PPI 回升

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9月十大金股:九月策略和十大金股
Huaxin Securities· 2025-08-31 10:37
Summary of Key Points Overall Viewpoint - The report highlights that overseas attention is focused on industry tariffs, economic performance, interest rate guidance, and liquidity impacts, with U.S. stock funds preemptively defensive and rotating into interest rate-sensitive sectors such as finance, healthcare, and real estate, as well as U.S. Treasuries and gold benefiting from potential interest rate cuts [3][11][12] - Domestic economic marginal slowdown is noted, but key industries continue to expand, with supply-demand conflicts gradually easing and price indices recovering, making a halt in PPI decline expected [3][11] - The A-share market is anticipated to experience a volatile upward trend supported by three major rebalancing factors, with a focus on technology rotation, interest rate-sensitive trades, and industries benefiting from PPI recovery [3][11][18] Industry and Stock Logic - **Electronics: Lens Technology (300433.SZ)**: The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 69.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 28.27%, and a net profit of 3.62 billion yuan, up 19.94%, driven by vertical integration strategies and growth in assembly business [19][22] - **Networking: Shengke Communication-U (688702.SH)**: The company reported a revenue of 508 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.56%, but a net profit of -24 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 58.36% [23][24] - **Electronics: Shengyi Technology (688183.SH)**: The company achieved a revenue of 4.687 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 43.19%, and a net profit of 332 million yuan, turning profitable [28][29] - **Small Cap: Siquan New Materials (301489.SZ)**: The company reported a revenue of 656 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 51.1%, with a net profit of 52.45 million yuan, a slight decrease of 3.88% due to increased expenses from new subsidiaries [36][37] - **Automotive: Moulded Technology (000700.SZ)**: The company is expected to generate total sales of 2.04 billion yuan from a luxury car manufacturer and a North American client, with production starting in 2026 [39][40] Key Stock Picks - The report lists ten key stocks, including Lens Technology, Shengke Communication-U, Shengyi Technology, Siquan New Materials, and Moulded Technology, among others, with no specific ranking [4][10]