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Meta Stock: An Advanced Put Strategy Takes Advantage Of Pre-Earnings Volatility
Investors· 2025-10-16 16:31
Core Insights - Meta Platforms (META) stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average but remains above a support level of 700, with earnings report expected on Oct. 29 [1] - The volatility skew is high, indicating that short-term options have higher implied volatility compared to long-term options, suggesting potential trading strategies like a diagonal put spread [1][7] Options Strategy - An advanced options strategy is proposed for Meta, involving selling an Oct. 31 put with a strike price of 640 and buying a Nov. 7 put with a strike price of 635 [3] - The Oct. 31 put can be sold for approximately 7.15, while the Nov. 7 put can be bought for 8.05, resulting in a net debit of around 90 cents per share [4] - The maximum potential loss is calculated at 1,090, while the maximum potential gain is estimated at around 3,200 if Meta closes at 640 on Oct. 31 [5] Breakeven and Performance Expectations - Breakeven prices are estimated at around 600 and 720, with the trade expected to perform well if Meta stock stays between 690-740 over the next week [6] - Aiming for a return of approximately 10%-15% is suggested, along with setting a stop loss to manage risk [6] Risk and Volatility - The initial trade setup has a delta of -1, indicating a directionally neutral position, but this can change as the stock moves [7] - The strategy benefits from selling a put with higher volatility (57%) compared to the one being bought (52%), aligning with the principle of buying low and selling high [7] Company Ratings - Investor's Business Daily assigns Meta Platforms a Composite Rating of 95 out of a possible 99, an Earnings Per Share Rating of 96, and a Relative Strength Rating of 76, ranking seventh in its group [8]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Asbury Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 13:51
Company Overview - Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) is experiencing significant attention from investors due to high implied volatility in its options market, particularly the Oct 17, 2025 $360.00 Put option [1] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale industry, which is positioned in the top 24% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Analyst Insights - Over the past 30 days, three analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Asbury for the current quarter, while one has lowered theirs, resulting in a net increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $6.64 to $6.67 per share [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Asbury shares, indicating potential upcoming events that could lead to a major rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek to capitalize on high implied volatility by selling premium, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
2 Airline Stocks Lifting Off After Earnings
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-04-24 18:11
Core Insights - Airline stocks are under scrutiny as American Airlines Group Inc (AAL) and Southwest Airlines (LUV) reported smaller-than-expected first-quarter losses and withdrew their full-year guidance, reflecting a challenging U.S. economic outlook [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - AAL shares are down more than 40% this year, trading at $9.56, with a significant decline of 45% in 2025 and 31% year-over-year [2] - LUV shares are down 22% in 2025 and nearly 11% year-over-year, currently trading at $26.21 [2] Group 2: Analyst Ratings - AAL faces a higher downgrade risk, with 11 out of 20 brokerages maintaining a "buy" or better rating, while only one has a "sell" rating; the consensus 12-month price target is $56.30, indicating a 54% upside potential from current levels [4] - Analysts are more cautious with LUV, as the majority hold a "hold" rating [4] Group 3: Options Trading Strategies - AAL has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations, reflected in a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 96 out of 100, suggesting a bullish outlook [5] - LUV has a low SVS of 1 out of 100, indicating that a premium-selling strategy may be more appropriate for options traders [5]