net profit of RMB 17.5 billion - FY2024: Revenue of RMB 365.6 billion, Net profit of RMB 23.6 billion - FY2025E: Revenue of RMB 457.9 billion, Net profit of RMB 40.1 billion - FY2026E: Revenue of RMB 494.1 billion, Net profit of RMB 40.1 billion [9][15]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be around 21.2% in FY2023, improving to 22.3% by FY2025E [9]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method, assigning: - Hardware business a PE of 21x - Internet business a PE of 24x - Automotive business a PE of 73.5x or a PS of 2.4x [16].