January 15, 2026 05:30 PM GMT M Update Strong 2025 preliminary results underpinned by robust revenue growth, margin expansion Reaction to earnings Strengthens our thesis Modest upside Modest revision higher Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Key Takeaways According to Siyuan's preliminary results, revenue was Rmb21.1bn in 2025, up 37.2% yoy and 3.8% higher than our estimate of 20.4bn. Net profit came ...

Core Insights - Linyi Trade City from Shandong province hosted a successful quality product expo in Ghana, leading to agreements worth 16.8 million yuan ($2.36 million) with five local enterprises [1] - The expo showcased a variety of building materials and products that cater to the needs of the Ghanaian market, attracting buyers from neighboring countries due to their high quality and affordability [2] - The event highlighted the potential for Linyi's products to fill gaps in the local market, particularly in the chemical products sector, which is currently inefficient in Ghana [3] Market Potential - The Linyi merchant delegation explored Accra and Tema, identifying opportunities for establishing overseas warehouses and integrating supply chains, indicating significant investment potential [4] - The delegation's visit to the Jinyi Industrial Park reinforced confidence in Linyi's expansion into West Africa, with local officials expressing eagerness for investment and collaboration [5] - Accra's government is prepared to assist Linyi enterprises in expanding their market presence, emphasizing a strong partnership [6]

Industry Overview - Chinese automakers are increasingly focusing on international markets, with a notable increase in vehicle exports, reaching 3.083 million units in the first half of the year, representing a 10.4% year-on-year growth [1] - The auto industry is experiencing a shift towards value competition rather than price wars, as companies seek to enhance their market presence globally [3] Company Developments - China FAW Group showcases advanced technologies including supercars, autonomous vehicles, and flying cars, reflecting its commitment to digital and intelligent transformation [2] - FAW plans to deepen its operations in Southeast Asia, with localized industrial projects in countries like Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, and Thailand to better serve local consumers [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's revenue for Q2 2025 reached RMB 3,331,900,000, an increase of 10.2% year over year [19] - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) was RMB 8,100,000,000, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.5% [19] - Non-GAAP net income was RMB 629,800,000, up by 0.1% year over year, while total non-GAAP net income for 2025 rose by 6.8% year over year to RMB 1,300,000,000 [20][31] - The total membership exceeded 200 million, increasing by 14.5 million from Q1 and 42.7% year over year [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from franchisee tea houses grew by 6.1% to RMB 3,020,700,000, accounting for 90.7% of total revenue [23] - Revenue from company-owned tea houses surged by 77.3% to RMB 311,200,000, representing 9.3% of total revenue [23] - Average monthly GMV per tea house in Greater China was RMB 404,352, showing a year-over-year decline due to a high base from the previous year [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overseas markets experienced significant growth, with GMV increasing by 77.4% year over year and 31.8% quarter over quarter [24] - The company opened a net of 52 stores overseas, bringing the total to 208 stores as of June 30, 2025 [25] - In Singapore, daily sales remained strong, averaging above 1,500 cups per store [57] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a premium brand positioning and avoiding price wars, emphasizing product quality and customer experience [40][41] - A new North American leadership team has been established to accelerate market expansion [6][8] - The company plans to invest strategically in overseas markets and enhance its global talent pipeline [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged intensified competition from delivery platforms in China, which has impacted profitability [22] - The company remains committed to its long-term growth strategy, focusing on quality and operational efficiency [32][33] - Management expressed confidence in the overseas operations gaining traction and building a foundation for long-term growth [32] Other Important Information - The gross profit margin improved to 53.9%, up from 48.4% year over year, driven by economies of scale and lower purchasing costs [26] - Operating expenses increased significantly due to share-based compensation related to IPO success [27][30] - The company achieved its tenth consecutive quarter of profitability with a net income of RMB 77,200,000 [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of delivery platform subsidy program on operations - Management noted that reliance on subsidies is unsustainable and emphasized a focus on high-quality products and services without engaging in price wars [38][40] Question: Update on overseas expansion plans - Management provided details on the expansion, highlighting strong performance in Singapore and Malaysia, and plans to enter new markets like the Philippines and Vietnam [56][60] Question: Same store sales performance in Q2 - Management acknowledged softening same store GMV due to high base comparisons and competitive pressures but remains focused on product quality and customer experience [64][65]