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Which Bank Stock to Buy as Fed Lowers Rate: Bank of America or Truist?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 15:35
Core Insights - Bank of America (BAC) and Truist Financial (TFC) are positioned differently in the current interest rate environment, with BAC leveraging its scale and diversified services while TFC focuses on regional expansion and digital banking [1][2]. Group 1: Bank of America Analysis - BAC is expected to experience a modest decline in net interest income (NII) due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, but projects NII to rise 6-7% in 2025, reaching $15.5-$15.7 billion in Q4 [3][4][11]. - The bank's expansion strategy and digital services, including Zelle and Erica, are anticipated to enhance customer relationships and drive NII growth over time [5][6]. - Operating expenses are expected to remain elevated due to the expansion plan, with non-interest expenses projected to rise moderately in 2025 [7]. Group 2: Truist Financial Analysis - TFC is less sensitive to interest rate changes and is focusing on strengthening its balance sheet and enhancing non-interest revenue sources following the divestiture of its insurance subsidiary [8][10]. - The company plans to open 100 new branches and renovate over 300 existing locations in high-growth cities over the next five years, while also investing in its business banking ecosystem [9]. - TFC expects nearly 3% NII growth in 2025, driven by loan growth and asset repricing, with management planning to reprice approximately $27 billion of fixed-rate loans and securities [12][13]. Group 3: Comparative Performance and Valuation - In terms of stock performance, TFC shares have risen 5.4% while BAC shares have increased by 17.9% this year, indicating BAC's stronger price performance [14]. - TFC is trading at a forward P/E of 10.76X, while BAC is at 12.6X, suggesting TFC is currently undervalued compared to BAC [15][16]. - BAC has a return on equity (ROE) of 10.25%, significantly higher than TFC's 8.69%, reflecting BAC's efficient use of shareholder funds [20]. Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BAC indicates earnings growth of 12.5% in 2025 and 15.9% in 2026, with upward revisions in the past week [22]. - For TFC, the earnings estimates indicate a rise of 4.3% in 2025 and 14.3% in 2026, with no changes in the past week [24]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - Given the Fed's easing cycle, BAC is better positioned to capitalize on lower rates through its scale and diversified income streams, despite potential near-term expense increases [25]. - TFC, while offering a higher dividend yield, faces modest earnings growth and may appeal to value investors due to its discounted valuation [26].
COF Up on Q2 Earnings Beat, Discover Deal Boosts NII and Fee Income
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 13:21
Core Insights - Capital One's shares increased by 4% in after-hours trading following the announcement of better-than-expected Q2 2025 results, with adjusted earnings of $5.48 per share surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.83 and up from $4.06 in the prior quarter [1][8] - The acquisition of Discover Financial Services, completed on May 18, has been progressing well, contributing positively to the company's performance [1] Financial Performance - Total net revenues for Q2 2025 reached $12.49 billion, a 25% sequential increase, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.22 billion [3] - Net interest income (NII) surged 25% year over year to $10 billion, with net interest margin (NIM) expanding by 69 basis points to 7.62% [3] - Non-interest income grew 26% to $2.5 billion, driven by higher service charges, customer-related fees, and interchange fees [3] - Non-interest expenses rose 18% to $6.99 billion, with adjusted expenses increasing 14% to $6.4 billion [4] - The efficiency ratio improved to 55.96%, down from 59.02% in the last quarter, indicating a slight improvement in profitability [4] Loan and Deposit Growth - Loans held for investment increased by 36% to $439.3 billion, while total deposits rose by 27% to $468.1 billion [4][8] Credit Quality - Provision for credit losses significantly increased to $11.43 billion from $2.37 billion in the prior quarter, with the allowance as a percentage of reported loans held for investment at 5.43%, up 20 basis points [5] - The 30-plus-day-performing delinquency rate decreased by 16 basis points to 3.13%, and the net charge-off rate declined by 16 basis points to 3.24% [5] Capital Ratios - As of June 30, 2025, the Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio improved to 15.1% from 14.9%, and the common equity Tier 1 capital ratio increased to 14% from 13.6% [6] Share Repurchase - During the reported quarter, Capital One repurchased 0.76 million shares for $150 million [7] Strategic Outlook - Capital One's strategic expansion, strong demand for consumer loans, and improvements in the card business position it well for long-term growth, particularly following the acquisition of Discover Financial [9]
First Horizon Q2 Earnings Top Estimates as NII Rises, Expenses Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 18:21
Core Viewpoint - First Horizon Corporation (FHN) reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 45 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 41 cents and up from 36 cents in the same quarter last year [1][10] Financial Performance - Net income available to common shareholders on a GAAP basis was $233 million, reflecting a 27% year-over-year increase [2] - Total quarterly revenues reached $830 million, a 1.8% increase year over year, although it missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.9% [3][10] - Net interest income (NII) rose nearly 2% year over year to $641 million, with the net interest margin increasing by 2 basis points to 3.40% [3] - Non-interest income was $189 million, up 1.6% from the previous year [3] Expense Management - Non-interest expenses decreased by 1.8% year over year to $491 million, attributed to declines in most cost components except for occupancy, equipment costs, and salary and benefits [4] - The efficiency ratio improved to 59.20%, down from 61.44% in the prior year, indicating enhanced profitability [4] Loan and Deposit Growth - Total period-end loans and leases were $63.3 billion, a 1.7% increase from the previous quarter [5] - Total period-end deposits rose to $65.6 billion, up 2.1% [5] Credit Quality - Non-performing loans and leases increased by 3.3% year over year to $593 million [6] - The allowance for loan and lease losses decreased by 0.8% year over year to $814 million, with the ratio of total allowance to loans and leases at 1.29%, down from 1.31% [6] - Net charge-offs remained flat year over year at $34 million, while the provision for credit losses dropped 45% to $30 million [7] Capital Ratios - As of June 30, 2025, the Common Equity Tier 1 ratio was stable at 11%, with the total capital ratio also unchanged at 14% [8]
USB Q2 Earnings Beat on Higher NII & Non-Interest Income, Stock Down
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 16:16
Core Insights - U.S. Bancorp's second-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $1.11 exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.07, reflecting a 13.3% increase from the prior-year quarter, driven by lower expenses and higher non-interest income [1][8] - Total revenues for the quarter were $7 billion, a 2% year-over-year increase, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.8% [2][8] - Concerns arose from a decline in both deposits and loans, leading to a 4% drop in shares during pre-market trading [1][8] Financial Performance - Net income attributable to U.S. Bancorp was $1.82 billion, marking a 13.2% increase from the previous year [2] - Tax-equivalent net interest income (NII) reached $4.08 billion, showing a slight increase year-over-year, primarily due to fixed asset repricing and a favorable loan mix [3] - Non-interest income rose by 3.9% year-over-year to $2.92 billion, with growth in most components except for corporate payment products and mortgage banking revenues [4] Expense Management - Non-interest expenses decreased marginally to $4.18 billion, attributed to reductions in most components, while the efficiency ratio improved to 59.2% from 61% in the prior year, indicating enhanced profitability [5] - Adjusted non-interest expenses also saw a slight decline compared to the previous year [5] Loan and Deposit Trends - Average total loans decreased by 0.1% to $378.5 billion, while average total deposits fell by 0.7% to $502.9 billion [6] Credit Quality - The total allowance for credit losses was $7.86 billion, down approximately 1% year-over-year, with non-performing assets decreasing by 9.3% to $1.68 billion [7] - Net charge-offs increased by 3% to $554 million, while the provision for credit losses was $501 million, down 11.8% from the prior year [7] Capital Ratios - The Tier 1 capital ratio improved to 12.3% from 11.9% year-over-year, and the Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio rose to 10.7% from 10.2% [9] - The tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio increased to 6.1% from 5.4% in the previous year [9] Future Outlook - U.S. Bancorp's solid business model and diverse revenue streams are expected to support its financial performance in the future, with an improving NII being a positive indicator [10]
Plumas Bancorp Reports Second Quarter 2025 Earnings
Globenewswire· 2025-07-16 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Plumas Bancorp reported a decrease in net income and earnings per share for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, while showing an increase in net income for the first half of 2025 compared to the first half of 2024. The company also completed the acquisition of Cornerstone Community Bancorp, which is expected to enhance its market presence and operational efficiency. Financial Performance - Net income for Q2 2025 was $6.3 million or $1.07 per share, down from $6.8 million or $1.15 per share in Q2 2024 [1] - Diluted earnings per share decreased to $1.05 in Q2 2025 from $1.14 in Q2 2024 [1] - For the first half of 2025, net income was $13.5 million or $2.28 per share, an increase from $13.0 million or $2.21 per share in the first half of 2024 [6] Return on Assets and Equity - Return on average assets was 1.56% in Q2 2025, down from 1.67% in Q2 2024 [2] - Return on average equity decreased to 13.4% in Q2 2025 from 17.1% in Q2 2024 [2] - For the first half of 2025, return on average assets was 1.67%, up from 1.61% in the first half of 2024, while return on average equity decreased to 14.7% from 16.7% [7] Income Statement Highlights - Net interest income decreased by $222 thousand to $18.2 million in Q2 2025 from $18.4 million in Q2 2024 [3] - Non-interest income increased by $159 thousand to $2.4 million in Q2 2025, compared to $2.2 million in Q2 2024 [3][47] - Non-interest expense increased by $616 thousand to $11.0 million in Q2 2025, with $481 thousand attributed to merger-related costs [4][48] Balance Sheet Highlights - Gross loans increased by $21 million, or 2%, to $1.0 billion as of June 30, 2025 [13][15] - Total deposits increased by $62 million to $1.4 billion as of June 30, 2025, with significant increases in money market accounts and time deposits [17][20] - Total equity increased by $28 million, or 17%, to $193 million as of June 30, 2025 [20][26] Asset Quality - Nonperforming assets increased to $13.7 million, or 0.84% of total assets, as of June 30, 2025, up from $9.1 million or 0.56% in June 2024 [19] - Nonperforming loans increased to $13.6 million, representing 1.34% of total loans, up from 0.90% in June 2024 [21] Acquisition and Strategic Developments - The company completed the acquisition of Cornerstone Community Bancorp on July 1, 2025, which is expected to enhance its operational capabilities and market presence [4][14] - The company is expanding its treasury management services and refining its lending processes to improve efficiency [14]
Rise in NII, Fee Income to Support Citizens Financial's Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:31
Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is expected to report an increase in second-quarter 2025 earnings and revenues compared to the same quarter last year, with various factors influencing this performance [1][18]. Financial Performance Expectations - CFG's net interest income (NII) is projected to rise by 3% in Q2 2025 from the previous quarter, supported by stable interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve [3][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is $1.44 billion, reflecting a 3.2% increase from the prior quarter [4]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is $2.01 billion, indicating a 2.2% rise from the year-ago figure [18]. Loan and Asset Quality Insights - Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, demand for commercial and industrial loans and consumer loans is expected to have improved, leading to a modest rise in CFG's lending activities [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average interest-earning assets is $196.2 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous quarter [6]. - Non-accrual loans are estimated to rise to $1.62 billion, a 2.4% increase sequentially, indicating potential concerns regarding asset quality [15]. Non-Interest Income and Fee Growth - Mortgage banking fees are expected to increase to $63 million, a 6.6% rise from the prior quarter, driven by improved refinancing activities [8]. - Trust and investment services fees are projected to reach $84 million, reflecting a 3.7% increase from the previous quarter [9]. - Capital markets fees are estimated at $108.4 million, indicating an 8.4% sequential rise, supported by improved deal-making activities in the latter part of the quarter [12][10]. Expense Management - CFG anticipates that adjusted non-interest expenses will remain stable compared to the first quarter, despite increased costs from new banking offices and technology investments [14].
Higher NII & Non-Interest Income to Aid U.S. Bancorp's Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 13:46
Core Viewpoint - U.S. Bancorp (USB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, benefiting from lower expenses and higher non-interest income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The company anticipates net interest income (NII) for Q2 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, with a consensus estimate of $4.01 billion, reflecting a marginal increase from the previous quarter [2][8] - The consensus estimate for total revenues in Q2 2025 is $7.06 billion, indicating a rise of 3.3% from the year-ago figure [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average earning assets is $611.2 million, suggesting a slight sequential increase [4] Group 2: Non-Interest Income and Trading Activity - Non-interest income is projected to rise by 3.3% due to gains in trading, mortgage, and card revenues, with total non-interest income estimated at $2.93 billion [9][8] - Trading volumes in equity derivatives and corporate bonds have increased, with the consensus estimate for commercial product revenues at $391 million, reflecting a 2.4% increase from the prior quarter [5] Group 3: Loan Activity and Market Conditions - Lending activity remained strong in Q2 2025, supported by a resilient labor market and easing inflation, with notable demand for commercial and industrial loans [3] - Mortgage banking revenues are expected to reach $179.6 million, indicating a 3.8% increase from the previous quarter, despite mortgage rates fluctuating in the mid-to-upper 6% range [6] Group 4: Expense Management and Asset Quality - The company aims to keep non-interest expenses at or below $4.2 billion in Q2 2025, despite higher costs related to compensation and employee benefits [10][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $1.72 billion, indicating a rise of 1.8% from the prior quarter [10] Group 5: Earnings Expectations - U.S. Bancorp has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.21%, indicating a high likelihood of beating earnings estimates [11] - The consensus estimate for Q2 earnings is $1.07, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the year-ago reported number [12]
广发证券银行中期策略:景气度逐步探底 看好区域经济阿尔法优质城商行
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 13:26
Macro Environment Outlook - The overall fiscal effort has been advanced this year, with expectations for continued positive fiscal policies in the second half, potentially leading to an increase in overall debt growth driven by government department debt growth [1] - The expansion of welfare-oriented fiscal policies and rising inflation may boost nominal GDP growth [1] - Monetary policy is expected to have room for rate cuts in the context of stabilizing growth and exchange rate constraints, with a continued trend of asymmetric rate cuts on both asset and liability sides [1] - The annual social financing growth rate is projected to be around 8.5%, with a peak expected by the end of the third quarter [1] Industry Core Indicators Outlook - The long-term growth center of social financing is strongly correlated with banks' internal capital accumulation ability, and the "volume compensates for price" strategy is unlikely to reverse the downward trend in net interest income [2] - To further reduce deposit costs, improvements in the industry competition landscape or significant reductions in market interest rates are necessary [2] - Loan pricing is closely related to asset liquidity, with current social financing growth significantly exceeding nominal growth, indicating that loan rates are expected to continue declining, although the pace may slow due to various constraints [2] - The overall credit environment remains loose, with expected stability in non-performing loan generation in the second half of the year [2] Asset Liquidity and Allocation Outlook - The turning point of cross-border liquidity will determine the directional shift of domestic asset liquidity, with expectations for accelerated repatriation of funds due to the relatively high returns of RMB assets after considering exchange rate fluctuations [3] - The return rate of risk assets is currently high compared to the 1.6% risk-free rate, indicating a gradual shift of funds towards risk assets such as credit bonds and stocks [3] Industry Prosperity Outlook - Asset-liability pressure is expected to gradually ease in the third and fourth quarters, with year-on-year growth rates for interest-earning assets projected at 7.86% and 7.80% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] - The narrowing of interest margins is expected to slow down, with overall growth in non-interest income anticipated to turn positive [4] - The bond market is expected to maintain a narrow fluctuation pattern in the third quarter, with potential upward adjustments in bond market interest rates in the fourth quarter due to high base effects [4] - Overall asset quality is expected to remain stable, with a projected decline in provisioning contributions [4] - For 2025, the combined revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of listed banks are expected to change by -1.67% and -0.29% year-on-year, respectively, with state-owned banks performing better than other sectors [4]
UMB Financial Q1 Earnings Beat on NII Growth, Expenses Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 16:55
Core Viewpoint - UMB Financial Corp. reported strong operating earnings in Q1 2025, driven by increased net interest income and non-interest income, despite challenges from weak asset quality and rising non-interest expenses [1][10]. Financial Performance - Operating earnings per share for Q1 2025 were $2.58, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.21 and up from $2.47 in the same quarter last year [1]. - Net income on a GAAP basis was $81.3 million, reflecting a 26.2% decline year over year [2]. - Quarterly revenues reached $571.3 million, a 41% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.9% [3]. - Net interest income (NII) on a fully taxable equivalent (FTE) basis was $405.1 million, up 64.7% from the prior-year quarter, with a net interest margin (NIM) of 2.96% compared to 2.48% a year ago [3]. Income and Expenses - Non-interest income totaled $166.2 million, a 4.4% increase year over year, primarily due to growth in trust and securities processing, service charges, and brokerage income [4]. - Non-interest expenses rose to $384.8 million, a 51% increase year over year, driven by higher salaries, legal and consulting expenses, and amortization of intangibles [4]. - The efficiency ratio was 65.19%, up from 63.44% in the prior-year quarter, indicating a decrease in profitability [5]. Loans and Deposits - Average loans and leases as of March 31, 2025, were $32.3 billion, a 27.8% sequential increase, while average deposits rose 32.3% year over year to $50.3 billion [6]. Credit Quality - The ratio of net charge-offs to average loans was 0.45%, significantly higher than 0.05% in the prior-year quarter [7]. - Total non-accrual and restructured loans amounted to $100.9 million, up from $17.8 million a year ago [7]. - The provision for credit losses was $86 million in Q1 2025, compared to $10 million in the same quarter last year [7]. Capital Ratios - As of March 31, 2025, the Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 10.35%, down from 11.09% a year earlier, while the Tier 1 leverage ratio improved slightly to 8.47% from 8.39% [8]. - The total risk-based capital ratio decreased to 12.54% from 13.03% in the prior-year quarter [8]. Profitability Ratios - Return on average assets was 0.54%, down from 1.06% in the year-ago quarter [9]. - Operating return on average common equity was 12.47%, compared to 15.44% in the prior-year quarter [9].
Bank of America Q1 Earnings Top on Robust Equity Trading, Higher NII
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 17:20
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America (BAC) reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of 90 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 81 cents and showing an increase from adjusted earnings of 83 cents in the prior-year quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - BAC's net income applicable to common shareholders rose 13.8% year-over-year to $7 billion, surpassing the estimate of $6.19 billion [5] - Net revenues reached $27.37 billion, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $26.86 billion and increasing 6% from the prior-year quarter [5] - Non-interest income grew 9.6% to $12.92 billion, driven by higher total fees and commissions, exceeding the projected $12 billion [6] - Non-interest expenses increased by 3.1% to $17.77 billion due to higher revenue-related expenses and investments, slightly above the estimate of $17.63 billion [7] - The efficiency ratio improved to 64.59%, down from 66.36% in the year-ago quarter, indicating enhanced profitability [7] Group 2: Revenue Drivers - Sales and trading revenues (excluding net DVA) increased by 9% to $5.65 billion, marking the highest level in a decade, with fixed-income trading fees up 4.7% and equity trading income up 16.7% [2] - Higher net interest income (NII) was a significant growth driver, with NII growing 2.8% year-over-year to $14.59 billion, slightly above the estimate of $14.55 billion [3][6] - Management projects NII to grow sequentially to approximately $15.5-$15.7 billion by the end of the fourth quarter [3] Group 3: Investment Banking Performance - Investment banking fees in the Global Banking division were stable at $847 million, with a decline in equity underwriting income offset by improvements in advisory revenues and higher debt underwriting income [4] Group 4: Credit Quality - Provision for credit losses increased by 12.2% year-over-year to $1.48 billion, exceeding the estimate of $1.18 billion [8] - Net charge-offs decreased by 3.1% to $1.45 billion, while non-performing loans and leases as a percentage of total loans were 0.55%, down 1 basis point [8] Group 5: Capital Position and Share Repurchase - Book value per share as of March 31, 2025, was $36.39, up from $33.71 a year ago, while tangible book value per share increased to $27.12 from $24.79 [10] - The common equity tier 1 capital ratio was 13.3% as of March 31, 2025, compared to 13.4% a year ago [10] - The company repurchased shares worth $4.5 billion during the reported quarter [11] Group 6: Future Outlook - The company's focus on digitization, operational expansion, and decent loan growth is expected to support future growth, although elevated expenses and funding costs present challenges [12]