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Is ConocoPhillips' Operation Resistant to Oil Price Volatility?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 15:01
Key Takeaways ConocoPhillips has decades of sub-$40/barrel inventory across key U.S. shale basins. COP's low-cost model supports profits even with WTI crude around $65 per barrel. Despite an 19.1% stock fall, COP's operations remain strong and cash flow resilient.ConocoPhillips (COP) has a strong production outlook, backed by its decades of low-cost inventory of drilling sites. The upstream energy giant added that the costs are even lower than $40 per barrel, allowing it to continue producing oil at low p ...
Core Lab Stock Plunges 22% in Six Months: Time to Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 13:05
Key Takeaways CLB stock sank 21.6% in six months, underperforming its sector, sub-industry and key competitors Q1 revenues and earnings fell YoY and QoQ, driven by sanctions, seasonal slowdowns and weak U.S. activity. Margin pressure, limited growth drivers and high debt levels add to investor concerns about future returns. Core Laboratories Inc. (CLB) has seen a sharp downturn over the past six months, with its share price dropping 21.6%. This decline outpaced the broader oil and energy sector's modest 1 ...
How oil price volatility can affect the global economy.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-22 17:30
about the oil price shock that you mentioned because I've seen two arguments really emerge on Wall Street. One, if we have a sustained increase in oil like you were alluding to, we could see this upward pressure of inflation that could trickle through into gas prices which we know have been pretty stable. That's been helping the consumer right now.On the opposite side of that, that could also dent growth which could lead to maybe a deceleration of the labor market and then that would force the Fed to act mo ...
United Airlines: Why UAL Stock Is An Undervalued Play On Oil Relief
Forbes· 2025-06-17 11:15
TOPSHOT - The first direct scheduled flight from US' Newark airport to Nuuk's airport is landing in ... More Nuuk, Greenland, on June 14, 2025. United Airlines flight from the US has been in transit for four hours to the new international airport in Nuuk. (Photo by Mads Claus Rasmussen / Ritzau Scanpix / AFP) / Denmark OUT (Photo by MADS CLAUS RASMUSSEN/Ritzau Scanpix/AFP via Getty Images)Ritzau Scanpix/AFP via Getty Images Airline stocks surged on June 16, with United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAL) leading the cha ...
Core Laboratories Down 30% YTD: Should You Hold or Sell the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 14:36
Core Viewpoint - Core Laboratories Inc. (CLB) has seen a year-to-date stock price decrease of 29.7%, significantly underperforming the broader oil and gas sector and the oil and gas field services sub-industry [1] - The sharp drop in share price raises questions for investors about whether this represents a buying opportunity or a sign of deeper issues [2] Company Overview - Core Laboratories provides specialized services in the oil and gas industry, focusing on analyzing reservoir rock and fluid samples and improving well productivity [5][6] - The company operates through two main segments: Reservoir Description and Production Enhancement [5] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CLB reported adjusted earnings of 8 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 15 cents, primarily due to the underperformance of the Reservoir Description segment [7] - Total costs and expenses for Q1 were $119.2 million, an increase of 1.6% from the previous year [7] Revenue Trends - First-quarter 2025 revenues fell 4.4% sequentially to $123.6 million, indicating weakened customer activity across both business segments [8] - The decline in revenue reflects softness in international activity, particularly in Asia-Pacific and Africa, and a downward trend in North America's activity [8] Operational Challenges - Expanded sanctions and tariffs have disrupted laboratory services and delayed product sales, including a $1.1 million international order in Q1 [10] - Core's return on invested capital (ROIC) for Q1 2025 was 8.3%, raising concerns about capital efficiency compared to industry peers [11] Shareholder Returns - CLB pays a nominal quarterly dividend of 1 cent per share, significantly lower than peers, and repurchased $2 million worth of shares in Q1, which is modest relative to its cash flow profile [12] - The company faces foreign currency exchange headwinds in Latin America, which can erode margins and add unpredictability to earnings [13] Market Sensitivity - CLB's performance is closely tied to crude oil demand, which is uncertain due to OPEC+ production increases and U.S. tariffs [14] - The Energy Information Administration forecasts minimal U.S. production growth in 2025-2026, which may lead to stagnation in domestic revenues [14] Investment Outlook - The combination of weak earnings, falling revenues, and exposure to geopolitical and currency risks suggests structural challenges for CLB [16] - Investors may be better off exploring other opportunities in the oil and gas sector unless the company demonstrates improved financial results and operational stability [18]
OPEC+战略重大转变,“愤怒的沙特”=“长期低油价”?
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-05 12:26
全球基准布伦特原油同样重挫3.9%,下跌2.39美元至每桶59.09美元。今年以来,油价已累计下跌超过20%。 由沙特阿拉伯领导的OPEC+八国生产商集团 周六达成协议 ,决定在6月份再次增产41.1万桶/日。 这一增产规模几乎是高盛原先预测的14万桶/日的三倍。 OPEC+在两个月内总共将向市场投放超过80万桶/日的额外供应,这一供应量足以对本已脆弱的市场构成严重冲击。 这一决策标志着OPEC+战略的关键转变, 优先考虑产量纪律而非价格稳定。市场的讯息很明确:长期低油价不是预测,而是一个计划。 供应激增远超预期,分析师下调预测 增产的一决定令市场措手不及,因为就在一个月前,OPEC+已经宣布5月增产相同数量,连续两个月的增产计划让市场承压。 OPEC+连续两个月大幅增产令投资者措手不及,国际油价暴跌超4%。 周一,美国原油期货价格大跌4.27%,跌幅达2.49美元,至每桶56.30美元。 此外,该联盟的长期威胁——美国页岩油复苏和全球能源转型——正在显现。如果美国页岩油生产商响应油价下跌而提高产量,OPEC+ 优先考虑合规性,而 非价格稳定的决定可能会适得其反,从而进一步扩大供应过剩。 看跌前景强劲——但风 ...
EON Resources Inc.(EONR) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-23 18:37
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a stabilization in production, achieving approximately 950 barrels of oil per day, with expectations to increase this by 50% by the end of the year [12][19] - Lease operating expenses (LOE) were reduced from over $800,000 per month to an average of $765,000 in 2024, with a target of around $700,000 per month for 2025 [65][66] - The company is hedged at 70% or greater at $70 per barrel through 2025, which provides some stability against market fluctuations [30][84] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on the Seven Rivers waterflood project, with plans to develop 250 patterns, each expected to produce 20 barrels of oil per day [19][20] - The horizontal drilling potential in the San Andres formation has been identified, with 50 wells expected to yield 300 to 500 barrels of oil per day [16][36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is navigating volatility in oil pricing and tariffs that impact oil prices, which is a concern for the overall market [7][78] - The management expressed optimism about the oil market, suggesting that any reduction in oil prices may be short-lived due to the social costs faced by oil-producing countries [84] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to acquire a 10% royalty from the seller for approximately $15 million, which is expected to be accretive to shareholders [11][72] - Future strategies include cutting general and administrative expenses and lease operating expenses to improve profitability [21][74] - The company aims to make at least one acquisition in the year, focusing on Permian properties and gas opportunities [22][72] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in 2024 but emphasized the importance of infrastructure repairs and upgrades for future profitability [20][25] - The company expects a significant improvement in 2025, with plans to increase production and reduce costs [19][21] - Management is optimistic about the potential for horizontal drilling and workovers, indicating a bright future for the company [90][91] Other Important Information - The company has made significant strides in cleaning up its balance sheet, including settling liabilities and reducing debt [43][45] - The management team is committed to a balanced approach to funding, avoiding excessive equity dilution and debt [48][51] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are your largest concerns that might negatively impact your plans? - The largest concern is market volatility, particularly oil prices and tariffs [78] Question: What are your plans regarding future use of stock in lieu of cash for accounts payable and other liabilities? - The company plans to use stock sparingly for settling debts related to acquisitions and services [80] Question: Are you still working on the workover wells, or is this less of a priority compared to Seven Rivers? - Workovers are a top priority and are tied to the development of the Seven Rivers project [87] Question: What are you doing to negotiate and benchmark parts, pumps, and other goods necessary for productivity savings? - The company conducts thorough bidding processes to ensure the best value for parts and services [95] Question: If oil prices recover to $85 to $90 per barrel, would you increase production faster? - The company would accelerate workovers and drilling if funding allows, but will proceed cautiously [102] Question: Is the $52.8 million revenue sharing of volumetric funding arrangement with Enstream Capital still on track for June 2025 closing? - The lender has indicated that the deal is still on track, but the company remains cautious [106][109] Question: What is your relationship with drilling permits in New Mexico? - The regulatory environment has improved, potentially reducing the permit process from eight to six months [115]
Arrow Exploration Announces Operational Update
Newsfile· 2025-04-10 06:00
Core Viewpoint - Arrow Exploration Corp. provides an operational update highlighting production growth, financial strength, and ongoing drilling activities in Colombia's Llanos Basin, particularly in the Carrizales Norte field [1][4][21]. Production - Total corporate production exceeds 4,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) net, with the original six horizontal wells at Carrizales Norte stabilizing in line with reservoir models [3][7]. - Significant additional production is anticipated before the end of Q2 2025, with planned development wells in the C7 and Ubaque reservoirs [4][21]. - The CN HZ10 well is currently producing 1,183 barrels of oil per day (BOPD) gross (591 BOPD net) with a decreasing water cut of 21% [12][21]. Financial Position - As of April 1, 2025, the company holds a cash balance of US$25.1 million and has no debt, providing a strong financial foundation [5][7]. - Corporate operating netbacks at a US$65 per barrel Brent oil price are US$39 per barrel, indicating robust profitability [5]. Drilling Operations - The company has drilled two production wells from the Carrizales Norte field, with the CN HZ9 well producing at a stabilized rate of 244 BOPD gross (122 BOPD net) despite a high water cut of 90% [9][10]. - The CN11 well is currently being drilled, targeting the C7 formation, with completion expected in two weeks [13][21]. - The East Tapir 3D seismic acquisition program has been completed ahead of schedule and under budget, enhancing the company's development prospects [18][21]. Future Outlook - The company is continuously reviewing its US$50 million budget and drilling schedule in light of current economic conditions and oil price volatility [16][21]. - Arrow's strong balance sheet allows for flexibility in operations and potential acquisition opportunities in a volatile market [17][21].
ExxonMobil Expects to Report a Profit Gusher in Q1. Can It Repeat That Feat With Crude Prices Falling?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-06 16:17
Core Viewpoint - ExxonMobil anticipates a $900 million increase in quarterly profit due to higher oil and natural gas prices and improved refining margins, but faces challenges in Q2 as crude prices have dropped significantly [1][3][5]. Financial Performance - The company expects first-quarter earnings to be approximately $900 million higher than the previous quarter's profit of $7.4 billion, and about $100 million higher than the same quarter last year, which reported $8.2 billion [3]. - Brent crude averaged just under $75 per barrel, a 1.3% increase from Q4, while natural gas prices surged by 30% due to increased demand from a cold winter in the U.S. [4]. Market Conditions - Early Q2 has seen a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude dropping over 10% to around $65 per barrel due to tariff concerns, and natural gas prices in the U.S. falling more than 5% [5][6]. - If current price levels persist or decline further, it could significantly impact Exxon's results in upcoming quarters, particularly affecting refining margins [6]. Long-term Strategy - Exxon is focused on enhancing its long-term earnings capacity by investing in its most efficient resources and reducing structural costs [7][11]. - The company plans to invest approximately $140 billion by 2030 in its best assets and aims for an additional $7 billion in cost savings, potentially delivering an extra $20 billion in annual earnings and $30 billion in incremental cash flow by 2030 [9][10]. Historical Performance - In the previous year, Exxon achieved $33.7 billion in earnings and $55 billion in cash flow from operations, marking its third-best year in a decade despite lower average refining and chemical margins [8]. - The company's strong performance was attributed to growth in high-margin assets and effective cost-saving measures [8]. Resilience to Volatility - While short-term earnings may be affected by fluctuating oil prices, Exxon's investments in low-cost assets and cost-cutting strategies are expected to mitigate the impact of price volatility in the long run [11].